Grimsby vs Rotherham — League Two
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Grimsby and Rotherham meet in the League Two 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Grimsby have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Rotherham have won 22% of their 23 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Grimsby and 0.94 for Rotherham. The models give Grimsby a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Rotherham win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Grimsby—
Rotherham11º
Position
22º
1.31
PPG
0.92
31%
Win %
15%
1.46
Goals / game
1.31
1.23
Conceded / game
1.77
52%
BTTS %
61%
39%
Clean sheet %
17%
52%
Over 2.5 %
39%
7.1
Avg corners
3.5
15.1
Avg shots
10.9
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.5
Avg fouls
13.1
53.5%
Avg possession
48.8%
Home vs Away
Grimsby
Home (6)
—
Rotherham
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
0.67
50%
Win %
17%
1.33
Goals / game
0.67
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
45%
BTTS %
42%
45%
Clean sheet %
33%
45%
Over 2.5 %
17%
7.1
Avg corners
3.5
15.1
Avg shots
10.9
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.1
53.5%
Avg possession
48.8%
Goals Scored
| Grimsby | Home | Away | Rotherham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 82% | 67% | 78% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 55% | 42% | 26% | 36% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 18% | 33% | 22% | 18% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Grimsby | Home | Away | Rotherham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 55% | 67% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 45% | 42% | 43% | 64% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 9% | 0% | 22% | 45% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 45% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Grimsby | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS | 52% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 4% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Grimsby | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Grimsby (H)L
Northampton0–2
Northampton0–2D
Burton Albion0–0
Burton Albion0–0L
Shrewsbury1–2
Shrewsbury1–2W
Crawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0W
Bristol Rovers2–0
Bristol Rovers2–0D
Fleetwood Town2–2
Fleetwood Town2–2Rotherham (A)LFleetwood Town0–2
Fleetwood Town0–2L
Exeter City0–1
Exeter City0–1D
York1–1
York1–1WNorthampton1–0
Northampton1–0LBristol Rovers0–1
Bristol Rovers0–1D
Tranmere2–2
Tranmere2–2Number of Corners
12.2
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.0
137 games
8.5
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Grimsby | Rotherham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 60% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 93% | 53% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 93% | 53% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 93% | 47% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 33% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 60% | 33% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 40% | 20% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 40% | 20% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Grimsby | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.1 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 47% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Grimsby
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Rotherham
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
30/07/24Rotherham
Grimsby
2–2Rotherham24/07/21Rotherham
Grimsby
0–1Rotherham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 |  Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
Grimsby- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Rotherham- ●Rotherham have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Rotherham have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Rotherham have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Rotherham have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●76% of Rotherham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Rotherham's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Rotherham have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GrimsbyWAGillingham4–1
Gillingham4–1DARochdale2–2
Rochdale2–2LHNorthampton0–2
Northampton0–2LAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1LHShrewsbury1–2
Shrewsbury1–2LANewport County1–2
Newport County1–2–HYork31/10
York31/10–ASwindon Town14/11
Swindon Town14/11–HRotherham21/11
Rotherham21/11RotherhamDHShrewsbury3–3
Shrewsbury3–3DHNewport County2–2
Newport County2–2LAFleetwood Town0–2
Fleetwood Town0–2LHGillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4LAExeter City0–1
Exeter City0–1DHCrewe1–1
Crewe1–1–ASwindon Town31/10
Swindon Town31/10–HCrawley Town14/11
Crawley Town14/11–AGrimsby21/11
Grimsby21/11Top Scorers
GrimsbyA. Cook6 ⚽
Kieran Green4 ⚽
J. Amaluzor3 ⚽
C. Vernam2 ⚽
Géza Dávid Turi2 ⚽
H. Rodgers2 ⚽
RotherhamPaul Mullin8 ⚽
F. Tavares3 ⚽
J. Buyabu2 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
Aaron Nemane1 ⚽
E. Otoo1 ⚽
Cards Given
GrimsbyMaldini Kacurri4 🟨
Charles Vernam3 🟨
Kieran Green3 🟨
Jamie Walker2 🟨
Finn Cartwright2 🟨
C. McJannet2 🟨
RotherhamJosh Austerfield4 🟨
B. Cover3 🟨
Dominic Iorfa3 🟨
H. Douglas2 🟨
Denzel Hall2 🟨
A. Bruce2 🟨