Bristol Rovers vs Accrington ST — League Two
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Bristol Rovers and Accrington ST meet in the League Two 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Bristol Rovers have recorded 8 wins from 24 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Accrington ST have won 33% of their 24 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Bristol Rovers and 1.36 for Accrington ST. The models give Bristol Rovers a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Accrington ST win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Bristol Rovers—
Accrington ST17º
Position
9º
1.14
PPG
1.36
36%
Win %
29%
1.21
Goals / game
1.64
1.64
Conceded / game
1.21
54%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
42%
58%
Over 2.5 %
46%
5.2
Avg corners
5.0
15.1
Avg shots
15.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
13.1
Avg fouls
13.2
49.1%
Avg possession
47.3%
Home vs Away
Bristol Rovers
Home (7)
—
Accrington ST
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
0.86
57%
Win %
14%
1.57
Goals / game
1.43
1.14
Conceded / game
1.29
54%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
40%
46%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.2
Avg corners
5.0
15.1
Avg shots
15.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
49.1%
Avg possession
47.3%
Goals Scored
| Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | Accrington ST | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 85% | 73% | 75% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 38% | 45% | 42% | 43% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 8% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 15% | 27% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | Accrington ST | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 62% | 82% | 58% | 57% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 46% | 73% | 38% | 36% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 15% | 45% | 8% | 7% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 38% | 18% | 42% | 43% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bristol Rovers | Accrington ST | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS | 54% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bristol Rovers | Accrington ST | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Bristol Rovers (H)D
Reading2–2
Reading2–2W
Cambridge United2–0
Cambridge United2–0D
Swindon Town0–0
Swindon Town0–0L
Salford City1–2
Salford City1–2L
Barnet1–3
Barnet1–3W
Exeter City1–0
Exeter City1–0Accrington ST (A)W
Sheffield Wednesday4–0
Sheffield Wednesday4–0W
Rochdale5–0
Rochdale5–0D
York1–1
York1–1D
Oldham0–0
Oldham0–0DSwindon Town1–1
Swindon Town1–1LBarnet1–2
Barnet1–2Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
17 games
League Avg
9.8
152 games
9.4
Corners / Match
18 games
| Match Corners | Bristol Rovers | Accrington ST | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 76% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 72% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 61% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 22% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 17% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 0% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bristol Rovers | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 59% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 41% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 35% | 50% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
3
Bristol Rovers
18%
2
Draws
12%
12
Accrington ST
71%
59%
Over 1.5
10/17
47%
Over 2.5
8/17
29%
Over 3.5
5/17
47%
BTTS
8/17
28/03/26Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
2–0Accrington ST15/11/25Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
3–1Bristol Rovers14/01/23Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
2–0Bristol Rovers24/09/22Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0–1Accrington ST09/03/21Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
4–1Accrington ST02/02/21Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
6–1Bristol Rovers07/09/19Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
3–3Accrington ST12/01/19Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
0–0Bristol Rovers11/08/18Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
1–2Accrington ST30/01/16Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
1–0Bristol Rovers12/09/15Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0–1Accrington ST28/01/14Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0–1Accrington ST22/10/13Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
2–1Bristol Rovers20/04/13Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0–1Accrington ST27/10/12Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
1–0Bristol Rovers28/04/12Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
5–1Accrington ST05/11/11Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
2–1Bristol Rovers| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
Bristol Rovers- ●Bristol Rovers have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Bristol Rovers's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Bristol Rovers's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●81% of Bristol Rovers's points have been earned at home.
Accrington ST- ●Accrington ST have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Accrington ST have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Accrington ST have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Accrington ST failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Accrington ST have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Accrington ST failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Accrington ST have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Accrington ST have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Accrington ST have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Bristol RoversLAFleetwood Town1–3
Fleetwood Town1–3DHSwindon Town0–0
Swindon Town0–0LHSalford City1–2
Salford City1–2LAShrewsbury0–1
Shrewsbury0–1LHBarnet1–3
Barnet1–3LACrewe1–3
Crewe1–3–HChesterfield14/11
Chesterfield14/11–ACheltenham21/11
Cheltenham21/11–HTranmere28/11
Tranmere28/11Accrington STDHNorthampton1–1
Northampton1–1WARochdale5–0
Rochdale5–0DAYork1–1
York1–1WHGillingham3–1
Gillingham3–1DAOldham0–0
Oldham0–0WHCheltenham2–0
Cheltenham2–0–APort Vale14/11
Port Vale14/11–HSalford City21/11
Salford City21/11–AFleetwood Town28/11
Fleetwood Town28/11Top Scorers
Bristol RoversReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny4 ⚽
T. Leigh3 ⚽
B. Kamwa3 ⚽
Ellis Harrison3 ⚽
F. Cavegn3 ⚽
E. Harrison2 ⚽
Accrington STJosh Woods7 ⚽
Charlie Warren5 ⚽
C. Caton5 ⚽
Charlie Caton4 ⚽
J. Woods3 ⚽
Stefan Mols3 ⚽
Cards Given
Bristol RoversTommy Leigh5 🟨
Ben Purrington4 🟨
Shaqai Forde4 🟨
Kofi Balmer4 🟨
Steve Evans4 🟨
Clinton Mola3 🟨
Accrington STDevon matthews5 🟨
David Tutonda4 🟨
Donald Love4 🟨
Josh Woods3 🟨
J. Anderson3 🟨
Stefan Mols3 🟨