Swindon Town vs Rotherham — League Two
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Swindon Town and Rotherham meet in the League Two 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Swindon Town have recorded 6 wins from 19 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Rotherham have won 25% of their 20 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Swindon Town and 1.01 for Rotherham. The models give Swindon Town a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Rotherham win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Swindon Town—
Rotherham17º
Position
20º
1.10
PPG
1.00
30%
Win %
20%
0.90
Goals / game
1.20
1.40
Conceded / game
1.60
53%
BTTS %
60%
11%
Clean sheet %
20%
63%
Over 2.5 %
35%
4.6
Avg corners
3.4
10.2
Avg shots
11.1
2.8
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.0
11.3
Avg fouls
12.6
47.0%
Avg possession
49.2%
Home vs Away
Swindon Town
Home (5)
—
Rotherham
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.80
60%
Win %
20%
1.80
Goals / game
0.80
1.00
Conceded / game
1.20
64%
BTTS %
45%
9%
Clean sheet %
36%
64%
Over 2.5 %
18%
4.6
Avg corners
3.4
10.2
Avg shots
11.1
2.8
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.0
47.0%
Avg possession
49.2%
Goals Scored
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Rotherham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 73% | 38% | 80% | 78% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 45% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 27% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 27% | 63% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Rotherham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 91% | 88% | 80% | 100% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 27% | 50% | 35% | 56% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 9% | 50% | 20% | 44% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 0% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Swindon Town | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 15% |
| BTTS | 53% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Swindon Town | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 32% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Swindon Town (H)L
Crewe0–1
Crewe0–1D
Accrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1L
Newport County0–2
Newport County0–2L
Crystal Palace U211–2
Crystal Palace U211–2W
Colchester3–1
Colchester3–1W
Port Vale3–1
Port Vale3–1Rotherham (A)L
Exeter City0–1
Exeter City0–1D
York1–1
York1–1W
Northampton1–0
Northampton1–0L
Bristol Rovers0–1
Bristol Rovers0–1D
Tranmere2–2
Tranmere2–2L
Cheltenham1–2
Cheltenham1–2Number of Corners
11.2
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.9
102 games
8.0
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Swindon Town | Rotherham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 58% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 42% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 25% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 42% | 17% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 17% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Swindon Town | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.6 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 83% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 42% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
4
Swindon Town
80%
0
Draws
0%
1
Rotherham
20%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
100%
Over 2.5
5/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
01/11/25Swindon Town
Rotherham
1–2Swindon Town03/05/14Rotherham
Swindon Town
1–2Rotherham12/10/13Swindon Town
Rotherham
0–4Swindon Town14/01/12Swindon Town
Rotherham
1–2Swindon Town03/09/11Rotherham
Swindon Town
3–2Rotherham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Team Insights
Swindon Town- ●Swindon Town have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Swindon Town have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●100% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●91% of Swindon Town's points have been earned at home.
Rotherham- ●Rotherham have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Rotherham's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Swindon TownLHCrewe0–1
Crewe0–1LARochdale0–1
Rochdale0–1DHAccrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1LASalford City0–1
Salford City0–1LAYork0–4
York0–4WHColchester3–1
Colchester3–1–HWalsall17/10
Walsall17/10–ABarnet20/10
Barnet20/10–ABristol Rovers24/10
Bristol Rovers24/10RotherhamLHGillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4LAExeter City0–1
Exeter City0–1DHCrewe1–1
Crewe1–1WANorthampton1–0
Northampton1–0DHSalford City3–3
Salford City3–3LABristol Rovers0–1
Bristol Rovers0–1–AFleetwood Town17/10
Fleetwood Town17/10–HNewport County20/10
Newport County20/10–HShrewsbury24/10
Shrewsbury24/10Top Scorers
Swindon TownA. Drinan6 ⚽
Aaron Drinan4 ⚽
P. Glatzel3 ⚽
Joseph Hungbo1 ⚽
F. Holman1 ⚽
Ben Middlemas1 ⚽
RotherhamPaul Mullin5 ⚽
F. Tavares3 ⚽
J. Buyabu2 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
Denzel Hall1 ⚽
E. Otoo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Swindon TownJ. Debayo3 🟨
Kaelan Majekodunmi3 🟨
Ollie Clarke2 🟨
Dan Butler2 🟨
James Debayo2 🟨
I. Holloway1 🟨
RotherhamJosh Austerfield4 🟨
B. Cover3 🟨
Jili Buyabu2 🟨
Dominic Iorfa2 🟨
Jayce Fitzgerald2 🟨
J. Buyabu2 🟨