Grimsby vs Colchester — League Two
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Grimsby and Colchester meet in the League Two 2026 season on 1 December 2026. Grimsby have recorded 9 wins from 25 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.72 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Colchester have won 21% of their 24 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Grimsby and 1.14 for Colchester. The models give Grimsby a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Colchester win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Grimsby—
Colchester6º
Position
23º
1.43
PPG
0.92
36%
Win %
15%
1.71
Goals / game
0.92
1.29
Conceded / game
1.46
56%
BTTS %
50%
36%
Clean sheet %
25%
56%
Over 2.5 %
42%
7.0
Avg corners
3.9
15.7
Avg shots
12.6
5.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.5
11.5
Avg fouls
12.8
52.1%
Avg possession
51.3%
Home vs Away
Grimsby
Home (7)
—
Colchester
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
0.43
57%
Win %
0%
1.86
Goals / game
0.86
1.14
Conceded / game
1.86
50%
BTTS %
42%
42%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
7.0
Avg corners
3.9
15.7
Avg shots
12.6
5.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.5
52.1%
Avg possession
51.3%
Goals Scored
| Grimsby | Home | Away | Colchester | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 83% | 69% | 67% | 75% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 58% | 46% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 25% | 23% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 17% | 31% | 33% | 25% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Grimsby | Home | Away | Colchester | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 58% | 69% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 50% | 46% | 46% | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 8% | 8% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 42% | 31% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Grimsby | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS | 56% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 4% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Grimsby | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Grimsby (H)W
York5–2
York5–2L
Northampton0–2
Northampton0–2D
Burton Albion0–0
Burton Albion0–0L
Shrewsbury1–2
Shrewsbury1–2W
Crawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0W
Bristol Rovers2–0
Bristol Rovers2–0Colchester (A)LNorthampton0–2
Northampton0–2D
Chesterfield1–1
Chesterfield1–1L
Newport County0–1
Newport County0–1DShrewsbury2–2
Shrewsbury2–2L
Peterborough1–3
Peterborough1–3L
Swindon Town1–3
Swindon Town1–3Number of Corners
12.0
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
9.8
152 games
8.4
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Grimsby | Colchester | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 69% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 94% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 94% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 88% | 38% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 19% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 56% | 19% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 6% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 38% | 6% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Grimsby | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 81% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 50% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
6
Grimsby
33%
4
Draws
22%
8
Colchester
44%
56%
Over 1.5
10/18
44%
Over 2.5
8/18
28%
Over 3.5
5/18
50%
BTTS
9/18
27/01/26Grimsby
Colchester
0–1Grimsby11/10/25Colchester
Grimsby
1–2Colchester28/03/25Grimsby
Colchester
1–2Grimsby23/11/24Colchester
Grimsby
0–1Colchester16/04/24Grimsby
Colchester
2–0Grimsby24/10/23Colchester
Grimsby
2–3Colchester11/02/23Colchester
Grimsby
0–1Colchester17/09/22Grimsby
Colchester
0–1Grimsby13/03/21Colchester
Grimsby
0–0Colchester05/12/20Grimsby
Colchester
2–1Grimsby11/02/20Grimsby
Colchester
2–3Grimsby20/08/19Colchester
Grimsby
2–2Colchester19/04/19Grimsby
Colchester
1–0Grimsby23/10/18Colchester
Grimsby
1–0Colchester20/01/18Grimsby
Colchester
1–1Grimsby26/09/17Colchester
Grimsby
2–2Colchester28/02/17Colchester
Grimsby
1–0Colchester16/08/16Grimsby
Colchester
3–2Grimsby| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
Grimsby- ●Grimsby have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Colchester- ●Colchester have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Colchester have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Colchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Colchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Colchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●68% of Colchester's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Colchester's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
GrimsbyWHYork5–2
York5–2WAGillingham4–1
Gillingham4–1DARochdale2–2
Rochdale2–2LHNorthampton0–2
Northampton0–2LAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1LHShrewsbury1–2
Shrewsbury1–2–ASwindon Town14/11
Swindon Town14/11–HRotherham21/11
Rotherham21/11–ACrewe28/11
Crewe28/11ColchesterLHWalsall1–3
Walsall1–3LANorthampton0–2
Northampton0–2DAChesterfield1–1
Chesterfield1–1DHExeter City0–0
Exeter City0–0LANewport County0–1
Newport County0–1DAShrewsbury2–2
Shrewsbury2–2–HGillingham14/11
Gillingham14/11–ATranmere21/11
Tranmere21/11–HYork28/11
York28/11Top Scorers
GrimsbyA. Cook6 ⚽
Géza Dávid Turi4 ⚽
Kieran Green4 ⚽
J. Amaluzor3 ⚽
Iwan Morgan3 ⚽
H. Rodgers2 ⚽
ColchesterH. Anderson3 ⚽
Moses Sesay3 ⚽
Bradley ihionvein2 ⚽
Jaden Williams2 ⚽
J. Payne2 ⚽
F. Terry1 ⚽
Cards Given
GrimsbyMaldini Kacurri4 🟨
Kieran Green3 🟨
Charles Vernam3 🟨
Jamie Walker2 🟨
Géza Dávid Turi2 🟨
C. McJannet2 🟨
ColchesterBen perry2 🟨
Jay Williams2 🟨
Bradley ihionvein2 🟨
Danny Cowley2 🟨
Beryly Lubala2 🟨
ronnie harvey2 🟨