England · League Two · Regular Season - 15

Swindon Town

18º · 1.09 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h

–

Grimsby

15º · 1.18 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h

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Swindon Town and Grimsby meet in the League Two 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Swindon Town have recorded 6 wins from 20 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Grimsby have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 43%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Swindon Town and 1.14 for Grimsby. The models give Swindon Town a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Grimsby win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Swindon Town

—

Grimsby

18º

Position

15º

1.09

PPG

1.18

27%

Win %

27%

0.91

Goals / game

1.18

1.36

Conceded / game

1.18

55%

BTTS %

48%

10%

Clean sheet %

43%

60%

Over 2.5 %

48%

4.4

Avg corners

7.0

10.7

Avg shots

14.0

3.0

Avg shots on target

4.7

1.5

Avg yellow cards

1.5

10.8

Avg fouls

11.8

46.3%

Avg possession

54.7%

Home vs Away

Swindon Town

Home (6)

—

Grimsby

Away (5)

1.83

PPG

0.60

50%

Win %

1.67

Goals / game

1.00

Conceded / game

1.40

67%

BTTS %

50%

Clean sheet %

40%

58%

Over 2.5 %

50%

4.4

Avg corners

7.0

10.7

Avg shots

14.0

3.0

Avg shots on target

4.7

1.5

Avg yellow cards

1.5

46.3%

Avg possession

54.7%

Goals Scored

	Swindon Town	Home	Away	Grimsby	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	60%	75%	38%	71%	82%	60%
Over 1.5 Scored	35%	42%	25%	43%	55%	30%
Over 2.5 Scored	20%	25%	13%	14%	18%	10%
Failed To Score	40%	25%	63%	29%	18%	40%

Goals Conceded

	Swindon Town	Home	Away	Grimsby	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	90%	92%	88%	57%	55%	60%
Over 1.5 Conceded	35%	25%	50%	43%	45%	40%
Over 2.5 Conceded	25%	8%	50%	5%	9%	0%
Clean Sheets	10%	8%	13%	43%	45%	40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Swindon Town	Grimsby
Over 0.5	95%	81%
Over 1.5	75%	71%
Over 2.5	60%	48%
Over 3.5	40%	29%
Over 4.5	15%	10%
BTTS	55%	48%
BTTS & Win	25%	10%
BTTS & Draw	10%	19%
BTTS & Over 2.5	45%	43%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	15%	5%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Swindon Town	Grimsby
Win 1st Half	30%	38%
Draw 1st Half	35%	33%
Loss 1st Half	35%	29%
Scored 1st Half	55%	48%
Conceded 1st Half	50%	48%
Win 2nd Half	20%	19%
Draw 2nd Half	25%	62%
Loss 2nd Half	55%	19%
Scored 2nd Half	30%	48%
Conceded 2nd Half	70%	43%
Over 0.5 HT	80%	76%
Over 1.5 HT	45%	38%

Recent Venue Form

Swindon Town (H)

Walsall1–1

Crewe0–1

Accrington ST1–1

Newport County0–2

Crystal Palace U211–2

Colchester3–1

Grimsby (A)

Port Vale0–1

Newport County1–2

Notts County1–2

Cheltenham2–2

Accrington ST2–2

Walsall0–0

Number of Corners

11.2

Corners / Match

13 games

League Avg

9.8

114 games

12.0

Corners / Match

13 games

Match Corners	Swindon Town	Grimsby	League Avg
Over 6	100%	92%	82%
Over 7	77%	92%	75%
Over 8	62%	92%	63%
Over 9	54%	92%	58%
Over 10	46%	62%	41%
Over 11	46%	62%	34%
Over 12	38%	38%	19%
Over 13	31%	38%	15%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Swindon Town	Grimsby
Corners Earned / Match	4.4	7.0
Corners Against / Match	6.8	5.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	77%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	62%	77%
Over 4.5 Corners For	46%	69%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	85%	77%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	85%	69%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	69%	62%

Head to Head · 14 matches

Swindon Town

50%

Draws

14%

Grimsby

36%

93%

Over 1.5

13/14

79%

Over 2.5

11/14

50%

Over 3.5

7/14

57%

BTTS

8/14

25/04/26

Grimsby

4–0

Swindon Town

22/11/25

Swindon Town

2–2

Grimsby

18/04/25

Grimsby

0–4

Swindon Town

21/12/24

Swindon Town

3–1

Grimsby

20/04/24

Grimsby

2–0

Swindon Town

30/09/23

Swindon Town

2–1

Grimsby

14/01/23

Swindon Town

5–0

Grimsby

24/09/22

Grimsby

1–2

Swindon Town

22/02/20

Swindon Town

3–1

Grimsby

07/12/19

Grimsby

0–3

Swindon Town

23/02/19

Swindon Town

1–1

Grimsby

15/12/18

Grimsby

2–1

Swindon Town

21/04/18

Swindon Town

0–1

Grimsby

21/11/17

Grimsby

3–2

Swindon Town

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	-8	5

Team Insights

Swindon Town

●Swindon Town have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
●Swindon Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
●Swindon Town have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
●100% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.
●92% of Swindon Town's points have been earned at home.

Grimsby

●Grimsby have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
●Grimsby have lost their last 4 matches.
●Grimsby have lost their last 2 away matches.
●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
●62% of Grimsby's goals have been scored at home.
●77% of Grimsby's points have been earned at home.
●Grimsby have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.

Swindon Town

DHWalsall5º1–1

LHCrewe3º0–1

LARochdale13º0–1

DHAccrington ST10º1–1

LHNewport County0–2

LASalford City1º0–1

LHCrystal Palace U211–2

LAYork4º0–4

WHColchester20º3–1

WHPort Vale21º3–1

Grimsby

LHNorthampton22º0–2

LAPort Vale21º0–1

DHBurton Albion0–0

LHShrewsbury14º1–2

LANewport County11º1–2

LANotts County1–2

WHCrawley Town24º2–0

WHBristol Rovers9º2–0

DACheltenham8º2–2

DAAccrington ST10º2–2

Season Schedule

Swindon Town

Walsall1–1

Crewe0–1

Rochdale0–1

Accrington ST1–1

Salford City0–1

York0–4

–A

Barnet20/10

–A

Bristol Rovers24/10

–H

Rotherham31/10

Grimsby

Northampton0–2

Port Vale0–1

Shrewsbury1–2

Newport County1–2

Crawley Town2–0

Bristol Rovers2–0

–A

Rochdale20/10

–A

Gillingham24/10

–H

York31/10

Top Scorers

Swindon Town

A. Drinan6 ⚽

Aaron Drinan5 ⚽

P. Glatzel3 ⚽

Joseph Hungbo1 ⚽

F. Holman1 ⚽

Ben Middlemas1 ⚽

Grimsby

A. Cook6 ⚽

J. Amaluzor3 ⚽

Kieran Green3 ⚽

C. Vernam2 ⚽

H. Rodgers2 ⚽

Géza Dávid Turi1 ⚽

Cards Given

Swindon Town

J. Debayo3 🟨

Kaelan Majekodunmi3 🟨

James Debayo2 🟨

Dan Butler2 🟨

James Ball2 🟨

Ollie Clarke2 🟨

Grimsby

Kieran Green3 🟨

Maldini Kacurri2 🟨

C. McJannet2 🟨

Finn Cartwright2 🟨

Charles Vernam2 🟨

Douglas Tharme1 🟨

Swindon Town vs Grimsby — League Two

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 14 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given