Crewe vs Grimsby — League Two
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Crewe and Grimsby meet in the League Two 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Crewe have recorded 9 wins from 23 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Grimsby have won 38% of their 24 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Crewe and 1.40 for Grimsby. The models give Crewe a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Grimsby win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Crewe—
Grimsby4º
Position
6º
1.57
PPG
1.43
36%
Win %
36%
1.21
Goals / game
1.71
1.21
Conceded / game
1.29
70%
BTTS %
54%
26%
Clean sheet %
38%
48%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.4
Avg corners
7.0
11.2
Avg shots
15.7
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.3
Avg fouls
11.5
46.5%
Avg possession
52.1%
Home vs Away
Crewe
Home (7)
—
Grimsby
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.00
43%
Win %
14%
1.71
Goals / game
1.57
1.14
Conceded / game
1.43
91%
BTTS %
58%
9%
Clean sheet %
33%
55%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.4
Avg corners
7.0
11.2
Avg shots
15.7
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
46.5%
Avg possession
52.1%
Goals Scored
| Crewe | Home | Away | Grimsby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 45% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 27% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Crewe | Home | Away | Grimsby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 91% | 58% | 63% | 58% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 27% | 42% | 46% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 4% | 8% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 9% | 42% | 38% | 42% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Crewe | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 17% |
| BTTS | 70% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Crewe | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Crewe (H)D
Barnet1–1
Barnet1–1W
Rochdale3–2
Rochdale3–2W
Bristol Rovers3–1
Bristol Rovers3–1W
Aston Villa U214–1
Aston Villa U214–1D
Shrewsbury1–1
Shrewsbury1–1D
York1–1
York1–1Grimsby (A)W
Gillingham4–1
Gillingham4–1DRochdale2–2
Rochdale2–2L
Port Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1L
Newport County1–2
Newport County1–2L
Notts County1–2
Notts County1–2D
Cheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
17 games
League Avg
9.8
152 games
12.0
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Crewe | Grimsby | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 76% | 94% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 94% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 47% | 94% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 88% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 41% | 56% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 41% | 56% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 41% | 38% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 38% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Crewe | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 59% | 56% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
8
Crewe
50%
0
Draws
0%
8
Grimsby
50%
94%
Over 1.5
15/16
44%
Over 2.5
7/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
19%
BTTS
3/16
11/04/26Crewe
Grimsby
3–2Crewe25/10/25Grimsby
Crewe
3–2Grimsby01/04/25Grimsby
Crewe
2–0Grimsby14/12/24Crewe
Grimsby
0–2Crewe13/04/24Grimsby
Crewe
0–3Grimsby09/12/23Crewe
Grimsby
2–1Crewe25/04/23Crewe
Grimsby
2–0Crewe04/02/23Grimsby
Crewe
0–3Grimsby09/08/22Crewe
Grimsby
4–0Crewe07/09/19Crewe
Grimsby
0–2Crewe04/05/19Crewe
Grimsby
2–0Crewe27/10/18Grimsby
Crewe
2–0Grimsby01/01/18Grimsby
Crewe
2–0Grimsby02/09/17Crewe
Grimsby
1–0Crewe11/02/17Grimsby
Crewe
5–0Grimsby17/09/16Crewe
Grimsby
0–2Crewe| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
Crewe- ●Crewe have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Crewe have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Crewe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Crewe have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Crewe failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Crewe have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Crewe's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Crewe have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Grimsby- ●Grimsby have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CreweDHBarnet1–1
Barnet1–1LAChesterfield1–5
Chesterfield1–5LAExeter City0–2
Exeter City0–2WHRochdale3–2
Rochdale3–2WASwindon Town1–0
Swindon Town1–0WHBristol Rovers3–1
Bristol Rovers3–1–HNewport County14/11
Newport County14/11–AGillingham21/11
Gillingham21/11–HGrimsby28/11
Grimsby28/11GrimsbyWHYork5–2
York5–2WAGillingham4–1
Gillingham4–1DARochdale2–2
Rochdale2–2LHNorthampton0–2
Northampton0–2LAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1LHShrewsbury1–2
Shrewsbury1–2–ASwindon Town14/11
Swindon Town14/11–HRotherham21/11
Rotherham21/11–ACrewe28/11
Crewe28/11Top Scorers
CreweJordan Gibson6 ⚽
Jack Lankester4 ⚽
J. March4 ⚽
Charlie McNeill3 ⚽
J. Lankester2 ⚽
A. Thibaut2 ⚽
GrimsbyA. Cook6 ⚽
Kieran Green4 ⚽
Iwan Morgan3 ⚽
Géza Dávid Turi3 ⚽
J. Amaluzor3 ⚽
H. Rodgers2 ⚽
Cards Given
CreweM. Demetriou4 🟨
Lee Bell2 🟨
Charlie McNeill2 🟨
Joe White2 🟨
L. Billington2 🟨
Joshua Stephenson2 🟨
GrimsbyMaldini Kacurri4 🟨
Charles Vernam3 🟨
Kieran Green3 🟨
Jamie Walker2 🟨
Finn Cartwright2 🟨
C. McJannet2 🟨