Rotherham vs Shrewsbury — League Two
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Rotherham and Shrewsbury meet in the League Two 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Rotherham have recorded 5 wins from 20 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Shrewsbury have won 25% of their 20 matches, with 0.85 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 35%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Rotherham and 1.10 for Shrewsbury. The models give Rotherham a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Shrewsbury win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Rotherham—
Shrewsbury20º
Position
18º
1.00
PPG
1.10
20%
Win %
30%
1.20
Goals / game
0.90
1.60
Conceded / game
1.50
60%
BTTS %
35%
20%
Clean sheet %
30%
35%
Over 2.5 %
35%
3.4
Avg corners
4.9
11.1
Avg shots
11.8
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.0
Avg yellow cards
3.1
12.6
Avg fouls
14.8
49.2%
Avg possession
42.2%
Home vs Away
Rotherham
Home (5)
—
Shrewsbury
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
0.80
20%
Win %
20%
1.60
Goals / game
0.60
2.00
Conceded / game
1.80
78%
BTTS %
36%
0%
Clean sheet %
18%
56%
Over 2.5 %
27%
3.4
Avg corners
4.9
11.1
Avg shots
11.8
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.0
Avg yellow cards
3.1
49.2%
Avg possession
42.2%
Goals Scored
| Rotherham | Home | Away | Shrewsbury | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 78% | 82% | 55% | 78% | 36% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 33% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 11% | 0% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 22% | 18% | 45% | 22% | 64% |
Goals Conceded
| Rotherham | Home | Away | Shrewsbury | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 64% | 70% | 56% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 56% | 18% | 40% | 44% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 44% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 36% | 30% | 44% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rotherham | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 5% |
| BTTS | 60% | 35% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rotherham | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 35% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Rotherham (H)L
Gillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4L
Bradford0–4
Bradford0–4D
Crewe1–1
Crewe1–1D
Salford City3–3
Salford City3–3W
Chesterfield2–1
Chesterfield2–1D
York1–1
York1–1Shrewsbury (A)W
Grimsby2–1
Grimsby2–1L
Tranmere0–1
Tranmere0–1DCrewe1–1
Crewe1–1L
Fleetwood Town0–2
Fleetwood Town0–2L
Rochdale0–3
Rochdale0–3LFleetwood Town0–4
Fleetwood Town0–4Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.9
102 games
9.8
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Rotherham | Shrewsbury | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 58% | 77% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 69% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 62% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 62% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 31% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 31% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 23% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 23% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rotherham | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 58% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 58% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 46% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
5
Rotherham
33%
5
Draws
33%
5
Shrewsbury
33%
80%
Over 1.5
12/15
67%
Over 2.5
10/15
20%
Over 3.5
3/15
60%
BTTS
9/15
08/02/25Shrewsbury
Rotherham
1–2Shrewsbury28/09/24Rotherham
Shrewsbury
1–1Rotherham19/03/22Shrewsbury
Rotherham
0–3Shrewsbury01/03/22Rotherham
Shrewsbury
0–0Rotherham26/12/19Rotherham
Shrewsbury
1–2Rotherham21/09/19Shrewsbury
Rotherham
0–0Shrewsbury13/08/19Rotherham
Shrewsbury
0–4Rotherham27/05/18Shrewsbury
Rotherham
2–1Shrewsbury17/02/18Rotherham
Shrewsbury
0–1Rotherham18/11/17Shrewsbury
Rotherham
1–2Shrewsbury18/01/14Rotherham
Shrewsbury
0–3Rotherham24/08/13Shrewsbury
Rotherham
2–2Shrewsbury14/04/12Rotherham
Shrewsbury
3–1Rotherham03/12/11Rotherham
Shrewsbury
2–1Rotherham22/10/11Shrewsbury
Rotherham
1–1Shrewsbury| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 |  Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 |  Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Team Insights
Rotherham- ●Rotherham have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Rotherham's goals have been scored at home.
Shrewsbury- ●Shrewsbury failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Shrewsbury failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Shrewsbury's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Shrewsbury have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RotherhamLHGillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4LAExeter City0–1
Exeter City0–1DHCrewe1–1
Crewe1–1WANorthampton1–0
Northampton1–0DHSalford City3–3
Salford City3–3LABristol Rovers0–1
Bristol Rovers0–1–AFleetwood Town17/10
Fleetwood Town17/10–HNewport County20/10
Newport County20/10–HShrewsbury24/10
Shrewsbury24/10ShrewsburyLHExeter City0–1
Exeter City0–1WAGrimsby2–1
Grimsby2–1DHColchester2–2
Colchester2–2DACrewe1–1
Crewe1–1WHNorthampton2–0
Northampton2–0LAFleetwood Town0–2
Fleetwood Town0–2–HBristol Rovers17/10
Bristol Rovers17/10–ACrawley Town20/10
Crawley Town20/10–ARotherham24/10
Rotherham24/10Top Scorers
RotherhamPaul Mullin5 ⚽
F. Tavares3 ⚽
J. Buyabu2 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
Denzel Hall1 ⚽
E. Otoo1 ⚽
ShrewsburyJ. Davison2 ⚽
George Lloyd2 ⚽
Kian McMahon-Brown2 ⚽
W. Boyle2 ⚽
Isaac Fletcher1 ⚽
I. Fletcher1 ⚽
Cards Given
RotherhamJosh Austerfield4 🟨
B. Cover3 🟨
Jili Buyabu2 🟨
Dominic Iorfa2 🟨
Jayce Fitzgerald2 🟨
J. Buyabu2 🟨
Shrewsburywill gray4 🟨
S. Stubbs3 🟨
Luca Hoole3 🟨
Josh Davison2 🟨
J. Turner-Cook2 🟨
George Lloyd2 🟨