Oldham vs Bristol Rovers — League Two
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Oldham and Bristol Rovers meet in the League Two 2026 season on 1 December 2026. Oldham have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Bristol Rovers have won 35% of their 23 matches, with 1.39 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Oldham and 1.13 for Bristol Rovers. The models give Oldham a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bristol Rovers win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Oldham—
Bristol Rovers18º
Position
17º
1.07
PPG
1.14
29%
Win %
36%
1.07
Goals / game
1.21
1.36
Conceded / game
1.64
43%
BTTS %
52%
29%
Clean sheet %
30%
48%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.8
Avg corners
5.1
14.0
Avg shots
15.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.3
12.1
Avg fouls
13.3
46.5%
Avg possession
48.9%
Home vs Away
Oldham
Home (7)
—
Bristol Rovers
Away (7)
1.43
PPG
0.43
43%
Win %
14%
1.57
Goals / game
0.86
1.14
Conceded / game
2.14
42%
BTTS %
55%
42%
Clean sheet %
18%
58%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.8
Avg corners
5.1
14.0
Avg shots
15.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.3
46.5%
Avg possession
48.9%
Goals Scored
| Oldham | Home | Away | Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 77% | 56% | 78% | 83% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 46% | 0% | 39% | 33% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 31% | 0% | 13% | 8% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 23% | 44% | 22% | 17% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Oldham | Home | Away | Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 62% | 89% | 70% | 58% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 31% | 67% | 57% | 42% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 15% | 22% | 30% | 17% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 38% | 11% | 30% | 42% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Oldham | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS | 45% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Oldham | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Oldham (H)W
Sheffield Wednesday2–1
Sheffield Wednesday2–1L
Crawley Town0–1
Crawley Town0–1W
Cheltenham4–1
Cheltenham4–1W
Leeds United U214–2
Leeds United U214–2D
Accrington ST0–0
Accrington ST0–0L
Salford City1–4
Salford City1–4Bristol Rovers (A)L
Fleetwood Town1–3
Fleetwood Town1–3L
Shrewsbury0–1
Shrewsbury0–1L
Wycombe1–4
Wycombe1–4L
Crewe1–3
Crewe1–3L
Gillingham0–3
Gillingham0–3L
Grimsby0–2
Grimsby0–2Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
9.8
152 games
8.8
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Oldham | Bristol Rovers | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 69% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 69% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 38% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 25% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 19% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 13% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 13% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Oldham | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 38% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
3
Oldham
38%
2
Draws
25%
3
Bristol Rovers
38%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
25%
Over 2.5
2/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
17/02/26Bristol Rovers
Oldham
2–0Bristol Rovers19/08/25Oldham
Bristol Rovers
0–0Oldham08/02/22Bristol Rovers
Oldham
2–1Bristol Rovers17/08/21Oldham
Bristol Rovers
1–0Oldham30/12/17Bristol Rovers
Oldham
1–1Bristol Rovers12/09/17Oldham
Bristol Rovers
2–3Oldham17/04/17Oldham
Bristol Rovers
1–0Oldham22/10/16Bristol Rovers
Oldham
0–2Bristol Rovers| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
Oldham- ●Oldham have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Oldham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Oldham's goals have been scored at home.
Bristol Rovers- ●Bristol Rovers have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Bristol Rovers's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Bristol Rovers's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●81% of Bristol Rovers's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
OldhamWANorthampton1–0
Northampton1–0LHCrawley Town0–1
Crawley Town0–1DABarnet1–1
Barnet1–1LAWalsall0–3
Walsall0–3WHCheltenham4–1
Cheltenham4–1DHAccrington ST0–0
Accrington ST0–0–AShrewsbury14/11
Shrewsbury14/11–HExeter City21/11
Exeter City21/11–ARotherham28/11
Rotherham28/11Bristol RoversLAFleetwood Town1–3
Fleetwood Town1–3DHSwindon Town0–0
Swindon Town0–0LHSalford City1–2
Salford City1–2LAShrewsbury0–1
Shrewsbury0–1LHBarnet1–3
Barnet1–3LACrewe1–3
Crewe1–3–HChesterfield14/11
Chesterfield14/11–ACheltenham21/11
Cheltenham21/11–HTranmere28/11
Tranmere28/11Top Scorers
OldhamC. Kavanagh5 ⚽
Calum Kavanagh3 ⚽
K. Appiah-Forson2 ⚽
Jamie Robson2 ⚽
Favour fawunmi2 ⚽
Noah Chilvers2 ⚽
Bristol RoversReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny3 ⚽
T. Leigh3 ⚽
B. Kamwa3 ⚽
F. Cavegn3 ⚽
Ellis Harrison3 ⚽
Fabrizio Cavegn2 ⚽
Cards Given
OldhamJamie Robson3 🟨
Oliver Norburn2 🟨
O. Norburn2 🟨
Kane drummond2 🟨
Emmanuel Monthe1 🟨
D. Daniels1 🟨
Bristol RoversSteve Evans4 🟨
Tommy Leigh4 🟨
Shaqai Forde4 🟨
Kofi Balmer4 🟨
Ben Purrington4 🟨
Clinton Mola3 🟨