Oxford United vs Reading — League One
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The Kassam Stadium·Oxford, Oxfordshire·England·12,500
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Oxford United and Reading meet in the League One 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Oxford United have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Reading have won 50% of their 20 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Oxford United and 1.61 for Reading. The models give Oxford United a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Reading win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Oxford United—
Reading8º
Position
6º
2.00
PPG
1.67
57%
Win %
44%
2.14
Goals / game
2.44
1.14
Conceded / game
1.22
69%
BTTS %
50%
23%
Clean sheet %
40%
77%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.1
Avg corners
6.2
11.1
Avg shots
15.5
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.4
13.3
Avg fouls
11.8
53.9%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Oxford United
Home (3)
—
Reading
Away (4)
1.67
PPG
1.25
33%
Win %
25%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.25
60%
BTTS %
45%
40%
Clean sheet %
45%
60%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.1
Avg corners
6.2
11.1
Avg shots
15.5
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.4
53.9%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Oxford United | Home | Away | Reading | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 88% | 85% | 89% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 77% | 80% | 75% | 55% | 56% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 40% | 25% | 35% | 44% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 13% | 15% | 11% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Oxford United | Home | Away | Reading | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 60% | 88% | 60% | 67% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 20% | 38% | 25% | 33% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 40% | 13% | 40% | 33% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Oxford United | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS | 69% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Oxford United | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 62% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 85% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Oxford United (H)D
Cambridge United1–1
Cambridge United1–1W
Burton Albion3–0
Burton Albion3–0D
Milton Keynes Dons2–2
Milton Keynes Dons2–2W
Ipswich2–0
Ipswich2–0W
Crawley Town3–1
Crawley Town3–1W
Sheffield Wednesday4–1
Sheffield Wednesday4–1Reading (A)WMilton Keynes Dons5–1
Milton Keynes Dons5–1D
Wycombe2–2
Wycombe2–2LCambridge United1–2
Cambridge United1–2W
Stevenage3–0
Stevenage3–0D
AFC Wimbledon0–0
AFC Wimbledon0–0D
Bromley1–1
Bromley1–1Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
11.0
97 games
10.8
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Oxford United | Reading | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 77% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 77% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 69% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 54% | 48% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 54% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 23% | 25% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Oxford United | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 6.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 88% | 69% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Oxford United
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Reading
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
03/02/24Reading
Oxford United
1–1Reading12/12/23Oxford United
Reading
1–1Oxford United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 15 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Mansfield Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 |  Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 |  Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 |  Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Oxford United- ●Oxford United have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Oxford United have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Oxford United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Oxford United have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Oxford United have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Oxford United's points have been earned away.
Reading- ●Reading have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Reading have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Reading have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Reading have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Reading's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Oxford UnitedWANotts County2–1
Notts County2–1DHCambridge United1–1
Cambridge United1–1WHBurton Albion3–0
Burton Albion3–0WALeicester4–0
Leicester4–0LAHuddersfield1–3
Huddersfield1–3WAStevenage2–1
Stevenage2–1–AMansfield Town15/10
Mansfield Town15/10–HWigan20/10
Wigan20/10–HBradford24/10
Bradford24/10ReadingWAMilton Keynes Dons5–1
Milton Keynes Dons5–1DHBradford1–1
Bradford1–1DAWycombe2–2
Wycombe2–2WHNotts County2–0
Notts County2–0LACambridge United1–2
Cambridge United1–2WHBlackpool3–1
Blackpool3–1–AWigan17/10
Wigan17/10–HLeyton Orient21/10
Leyton Orient21/10–HBarnsley24/10
Barnsley24/10Top Scorers
Oxford UnitedG. O'Donkor5 ⚽
Mark Harris3 ⚽
S. Mills2 ⚽
Louie Sibley2 ⚽
Gatlin O Donkor2 ⚽
Siriki Dembele2 ⚽
ReadingJack Marriott5 ⚽
J. Marriott5 ⚽
L. Fraser4 ⚽
Jacob Brown4 ⚽
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie3 ⚽
P. Lane3 ⚽
Cards Given
Oxford UnitedM. Harris2 🟨
2 🟨
C. Brannagan2 🟨
Louie Sibley2 🟨
Jamie McDonnell1 🟨
Cameron Brannagan1 🟨
ReadingHaydon Roberts3 🟨
P. O'Connor2 🟨
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie2 🟨
C. Savage2 🟨
B. Ward1 🟨
Benn Ward1 🟨