Luton vs Doncaster — League One
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Kenilworth Road·Luton, Bedfordshire·England·11,500
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Luton and Doncaster meet in the League One 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Luton have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Doncaster have won 32% of their 22 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Luton and 1.37 for Doncaster. The models give Luton a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Doncaster win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Luton—
Doncaster10º
Position
17º
1.55
PPG
1.09
45%
Win %
27%
1.91
Goals / game
1.09
1.73
Conceded / game
1.18
58%
BTTS %
45%
26%
Clean sheet %
36%
63%
Over 2.5 %
41%
6.9
Avg corners
5.0
14.9
Avg shots
13.3
5.6
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.9
Avg fouls
10.8
53.2%
Avg possession
44.7%
Home vs Away
Luton
Home (6)
—
Doncaster
Away (5)
1.83
PPG
0.80
50%
Win %
20%
1.50
Goals / game
1.20
1.00
Conceded / game
1.40
44%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
40%
44%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.9
Avg corners
5.0
14.9
Avg shots
13.3
5.6
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
53.2%
Avg possession
44.7%
Goals Scored
| Luton | Home | Away | Doncaster | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 78% | 90% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 60% | 36% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 11% | 40% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 22% | 10% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Luton | Home | Away | Doncaster | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 67% | 80% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 11% | 60% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 33% | 20% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luton | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 14% |
| BTTS | 58% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luton | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 53% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Luton (H)W
Leicester2–1
Leicester2–1W
Barnsley2–1
Barnsley2–1W
Ipswich Town U216–0
Ipswich Town U216–0L
Bradford0–1
Bradford0–1D
Leyton Orient1–1
Leyton Orient1–1W
Stockport County2–0
Stockport County2–0Doncaster (A)LLeicester1–2
Leicester1–2W
Peterborough2–0
Peterborough2–0L
AFC Wimbledon0–1
AFC Wimbledon0–1D
Stevenage2–2
Stevenage2–2L
Mansfield Town1–2
Mansfield Town1–2DStockport County1–1
Stockport County1–1Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
11.3
133 games
11.5
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Luton | Doncaster | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 93% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 93% | 73% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 86% | 67% | 65% |
| Over 10 | 57% | 53% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 47% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 40% | 37% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 27% | 27% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Luton | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.9 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 86% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 79% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 93% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 87% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Luton
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Doncaster
17%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
50%
Over 2.5
3/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
10/03/26Luton
Doncaster
1–1Luton27/09/25Doncaster
Luton
1–0Doncaster23/03/19Doncaster
Luton
4–0Doncaster08/09/18Luton
Doncaster
2–1Luton18/02/17Luton
Doncaster
1–1Luton24/09/16Doncaster
Luton
3–1Doncaster| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 |  Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 5 |  Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Cambridge United | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Oxford United | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 9 | Mansfield Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 13 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 |  Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 |  Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 22 |  Bromley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -16 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
Team Insights
Luton- ●Luton have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Luton have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luton have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Luton have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●68% of Luton's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Luton have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Doncaster- ●Doncaster have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Doncaster failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
LutonWHLeicester2–1
Leicester2–1WHBarnsley2–1
Barnsley2–1LAMilton Keynes Dons1–2
Milton Keynes Dons1–2WAWycombe4–1
Wycombe4–1LHBradford0–1
Bradford0–1LAStevenage1–2
Stevenage1–2–HDoncaster27/10
Doncaster27/10–APeterborough31/10
Peterborough31/10–AHuddersfield03/11
Huddersfield03/11DoncasterWHSheffield Wednesday2–0
Sheffield Wednesday2–0LHStockport County0–2
Stockport County0–2LALeicester1–2
Leicester1–2WHBurton Albion1–0
Burton Albion1–0WAPeterborough2–0
Peterborough2–0LAAFC Wimbledon0–1
AFC Wimbledon0–1–ALuton27/10
Luton27/10–AMilton Keynes Dons31/10
Milton Keynes Dons31/10–HLeyton Orient14/11
Leyton Orient14/11Top Scorers
LutonN. Wells5 ⚽
Jordan Clark5 ⚽
Nahki Wells4 ⚽
Devante Cole4 ⚽
Mads Juel Andersen3 ⚽
G. Kodua2 ⚽
DoncasterO. Bailey4 ⚽
A. May4 ⚽
I. Hutchinson2 ⚽
B. McCann2 ⚽
B. Hanlan2 ⚽
Alfie May2 ⚽
Cards Given
LutonDan Gore3 🟨
Liam Walsh2 🟨
L. Walsh2 🟨
Harrison Ashby2 🟨
G. Kodua2 🟨
Mads Juel Andersen2 🟨
DoncasterOwen Bailey3 🟨
Robbie Gotts3 🟨
J. Senior2 🟨
Jack Senior2 🟨
Leon Ayinde2 🟨
H. Clifton1 🟨