Northampton vs Fleetwood Town — League Two
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Northampton and Fleetwood Town meet in the League Two 2026 season on 1 December 2026. Northampton have recorded 5 wins from 22 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 32% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Fleetwood Town have won 44% of their 27 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Northampton and 1.00 for Fleetwood Town. The models give Northampton a 38% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Fleetwood Town win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Northampton—
Fleetwood Town21º
Position
16º
1.08
PPG
1.21
23%
Win %
29%
0.69
Goals / game
1.29
0.77
Conceded / game
1.29
32%
BTTS %
52%
27%
Clean sheet %
37%
27%
Over 2.5 %
41%
5.1
Avg corners
5.3
11.1
Avg shots
13.0
3.6
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.4
12.8
Avg fouls
12.9
44.2%
Avg possession
49.3%
Home vs Away
Northampton
Home (7)
—
Fleetwood Town
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
0.71
29%
Win %
14%
0.57
Goals / game
1.14
0.57
Conceded / game
1.86
11%
BTTS %
45%
44%
Clean sheet %
27%
11%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.1
Avg corners
5.3
11.1
Avg shots
13.0
3.6
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.4
44.2%
Avg possession
49.3%
Goals Scored
| Northampton | Home | Away | Fleetwood Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 45% | 33% | 54% | 85% | 94% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 11% | 23% | 37% | 44% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 55% | 67% | 46% | 15% | 6% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Northampton | Home | Away | Fleetwood Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 56% | 85% | 63% | 56% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 11% | 38% | 22% | 13% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 15% | 7% | 0% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 44% | 15% | 37% | 44% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Northampton | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 11% |
| BTTS | 32% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 14% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Northampton | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 32% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Northampton (H)L
Oldham0–1
Oldham0–1W
Colchester2–0
Colchester2–0L
Tranmere0–1
Tranmere0–1L
Rotherham0–1
Rotherham0–1W
Newport County1–0
Newport County1–0D
Crawley Town1–1
Crawley Town1–1Fleetwood Town (A)L
Exeter City1–2
Exeter City1–2L
Cheltenham2–4
Cheltenham2–4L
Salford City0–1
Salford City0–1LOldham0–1
Oldham0–1L
Barnet1–3
Barnet1–3DNewport County1–1
Newport County1–1Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
9.8
152 games
10.8
Corners / Match
20 games
| Match Corners | Northampton | Fleetwood Town | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 81% | 90% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 70% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 55% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 40% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 20% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Northampton | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.1 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 95% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 69% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 65% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
4
Northampton
33%
2
Draws
17%
6
Fleetwood Town
50%
58%
Over 1.5
7/12
25%
Over 2.5
3/12
8%
Over 3.5
1/12
17%
BTTS
2/12
13/04/24Northampton
Fleetwood Town
2–0Northampton09/12/23Fleetwood Town
Northampton
3–0Fleetwood Town26/01/21Northampton
Fleetwood Town
0–0Northampton01/12/20Fleetwood Town
Northampton
1–0Fleetwood Town24/03/18Northampton
Fleetwood Town
2–0Northampton12/08/17Fleetwood Town
Northampton
0–1Fleetwood Town25/02/17Northampton
Fleetwood Town
3–0Northampton06/08/16Fleetwood Town
Northampton
1–1Fleetwood Town15/02/14Northampton
Fleetwood Town
2–0Northampton16/11/13Fleetwood Town
Northampton
1–0Fleetwood Town05/01/13Fleetwood Town
Northampton
3–1Fleetwood Town15/09/12Northampton
Fleetwood Town
1–0Northampton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
Northampton- ●Northampton have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Northampton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Northampton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Northampton have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Fleetwood Town- ●Fleetwood Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fleetwood Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Fleetwood Town have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Fleetwood Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fleetwood Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fleetwood Town have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fleetwood Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fleetwood Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Fleetwood Town have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●72% of Fleetwood Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
NorthamptonLHOldham0–1
Oldham0–1DAAccrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1WHColchester2–0
Colchester2–0LHTranmere0–1
Tranmere0–1WAGrimsby2–0
Grimsby2–0DAYork1–1
York1–1–ASalford City14/11
Salford City14/11–HRochdale21/11
Rochdale21/11–APort Vale24/11
Port Vale24/11Fleetwood TownWHBristol Rovers3–1
Bristol Rovers3–1LAExeter City1–2
Exeter City1–2LACheltenham2–4
Cheltenham2–4WHRotherham2–0
Rotherham2–0DHWalsall1–1
Walsall1–1LASalford City0–1
Salford City0–1–HTranmere14/11
Tranmere14/11–ACrawley Town21/11
Crawley Town21/11–HAccrington ST28/11
Accrington ST28/11Top Scorers
NorthamptonM. Warhurst5 ⚽
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh2 ⚽
Elliott List1 ⚽
H. Saunders1 ⚽
Jon Guthrie1 ⚽
L. Briggs1 ⚽
Fleetwood TownRonan Coughlan7 ⚽
C. Evans5 ⚽
Aaron Loupalo-Bi5 ⚽
Will davies3 ⚽
R. Coughlan2 ⚽
Ched Evans2 ⚽
Cards Given
Northamptonjosh powell3 🟨
Joe Wormleighton2 🟨
L. Evans2 🟨
M. Warhurst2 🟨
H. Saunders1 🟨
J. Wormleighton1 🟨
Fleetwood TownR. Bennett6 🟨
Lewis McCann5 🟨
Shaun Rooney4 🟨
Ched Evans4 🟨
R. Cirino4 🟨
Harrison Neal3 🟨