Northampton vs Rochdale — League Two
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Northampton and Rochdale meet in the League Two 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Northampton have recorded 5 wins from 19 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 0.84 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 32% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 26%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Rochdale have won 19% of their 21 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Northampton and 0.89 for Rochdale. The models give Northampton a 42% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Rochdale win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Northampton—
Rochdale19º
Position
17º
1.18
PPG
1.15
27%
Win %
31%
0.73
Goals / game
1.15
0.73
Conceded / game
1.69
32%
BTTS %
52%
32%
Clean sheet %
19%
26%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.4
Avg corners
4.3
11.3
Avg shots
9.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.3
12.6
Avg fouls
10.2
43.5%
Avg possession
53.9%
Home vs Away
Northampton
Home (6)
—
Rochdale
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
0.83
33%
Win %
17%
0.67
Goals / game
0.83
0.50
Conceded / game
1.50
13%
BTTS %
40%
50%
Clean sheet %
10%
13%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.4
Avg corners
4.3
11.3
Avg shots
9.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.3
43.5%
Avg possession
53.9%
Goals Scored
| Northampton | Home | Away | Rochdale | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 47% | 38% | 55% | 67% | 91% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 13% | 27% | 48% | 64% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 18% | 14% | 27% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 53% | 63% | 45% | 33% | 9% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Northampton | Home | Away | Rochdale | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 50% | 82% | 81% | 73% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 13% | 36% | 67% | 73% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 45% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 50% | 18% | 19% | 27% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Northampton | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 26% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 33% |
| BTTS | 32% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 16% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Northampton | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 53% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 32% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Northampton (H)W
Colchester2–0
Colchester2–0L
Tranmere0–1
Tranmere0–1L
Rotherham0–1
Rotherham0–1W
Newport County1–0
Newport County1–0D
Crawley Town1–1
Crawley Town1–1L
Brighton U210–3
Brighton U210–3Rochdale (A)L
Crewe2–3
Crewe2–3DTranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1L
Huddersfield0–5
Huddersfield0–5W
Fleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1D
Walsall0–0
Walsall0–0LColchester0–1
Colchester0–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.0
137 games
9.4
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Northampton | Rochdale | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 69% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 44% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 44% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 25% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 13% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 13% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Northampton | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 85% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 69% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 69% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 62% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 63% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
2
Northampton
13%
7
Draws
44%
7
Rochdale
44%
69%
Over 1.5
11/16
50%
Over 2.5
8/16
31%
Over 3.5
5/16
56%
BTTS
9/16
11/02/23Northampton
Rochdale
1–1Northampton17/09/22Rochdale
Northampton
3–0Rochdale26/02/22Northampton
Rochdale
1–0Northampton21/08/21Rochdale
Northampton
1–3Rochdale23/02/21Rochdale
Northampton
0–0Rochdale24/11/20Northampton
Rochdale
1–1Northampton03/02/18Rochdale
Northampton
0–1Rochdale17/10/17Northampton
Rochdale
2–2Northampton01/04/17Northampton
Rochdale
1–1Northampton17/12/16Rochdale
Northampton
2–3Rochdale18/11/14Northampton
Rochdale
2–1Northampton08/11/14Rochdale
Northampton
0–0Rochdale18/03/14Rochdale
Northampton
0–3Rochdale22/10/13Northampton
Rochdale
3–2Northampton09/02/13Rochdale
Northampton
3–1Rochdale18/08/12Northampton
Rochdale
0–0Northampton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 |  York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 |  Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
Northampton- ●Northampton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Northampton failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Northampton have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Rochdale- ●Rochdale have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Rochdale have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Rochdale have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rochdale have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rochdale failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Rochdale's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
NorthamptonWHColchester2–0
Colchester2–0LHTranmere0–1
Tranmere0–1WAGrimsby2–0
Grimsby2–0DAYork1–1
York1–1LHRotherham0–1
Rotherham0–1LAShrewsbury0–2
Shrewsbury0–2–AAccrington ST31/10
Accrington ST31/10–ASalford City14/11
Salford City14/11–HRochdale21/11
Rochdale21/11RochdaleLHAccrington ST0–5
Accrington ST0–5DHGrimsby2–2
Grimsby2–2LACrewe2–3
Crewe2–3DATranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1WHSwindon Town1–0
Swindon Town1–0WAFleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1–APort Vale31/10
Port Vale31/10–HYork14/11
York14/11–ANorthampton21/11
Northampton21/11Top Scorers
NorthamptonM. Warhurst5 ⚽
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh2 ⚽
H. Saunders1 ⚽
Jon Guthrie1 ⚽
L. Briggs1 ⚽
M. Dyche1 ⚽
RochdaleI. Henderson5 ⚽
Dajaune Brown4 ⚽
Cian Hayes2 ⚽
Aden Flint2 ⚽
E. Ebanks-Landell2 ⚽
Ian Henderson2 ⚽
Cards Given
Northamptonjosh powell3 🟨
L. Evans2 🟨
J. Maxwell1 🟨
Joe Wormleighton1 🟨
Jon Guthrie1 🟨
J. Wormleighton1 🟨
RochdaleOlutobi Adebayo-Rowling3 🟨
Edward Francis3 🟨
B. Bilongo3 🟨
L. Hannant2 🟨
Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko2 🟨
D. Moss2 🟨