Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield — League Two
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Bristol Rovers and Chesterfield meet in the League Two 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Bristol Rovers have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Chesterfield have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Bristol Rovers and 1.13 for Chesterfield. The models give Bristol Rovers a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chesterfield win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Bristol Rovers—
Chesterfield9º
Position
7º
1.36
PPG
1.36
45%
Win %
36%
1.36
Goals / game
1.55
1.64
Conceded / game
1.36
53%
BTTS %
65%
26%
Clean sheet %
18%
58%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.6
Avg corners
5.8
15.9
Avg shots
16.8
4.4
Avg shots on target
5.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.9
13.0
Avg fouls
9.9
47.1%
Avg possession
57.9%
Home vs Away
Bristol Rovers
Home (5)
—
Chesterfield
Away (6)
2.40
PPG
1.17
80%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
1.17
1.20
Conceded / game
1.33
56%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Clean sheet %
11%
44%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.6
Avg corners
5.8
15.9
Avg shots
16.8
4.4
Avg shots on target
5.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.9
47.1%
Avg possession
57.9%
Goals Scored
| Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 89% | 70% | 76% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 33% | 50% | 41% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 11% | 20% | 18% | 38% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 67% | 80% | 82% | 75% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 44% | 70% | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 22% | 40% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 33% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 24% |
| BTTS | 53% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Bristol Rovers (H)L
Barnet1–3
Barnet1–3W
Exeter City1–0
Exeter City1–0W
Rotherham1–0
Rotherham1–0W
Colchester2–0
Colchester2–0D
Chelsea U212–2
Chelsea U212–2W
Newport County5–3
Newport County5–3Chesterfield (A)L
Port Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1D
Crawley Town2–2
Crawley Town2–2L
Cheltenham1–2
Cheltenham1–2W
Oldham2–1
Oldham2–1LRotherham1–2
Rotherham1–2W
Salford City1–0
Salford City1–0Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.8
114 games
9.1
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 62% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 62% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 54% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 42% | 54% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 31% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 23% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 8% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 58% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 31% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Bristol Rovers
33%
1
Draws
11%
5
Chesterfield
56%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
56%
Over 3.5
5/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
07/02/26Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers
2–3Chesterfield16/08/25Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
3–1Bristol Rovers29/07/23Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers
2–0Chesterfield18/03/17Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers
2–1Chesterfield26/11/16Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
3–2Bristol Rovers01/02/14Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
3–1Bristol Rovers26/10/13Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers
0–0Chesterfield09/03/13Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
2–0Bristol Rovers10/11/12Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers
3–2Chesterfield| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 22 |
| 2 | Barnet | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 |  Walsall | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 6 |  Gillingham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Accrington ST | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Fleetwood Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 |  Shrewsbury | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 |  Grimsby | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 | Exeter City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 |  Tranmere | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 |  Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 19 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Bristol Rovers- ●Bristol Rovers have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Bristol Rovers's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Bristol Rovers's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Bristol Rovers's points have been earned at home.
Chesterfield- ●Chesterfield have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Bristol RoversLAShrewsbury0–1
Shrewsbury0–1LHBarnet1–3
Barnet1–3LACrewe1–3
Crewe1–3WHExeter City1–0
Exeter City1–0LAGillingham0–3
Gillingham0–3LAGrimsby0–2
Grimsby0–2–HSalford City20/10
Salford City20/10–HSwindon Town24/10
Swindon Town24/10–AFleetwood Town31/10
Fleetwood Town31/10ChesterfieldLAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1DACrawley Town2–2
Crawley Town2–2WHTranmere4–2
Tranmere4–2LACheltenham1–2
Cheltenham1–2WHYork2–0
York2–0WAOldham2–1
Oldham2–1–HColchester20/10
Colchester20/10–HCrewe24/10
Crewe24/10–ANewport County30/10
Newport County30/10Top Scorers
Bristol RoversT. Leigh3 ⚽
Ellis Harrison3 ⚽
B. Kamwa3 ⚽
F. Cavegn3 ⚽
M. Rijks2 ⚽
E. Harrison2 ⚽
ChesterfieldLouie Marsh7 ⚽
Lee Bonis3 ⚽
Dilan Markanday3 ⚽
Joel Randall2 ⚽
J. Koroma2 ⚽
Josh Koroma2 ⚽
Cards Given
Bristol RoversSteve Evans4 🟨
Tommy Leigh3 🟨
Ben Purrington3 🟨
Shaqai Forde3 🟨
Ellis Harrison2 🟨
Kofi Balmer2 🟨
ChesterfieldK. McFadzean3 🟨
George McEachran3 🟨
Lewis Gordon2 🟨
Alfie Pond2 🟨
Kyle McFadzean2 🟨
Remeao Hutton2 🟨