England · League Two · Regular Season - 18

Cheltenham

5º · 1.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 31d 4h

–

Rochdale

20º · 1.07 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h

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Cheltenham and Rochdale meet in the League Two 2026 season on 1 December 2026. Cheltenham have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Rochdale have won 17% of their 23 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 2.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Cheltenham and 1.19 for Rochdale. The models give Cheltenham a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Rochdale win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Cheltenham

—

Rochdale

5º

Position

20º

1.50

PPG

1.07

43%

Win %

29%

1.64

Goals / game

1.21

1.79

Conceded / game

1.86

74%

BTTS %

57%

11%

Clean sheet %

17%

74%

Over 2.5 %

70%

4.1

Avg corners

4.4

9.4

Avg shots

10.2

3.3

Avg shots on target

3.2

2.0

Avg yellow cards

1.3

11.6

Avg fouls

10.5

47.0%

Avg possession

52.7%

Home vs Away

Cheltenham

Home (7)

—

Rochdale

Away (7)

2.29

PPG

0.71

71%

Win %

14%

2.00

Goals / game

1.00

1.43

Conceded / game

1.86

73%

BTTS %

45%

Clean sheet %

73%

Over 2.5 %

55%

4.1

Avg corners

4.4

9.4

Avg shots

10.2

3.3

Avg shots on target

3.2

2.0

Avg yellow cards

1.3

47.0%

Avg possession

52.7%

Goals Scored

	Cheltenham	Home	Away	Rochdale	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	84%	82%	88%	70%	92%	45%
Over 1.5 Scored	53%	64%	38%	48%	58%	36%
Over 2.5 Scored	21%	18%	25%	13%	25%	0%
Failed To Score	16%	18%	13%	30%	8%	55%

Goals Conceded

	Cheltenham	Home	Away	Rochdale	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	89%	91%	88%	83%	75%	91%
Over 1.5 Conceded	68%	73%	63%	70%	75%	64%
Over 2.5 Conceded	16%	9%	25%	43%	50%	36%
Clean Sheets	11%	9%	13%	17%	25%	9%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Cheltenham	Rochdale
Over 0.5	100%	96%
Over 1.5	95%	87%
Over 2.5	74%	70%
Over 3.5	53%	52%
Over 4.5	16%	39%
BTTS	74%	57%
BTTS & Win	26%	4%
BTTS & Draw	26%	26%
BTTS & Over 2.5	68%	52%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	5%	17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Cheltenham	Rochdale
Win 1st Half	47%	22%
Draw 1st Half	26%	30%
Loss 1st Half	26%	48%
Scored 1st Half	63%	39%
Conceded 1st Half	37%	70%
Win 2nd Half	26%	30%
Draw 2nd Half	26%	26%
Loss 2nd Half	47%	43%
Scored 2nd Half	58%	57%
Conceded 2nd Half	74%	74%
Over 0.5 HT	79%	87%
Over 1.5 HT	42%	48%

Recent Venue Form

Cheltenham (H)

Newport County1–0

Fleetwood Town4–2

Tottenham Hotspur U212–2

Salford City0–2

Chesterfield2–1

Exeter City2–2

Rochdale (A)

Port Vale2–4

Crewe2–3

Tranmere1–1

Huddersfield0–5

Fleetwood Town2–1

Walsall0–0

Number of Corners

9.4

Corners / Match

16 games

League Avg

9.8

152 games

9.4

Corners / Match

18 games

Match Corners	Cheltenham	Rochdale	League Avg
Over 6	81%	78%	82%
Over 7	69%	72%	75%
Over 8	56%	44%	63%
Over 9	50%	44%	55%
Over 10	38%	39%	38%
Over 11	25%	22%	32%
Over 12	19%	11%	20%
Over 13	6%	11%	15%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Cheltenham	Rochdale
Corners Earned / Match	4.1	4.4
Corners Against / Match	5.3	5.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	75%	83%
Over 3.5 Corners For	63%	61%
Over 4.5 Corners For	31%	44%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	88%	89%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	69%	72%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	50%	61%

Head to Head · 4 matches

Cheltenham

Draws

25%

Rochdale

75%

Over 1.5

3/4

50%

Over 2.5

2/4

25%

Over 3.5

1/4

50%

BTTS

2/4

26/04/14

Rochdale

2–0

Cheltenham

19/10/13

Cheltenham

1–2

Rochdale

25/01/13

Cheltenham

0–0

Rochdale

21/12/12

Rochdale

4–1

Cheltenham

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	14	10	1	3	+10	31
2	Barnet	13	7	5	1	+10	26
3	Walsall	13	5	7	1	+9	22
4	Crewe	14	5	7	2	0	22
5	Cheltenham	14	6	3	5	-2	21
6	Grimsby	14	5	5	4	+6	20
7	York	14	5	5	4	+3	20
8	Gillingham	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Accrington ST	14	4	7	3	+6	19
10	Chesterfield	14	5	4	5	+3	19
11	Tranmere	14	4	7	3	+2	19
12	Exeter City	14	5	4	5	+2	19
13	Swindon Town	14	5	4	5	-2	19
14	Newport County	14	4	6	4	+3	18
15	Shrewsbury	14	5	3	6	-5	18
16	Fleetwood Town	14	4	5	5	0	17
17	Bristol Rovers	14	5	1	8	-6	16
18	Oldham	14	4	3	7	-4	15
19	Port Vale	12	4	3	5	-4	15
20	Rochdale	14	4	3	7	-9	15
21	Northampton	13	3	5	5	-1	14
22	Rotherham	14	2	6	6	-7	12
23	Colchester	13	2	6	5	-7	12
24	Crawley Town	12	2	3	7	-8	9

Team Insights

Cheltenham

●Cheltenham have won their last 2 home matches.
●Cheltenham have lost their last 3 away matches.
●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Cheltenham have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
●Cheltenham have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
●Cheltenham have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
●76% of Cheltenham's points have been earned at home.
●Cheltenham have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.