Rochdale vs Accrington ST — League Two
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Rochdale and Accrington ST meet in the League Two 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Rochdale have recorded 4 wins from 18 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Accrington ST have won 28% of their 18 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Rochdale and 1.10 for Accrington ST. The models give Rochdale a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Accrington ST win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Rochdale—
Accrington ST10º
Position
15º
1.40
PPG
1.10
40%
Win %
20%
1.10
Goals / game
1.30
1.20
Conceded / game
1.40
50%
BTTS %
50%
22%
Clean sheet %
44%
61%
Over 2.5 %
44%
4.0
Avg corners
5.0
9.4
Avg shots
14.5
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.2
Avg yellow cards
2.4
10.4
Avg fouls
13.5
53.2%
Avg possession
47.2%
Home vs Away
Rochdale
Home (5)
—
Accrington ST
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
0.40
60%
Win %
0%
1.60
Goals / game
0.80
1.20
Conceded / game
1.60
67%
BTTS %
57%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
78%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.0
Avg corners
5.0
9.4
Avg shots
14.5
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.2
Avg yellow cards
2.4
53.2%
Avg possession
47.2%
Goals Scored
| Rochdale | Home | Away | Accrington ST | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 33% | 72% | 73% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 67% | 22% | 39% | 45% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 18% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 67% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Rochdale | Home | Away | Accrington ST | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 67% | 89% | 56% | 45% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 61% | 67% | 56% | 44% | 36% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 44% | 22% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 33% | 11% | 44% | 55% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rochdale | Accrington ST | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 17% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rochdale | Accrington ST | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 72% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Rochdale (H)W
Swindon Town1–0
Swindon Town1–0D
Liverpool U213–3
Liverpool U213–3W
Oldham2–0
Oldham2–0L
Gillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4W
Shrewsbury3–0
Shrewsbury3–0L
Crawley Town1–2
Crawley Town1–2Accrington ST (A)DOldham0–0
Oldham0–0DSwindon Town1–1
Swindon Town1–1L
Barnet1–2
Barnet1–2L
Walsall2–3
Walsall2–3L
Exeter City0–2
Exeter City0–2L
Crewe1–2
Crewe1–2Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.9
102 games
9.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Rochdale | Accrington ST | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 92% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 58% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 17% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 17% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rochdale | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 69% | 50% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
8
Rochdale
73%
1
Draws
9%
2
Accrington ST
18%
82%
Over 1.5
9/11
82%
Over 2.5
9/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
30/08/22Rochdale
Accrington ST
3–3Rochdale17/04/21Accrington ST
Rochdale
3–1Accrington ST10/10/20Rochdale
Accrington ST
2–1Rochdale01/01/20Rochdale
Accrington ST
1–2Rochdale12/10/19Accrington ST
Rochdale
2–1Accrington ST09/04/19Rochdale
Accrington ST
0–1Rochdale24/11/18Accrington ST
Rochdale
1–0Accrington ST15/03/14Accrington ST
Rochdale
2–1Accrington ST21/09/13Rochdale
Accrington ST
1–2Rochdale26/02/13Accrington ST
Rochdale
0–3Accrington ST06/10/12Rochdale
Accrington ST
2–3Rochdale| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 |  Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 |  Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Team Insights
Rochdale- ●Rochdale have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Rochdale have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rochdale have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rochdale have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rochdale have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Rochdale have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rochdale failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Rochdale's goals have been scored at home.
Accrington ST- ●Accrington ST have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Accrington ST have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Accrington ST have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Accrington ST have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Accrington ST failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Accrington ST's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Accrington ST's points have been earned at home.
- ●Accrington ST have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RochdaleDATranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1WHSwindon Town1–0
Swindon Town1–0WAFleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1WHOldham2–0
Oldham2–0DAWalsall0–0
Walsall0–0LHGillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4–ACrewe17/10
Crewe17/10–HGrimsby20/10
Grimsby20/10–HAccrington ST24/10
Accrington ST24/10Accrington STDAOldham0–0
Oldham0–0WHCheltenham2–0
Cheltenham2–0DASwindon Town1–1
Swindon Town1–1DHNewport County0–0
Newport County0–0LABarnet1–2
Barnet1–2WHCrawley Town3–2
Crawley Town3–2–HGillingham17/10
Gillingham17/10–AYork20/10
York20/10–ARochdale24/10
Rochdale24/10Top Scorers
RochdaleDajaune Brown3 ⚽
Ian Henderson3 ⚽
I. Henderson3 ⚽
Cian Hayes2 ⚽
E. Ebanks-Landell2 ⚽
L. Hannant2 ⚽
Accrington STC. Caton5 ⚽
Charlie Caton3 ⚽
Josh Woods3 ⚽
J. Woods3 ⚽
Charlie Warren2 ⚽
S. Mols2 ⚽
Cards Given
RochdaleOlutobi Adebayo-Rowling3 🟨
B. Bilongo3 🟨
Edward Francis2 🟨
D. Moss2 🟨
L. Hannant2 🟨
T. Adebayo-Rowling2 🟨
Accrington STJosh Woods3 🟨
Devon matthews3 🟨
J. Anderson3 🟨
David Tutonda3 🟨
Joseph Anderson2 🟨
J. Woods2 🟨