Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading — League One
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Milton Keynes Dons and Reading meet in the League One 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Reading have won 57% of their 14 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.28 for Reading. The models give Milton Keynes Dons a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Reading win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Milton Keynes Dons—
Reading20º
Position
14º
0.83
PPG
1.40
0%
Win %
40%
1.33
Goals / game
2.40
1.67
Conceded / game
1.40
73%
BTTS %
43%
18%
Clean sheet %
50%
55%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.3
Avg corners
6.3
12.3
Avg shots
15.9
3.3
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.4
11.3
Avg fouls
11.6
41.0%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Milton Keynes Dons
Home (3)
—
Reading
Away (2)
1.00
PPG
0.50
0%
Win %
0%
0.67
Goals / game
0.50
0.67
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Clean sheet %
56%
0%
Over 2.5 %
44%
4.3
Avg corners
6.3
12.3
Avg shots
15.9
3.3
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.4
41.0%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Milton Keynes | Home | Away | Reading | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 67% | 88% | 86% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 0% | 50% | 57% | 80% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 80% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 33% | 13% | 14% | 0% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Milton Keynes | Home | Away | Reading | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 67% | 88% | 50% | 60% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 0% | 75% | 14% | 20% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 0% | 38% | 7% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 33% | 13% | 50% | 40% | 56% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Milton Keynes | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 14% |
| BTTS | 73% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Milton Keynes | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 18% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Milton Keynes (H)D
Peterborough1–1
Peterborough1–1D
Leicester0–0
Leicester0–0D
Huddersfield1–1
Huddersfield1–1W
Tranmere3–0
Tranmere3–0W
Bromley2–1
Bromley2–1D
Barrow0–0
Barrow0–0Reading (A)L
Cambridge United1–2
Cambridge United1–2W
Stevenage3–0
Stevenage3–0D
AFC Wimbledon0–0
AFC Wimbledon0–0DBromley1–1
Bromley1–1W
Crawley Town1–0
Crawley Town1–0W
Newport County4–0
Newport County4–0Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
10.7
66 games
11.1
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Milton Keynes | Reading | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 86% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 83% | 71% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 43% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 43% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 43% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 29% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Milton Keynes | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 83% | 71% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Milton Keynes
20%
2
Draws
40%
2
Reading
40%
40%
Over 1.5
2/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
07/10/25Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
1–0Milton Keynes Dons04/11/23Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
3–2Milton Keynes Dons23/08/16Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
3–3Milton Keynes Dons16/01/16Reading
Milton Keynes Dons
1–0Reading22/08/15Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
0–0Milton Keynes Dons| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |  Bradford | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 4 | Cambridge United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 5 |  Oxford United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 6 |  Plymouth | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Stockport County | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Blackpool | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Burton Albion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Luton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Leicester | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Reading | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Leyton Orient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Notts County | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |  Wycombe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 22 | Bromley | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 5 |
| 23 |  Wigan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Doncaster | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
Team Insights
Milton Keynes- ●Milton Keynes Dons have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Milton Keynes Dons have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Milton Keynes Dons have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Milton Keynes Dons's goals have been scored away.
- ●80% of Milton Keynes Dons's goals conceded were conceded away.
Reading- ●Reading have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●92% of Reading's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of Reading's points have been earned at home.
- ●Reading have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Milton KeynesDHPeterborough1–1
Peterborough1–1DAWycombe3–3
Wycombe3–3LAWigan1–3
Wigan1–3DHLeicester0–0
Leicester0–0DHHuddersfield1–1
Huddersfield1–1DAOxford United2–2
Oxford United2–2–AAFC Wimbledon17/09
AFC Wimbledon17/09–HBromley26/09
Bromley26/09–ABarnsley03/10
Barnsley03/10ReadingLACambridge United1–2
Cambridge United1–2WHBlackpool3–1
Blackpool3–1WHMansfield Town5–0
Mansfield Town5–0DAAFC Wimbledon0–0
AFC Wimbledon0–0LHLuton3–4
Luton3–4–HNotts County19/09
Notts County19/09–AWycombe26/09
Wycombe26/09–HBradford03/10
Bradford03/10Top Scorers
Milton KeynesAaron Collins3 ⚽
A. Collins3 ⚽
N. Mendez-Laing2 ⚽
R. Hepburn-Murphy2 ⚽
D. Singh-Hurditt1 ⚽
J. Perniskie1 ⚽
ReadingJ. Marriott5 ⚽
L. Fraser4 ⚽
Jack Marriott3 ⚽
C. Savage2 ⚽
J. Jones2 ⚽
J. Brown2 ⚽
Cards Given
Milton KeynesAlex Gilbey3 🟨
C. Goode2 🟨
Cohen Bramall1 🟨
J. Matete1 🟨
Jack Sanders1 🟨
M. Ekpiteta1 🟨
ReadingC. Savage2 🟨
P. O'Connor2 🟨
J. R. Dorsett A.1 🟨
Joel Pereira1 🟨
L. Fraser1 🟨
R. Williams1 🟨