Notts County vs Oxford United — League One
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Notts County and Oxford United meet in the League One 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Notts County have recorded 2 wins from 12 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Oxford United have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Notts County and 1.55 for Oxford United. The models give Notts County a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Oxford United win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Notts County—
Oxford United16º
Position
5º
1.17
PPG
2.00
17%
Win %
60%
1.17
Goals / game
2.40
1.17
Conceded / game
1.20
58%
BTTS %
60%
17%
Clean sheet %
20%
33%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.0
Avg corners
3.0
10.7
Avg shots
9.2
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
14.0
Avg fouls
14.6
43.2%
Avg possession
53.4%
Home vs Away
Notts County
Home (3)
—
Oxford United
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
2.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
50%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
14%
25%
Over 2.5 %
71%
5.0
Avg corners
3.0
10.7
Avg shots
9.2
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
43.2%
Avg possession
53.4%
Goals Scored
| Notts County | Home | Away | Oxford United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 75% | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 70% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 13% | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 50% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Notts County | Home | Away | Oxford United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 75% | 80% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 38% | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 13% | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 33% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Notts County | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 58% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 42% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Notts County | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Notts County (H)L
Bradford0–1
Bradford0–1W
Burton Albion2–1
Burton Albion2–1D
Leicester1–1
Leicester1–1L
Nottingham Forest0–2
Nottingham Forest0–2W
Salford City3–0
Salford City3–0D
Chesterfield0–0
Chesterfield0–0Oxford United (A)WLeicester4–0
Leicester4–0L
Huddersfield1–3
Huddersfield1–3W
Stevenage2–1
Stevenage2–1L
Leyton Orient0–2
Leyton Orient0–2L
Ipswich0–2
Ipswich0–2W
Barnet2–1
Barnet2–1Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
10.7
66 games
9.6
Corners / Match
5 games
| Match Corners | Notts County | Oxford United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 80% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 60% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 40% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 40% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 40% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 20% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 20% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Notts County | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 6.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 83% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 100% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Notts County
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
Oxford United
100%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
02/01/16Oxford United
Notts County
2–4Oxford United18/08/15Notts County
Oxford United
3–1Notts County| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Bradford | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 4 |  Cambridge United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 5 | Oxford United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 6 |  Plymouth | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Stockport County | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Blackpool | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Luton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Leicester | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Reading | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | Notts County | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |  Wycombe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 21 |  Peterborough | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Bromley | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 5 |
| 23 |  Wigan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Doncaster | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
Team Insights
Notts County- ●Notts County have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Notts County failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Notts County have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Oxford United- ●Oxford United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Oxford United have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Oxford United have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●60% of Oxford United's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Notts CountyLHBradford0–1
Bradford0–1DAHuddersfield1–1
Huddersfield1–1DADoncaster1–1
Doncaster1–1WHBurton Albion2–1
Burton Albion2–1DALuton2–2
Luton2–2DHLeicester1–1
Leicester1–1–AReading19/09
Reading19/09–HBlackpool26/09
Blackpool26/09–APeterborough03/10
Peterborough03/10Oxford UnitedWHBurton Albion3–0
Burton Albion3–0WALeicester4–0
Leicester4–0LAHuddersfield1–3
Huddersfield1–3WAStevenage2–1
Stevenage2–1DHMilton Keynes Dons2–2
Milton Keynes Dons2–2–HCambridge United19/09
Cambridge United19/09–ADoncaster26/09
Doncaster26/09–ANotts County10/10
Notts County10/10Top Scorers
Notts CountyC. Grant3 ⚽
C. Roberts2 ⚽
O. Cooper2 ⚽
L. Smyth2 ⚽
J. Evans1 ⚽
J. Gibbons1 ⚽
Oxford UnitedG. O'Donkor5 ⚽
Mark Harris2 ⚽
S. Mills2 ⚽
C. Brown1 ⚽
J. Currie1 ⚽
Gatlin O Donkor1 ⚽
Cards Given
Notts County3 🟨
D. Lipsiuc2 🟨
J. Evans2 🟨
J. Gibbons2 🟨
S. Robertson2 🟨
J. Bedeau1 🟨
Oxford United2 🟨
C. Brannagan2 🟨
M. Harris2 🟨
Jamie McDonnell1 🟨
Kai Andrews1 🟨
A. Emakhu1 🟨