Swindon Town vs Chesterfield — League Two
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Swindon Town and Chesterfield meet in the League Two 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Swindon Town have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Chesterfield have won 30% of their 20 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Swindon Town and 1.11 for Chesterfield. The models give Swindon Town a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chesterfield win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Swindon Town—
Chesterfield13º
Position
10º
1.36
PPG
1.36
36%
Win %
36%
1.07
Goals / game
1.71
1.21
Conceded / game
1.50
57%
BTTS %
70%
13%
Clean sheet %
15%
61%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.4
Avg corners
5.6
10.9
Avg shots
16.5
3.2
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
10.4
Avg fouls
9.8
46.6%
Avg possession
59.4%
Home vs Away
Swindon Town
Home (7)
—
Chesterfield
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.00
57%
Win %
29%
1.71
Goals / game
1.14
1.00
Conceded / game
1.71
69%
BTTS %
70%
8%
Clean sheet %
10%
62%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.4
Avg corners
5.6
10.9
Avg shots
16.5
3.2
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
46.6%
Avg possession
59.4%
Goals Scored
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 77% | 40% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 46% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 23% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 23% | 60% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 92% | 80% | 85% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 23% | 40% | 40% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 8% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 8% | 20% | 15% | 20% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Swindon Town | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 30% |
| BTTS | 57% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Swindon Town | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 52% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Swindon Town (H)W
Rotherham2–1
Rotherham2–1D
Walsall1–1
Walsall1–1L
Crewe0–1
Crewe0–1D
Accrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1L
Newport County0–2
Newport County0–2L
Crystal Palace U211–2
Crystal Palace U211–2Chesterfield (A)LNewport County1–4
Newport County1–4L
Port Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1D
Crawley Town2–2
Crawley Town2–2L
Cheltenham1–2
Cheltenham1–2W
Oldham2–1
Oldham2–1LRotherham1–2
Rotherham1–2Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
9.8
152 games
8.9
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Swindon Town | Chesterfield | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 63% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 31% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 25% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 19% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 31% | 6% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Swindon Town | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.6 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 31% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
6
Swindon Town
46%
2
Draws
15%
5
Chesterfield
38%
77%
Over 1.5
10/13
62%
Over 2.5
8/13
31%
Over 3.5
4/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
02/05/26Chesterfield
Swindon Town
1–2Chesterfield29/11/25Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1–2Swindon Town22/02/25Chesterfield
Swindon Town
1–0Chesterfield09/08/24Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1–1Swindon Town24/02/18Swindon Town
Chesterfield
2–1Swindon Town11/11/17Chesterfield
Swindon Town
2–2Chesterfield04/03/17Chesterfield
Swindon Town
0–1Chesterfield13/08/16Swindon Town
Chesterfield
3–1Swindon Town23/04/16Chesterfield
Swindon Town
1–0Chesterfield28/11/15Swindon Town
Chesterfield
0–4Swindon Town17/01/15Chesterfield
Swindon Town
3–1Chesterfield28/10/14Swindon Town
Chesterfield
0–3Swindon Town25/03/12Swindon Town
Chesterfield
2–0Swindon Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
Swindon Town- ●Swindon Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●80% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.
Chesterfield- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Chesterfield's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Swindon TownWHRotherham2–1
Rotherham2–1DABristol Rovers0–0
Bristol Rovers0–0WABarnet3–1
Barnet3–1DHWalsall1–1
Walsall1–1LHCrewe0–1
Crewe0–1LARochdale0–1
Rochdale0–1–HGrimsby14/11
Grimsby14/11–ANewport County21/11
Newport County21/11–HChesterfield28/11
Chesterfield28/11ChesterfieldLANewport County1–4
Newport County1–4WHCrewe5–1
Crewe5–1DHColchester1–1
Colchester1–1LAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1DACrawley Town2–2
Crawley Town2–2WHTranmere4–2
Tranmere4–2–ABristol Rovers14/11
Bristol Rovers14/11–HShrewsbury21/11
Shrewsbury21/11–ASwindon Town28/11
Swindon Town28/11Top Scorers
Swindon TownAaron Drinan7 ⚽
A. Drinan6 ⚽
P. Glatzel3 ⚽
Joseph Hungbo2 ⚽
Jack Thomson1 ⚽
F. Holman1 ⚽
ChesterfieldLouie Marsh7 ⚽
Dilan Markanday4 ⚽
Josh Koroma3 ⚽
Lee Bonis3 ⚽
Liam Mandeville3 ⚽
Joel Randall2 ⚽
Cards Given
Swindon TownKaelan Majekodunmi4 🟨
J. Debayo3 🟨
Dan Butler3 🟨
James Debayo2 🟨
James Ball2 🟨
Ollie Clarke2 🟨
ChesterfieldGeorge McEachran4 🟨
Lewis Gordon3 🟨
Alfie Pond3 🟨
K. McFadzean3 🟨
Paul Anthony Cook3 🟨
Remeao Hutton3 🟨