Exeter City vs Rochdale — League Two
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Exeter City and Rochdale meet in the League Two 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Exeter City have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Rochdale have won 21% of their 24 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 2.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Exeter City and 0.90 for Rochdale. The models give Exeter City a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Rochdale win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Exeter City—
Rochdale12º
Position
20º
1.36
PPG
1.07
36%
Win %
29%
0.79
Goals / game
1.21
0.64
Conceded / game
1.86
39%
BTTS %
58%
39%
Clean sheet %
17%
30%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.4
Avg corners
4.3
11.2
Avg shots
10.1
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.4
11.9
Avg fouls
10.7
45.1%
Avg possession
52.4%
Home vs Away
Exeter City
Home (7)
—
Rochdale
Away (7)
2.14
PPG
0.71
57%
Win %
14%
1.14
Goals / game
1.00
0.29
Conceded / game
1.86
40%
BTTS %
50%
60%
Clean sheet %
8%
20%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.4
Avg corners
4.3
11.2
Avg shots
10.1
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.4
45.1%
Avg possession
52.4%
Goals Scored
| Exeter City | Home | Away | Rochdale | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 80% | 54% | 71% | 92% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 50% | 23% | 50% | 58% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 20% | 46% | 29% | 8% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Exeter City | Home | Away | Rochdale | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 40% | 77% | 83% | 75% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 10% | 38% | 67% | 75% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 60% | 23% | 17% | 25% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Exeter City | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS | 39% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Exeter City | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 52% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Exeter City (H)W
Fleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1W
Crewe2–0
Crewe2–0D
Oxford United2–2
Oxford United2–2W
Rotherham1–0
Rotherham1–0D
Tranmere0–0
Tranmere0–0W
Tottenham Hotspur U212–0
Tottenham Hotspur U212–0Rochdale (A)WFleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1L
Port Vale2–4
Port Vale2–4LCrewe2–3
Crewe2–3DTranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1L
Huddersfield0–5
Huddersfield0–5WFleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
18 games
League Avg
9.8
152 games
9.5
Corners / Match
19 games
| Match Corners | Exeter City | Rochdale | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 79% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 74% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 72% | 47% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 61% | 47% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 42% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 26% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 6% | 11% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 11% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Exeter City | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 61% | 63% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
3
Exeter City
38%
1
Draws
13%
4
Rochdale
50%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
50%
Over 3.5
4/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
23/04/22Rochdale
Exeter City
2–0Rochdale27/11/21Exeter City
Rochdale
1–1Exeter City22/02/14Rochdale
Exeter City
0–1Rochdale23/11/13Exeter City
Rochdale
3–1Exeter City01/04/13Rochdale
Exeter City
1–2Rochdale08/12/12Exeter City
Rochdale
2–3Exeter City14/04/12Exeter City
Rochdale
3–2Exeter City22/10/11Rochdale
Exeter City
3–1Rochdale| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
Exeter City- ●Exeter City have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Exeter City have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Exeter City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Exeter City have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Exeter City's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Exeter City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Exeter City's points have been earned at home.
Rochdale- ●Rochdale have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Rochdale failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Rochdale have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Rochdale have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rochdale have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rochdale have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rochdale have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rochdale failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Exeter CityLASalford City1–2
Salford City1–2WHFleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1WHCrewe2–0
Crewe2–0DAColchester0–0
Colchester0–0WAShrewsbury1–0
Shrewsbury1–0WHRotherham1–0
Rotherham1–0–HCheltenham14/11
Cheltenham14/11–AOldham21/11
Oldham21/11–HCrawley Town28/11
Crawley Town28/11RochdaleLAPort Vale2–4
Port Vale2–4LHAccrington ST0–5
Accrington ST0–5DHGrimsby2–2
Grimsby2–2LACrewe2–3
Crewe2–3DATranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1WHSwindon Town1–0
Swindon Town1–0–HYork14/11
York14/11–ANorthampton21/11
Northampton21/11–HBarnet28/11
Barnet28/11Top Scorers
Exeter CityCharlie Cummins4 ⚽
L. Woodhouse3 ⚽
Anthony Scully3 ⚽
J. Gordon2 ⚽
J. Fitzwater2 ⚽
Louie Cayless2 ⚽
RochdaleI. Henderson5 ⚽
Ian Henderson4 ⚽
Dajaune Brown4 ⚽
E. Ebanks-Landell2 ⚽
Cian Hayes2 ⚽
Charlie Tasker2 ⚽
Cards Given
Exeter CityJack Fitzwater3 🟨
Taylor Perry3 🟨
E. Sutherland3 🟨
C. Cummins2 🟨
Edward James2 🟨
Charlie Cummins2 🟨
RochdaleOlutobi Adebayo-Rowling3 🟨
Edward Francis3 🟨
B. Bilongo3 🟨
Harvey Gilmour3 🟨
Cian Hayes3 🟨
D. Moss2 🟨