Newport County vs Swindon Town — League Two
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Newport County and Swindon Town meet in the League Two 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Newport County have recorded 7 wins from 24 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Swindon Town have won 32% of their 22 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Newport County and 0.95 for Swindon Town. The models give Newport County a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Swindon Town win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Newport County | Home | Away | Swindon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 89% | 67% | 59% | 75% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 44% | 47% | 36% | 42% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 11% | 33% | 41% | 25% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Newport County | Home | Away | Swindon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 78% | 60% | 86% | 92% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 44% | 33% | 32% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 22% | 7% | 23% | 8% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 22% | 40% | 14% | 8% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newport County | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 54% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newport County | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 68% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Newport County | Swindon Town | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 80% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 53% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 47% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 47% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 40% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 33% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Newport County | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 53% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 67% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 | |
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 | |
| 4 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 | |
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 | |
| 19 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 23 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 24 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Newport County have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Newport County have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Newport County's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Newport County's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Newport County's points have been earned at home.
- ●Swindon Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●77% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.