Gillingham vs Swindon Town — League Two
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Gillingham and Swindon Town meet in the League Two 2026 season on 1 December 2026. Gillingham have recorded 9 wins from 22 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Swindon Town have won 33% of their 24 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Gillingham and 1.08 for Swindon Town. The models give Gillingham a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Swindon Town win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gillingham | Home | Away | Swindon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 62% | 78% | 63% | 77% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 23% | 56% | 38% | 46% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 15% | 33% | 21% | 23% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 38% | 22% | 38% | 23% | 55% |
Goals Conceded
| Gillingham | Home | Away | Swindon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 69% | 78% | 88% | 92% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 38% | 22% | 33% | 23% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 38% | 22% | 21% | 8% | 36% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 31% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gillingham | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gillingham | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Gillingham | Swindon Town | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 76% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 65% | 53% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 59% | 47% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 35% | 41% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 41% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 6% | 35% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 29% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gillingham | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 53% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 41% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 76% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 59% | 59% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | |
| 18 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 | |
| 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | |
| 20 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
- ●Gillingham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gillingham have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gillingham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gillingham have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Gillingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gillingham have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gillingham have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Swindon Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●80% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.