Newport County vs Chesterfield — League Two
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Newport County and Chesterfield meet in the League Two 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Newport County have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Chesterfield have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Newport County and 1.16 for Chesterfield. The models give Newport County a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chesterfield win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Newport County—
Chesterfield12º
Position
7º
1.30
PPG
1.50
30%
Win %
40%
1.30
Goals / game
1.70
1.20
Conceded / game
1.40
52%
BTTS %
69%
38%
Clean sheet %
19%
62%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.3
Avg corners
5.5
10.8
Avg shots
17.6
3.6
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.9
12.5
Avg fouls
10.3
37.9%
Avg possession
57.4%
Home vs Away
Newport County
Home (5)
—
Chesterfield
Away (5)
2.20
PPG
1.40
60%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
1.40
0.80
Conceded / game
1.40
63%
BTTS %
75%
25%
Clean sheet %
13%
75%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.3
Avg corners
5.5
10.8
Avg shots
17.6
3.6
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.9
37.9%
Avg possession
57.4%
Goals Scored
| Newport County | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 88% | 69% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 50% | 46% | 44% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 13% | 23% | 19% | 38% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 13% | 31% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Newport County | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 75% | 54% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 50% | 31% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 25% | 8% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 25% | 46% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newport County | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS | 52% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newport County | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 19% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 19% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Newport County (H)W
Colchester1–0
Colchester1–0D
Plymouth2–2
Plymouth2–2W
Grimsby2–1
Grimsby2–1D
Fleetwood Town1–1
Fleetwood Town1–1D
Tranmere2–2
Tranmere2–2W
Rochdale3–0
Rochdale3–0Chesterfield (A)D
Crawley Town2–2
Crawley Town2–2L
Cheltenham1–2
Cheltenham1–2W
Oldham2–1
Oldham2–1L
Rotherham1–2
Rotherham1–2W
Salford City1–0
Salford City1–0LFleetwood Town0–1
Fleetwood Town0–1Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.9
102 games
9.0
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Newport County | Chesterfield | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 58% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 58% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 42% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 33% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 25% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 8% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Newport County | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 33% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
3
Newport County
38%
1
Draws
13%
4
Chesterfield
50%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
75%
Over 2.5
6/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
24/01/26Chesterfield
Newport County
2–1Chesterfield27/09/25Newport County
Chesterfield
4–1Newport County08/03/25Newport County
Chesterfield
2–1Newport County18/10/24Chesterfield
Newport County
0–3Chesterfield01/05/18Newport County
Chesterfield
1–0Newport County26/08/17Chesterfield
Newport County
4–1Chesterfield05/04/14Newport County
Chesterfield
1–1Newport County01/12/13Chesterfield
Newport County
3–2Chesterfield| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 |  Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 |  Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Team Insights
Newport County- ●Newport County have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Newport County have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Newport County have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newport County have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Newport County's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Newport County's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●85% of Newport County's points have been earned at home.
Chesterfield- ●Chesterfield have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Newport CountyWHColchester1–0
Colchester1–0DAGillingham0–0
Gillingham0–0WHGrimsby2–1
Grimsby2–1DAAccrington ST0–0
Accrington ST0–0DHFleetwood Town1–1
Fleetwood Town1–1LANorthampton0–1
Northampton0–1–HYork17/10
York17/10–ARotherham20/10
Rotherham20/10–ACheltenham24/10
Cheltenham24/10ChesterfieldDACrawley Town2–2
Crawley Town2–2WHTranmere4–2
Tranmere4–2LACheltenham1–2
Cheltenham1–2WHYork2–0
York2–0WAOldham2–1
Oldham2–1DHBarnet3–3
Barnet3–3–APort Vale17/10
Port Vale17/10–HColchester20/10
Colchester20/10–HCrewe24/10
Crewe24/10Top Scorers
Newport CountyS. Gwengwe7 ⚽
Y. Bamba3 ⚽
H. Biggins3 ⚽
Christian Doidge3 ⚽
C. Jarvis2 ⚽
K. Cameron2 ⚽
ChesterfieldLouie Marsh8 ⚽
Lee Bonis3 ⚽
Dilan Markanday3 ⚽
Joel Randall2 ⚽
J. Koroma2 ⚽
Josh Koroma2 ⚽
Cards Given
Newport CountyM. Dibley-Dias3 🟨
L. Jenkins2 🟨
A. Merritt2 🟨
Cameron Norman2 🟨
Harrison Biggins2 🟨
Cameron Evans1 🟨
ChesterfieldK. McFadzean3 🟨
George McEachran3 🟨
Remeao Hutton2 🟨
Alfie Pond2 🟨
Kyle McFadzean2 🟨
Josh Koroma1 🟨