Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton — League One
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Milton Keynes Dons and Luton meet in the League One 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 2 wins from 14 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Luton have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.58 for Luton. The models give Milton Keynes Dons a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Luton win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Milton Keynes Dons—
Luton22º
Position
16º
0.86
PPG
1.14
0%
Win %
29%
1.14
Goals / game
1.71
1.43
Conceded / game
2.00
57%
BTTS %
46%
29%
Clean sheet %
31%
43%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.6
Avg corners
6.8
12.1
Avg shots
13.0
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
12.3
Avg fouls
10.9
43.3%
Avg possession
55.3%
Home vs Away
Milton Keynes Dons
Home (3)
—
Luton
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
33%
0.67
Goals / game
2.33
0.67
Conceded / game
3.33
67%
BTTS %
57%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
0%
Over 2.5 %
86%
4.6
Avg corners
6.8
12.1
Avg shots
13.0
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
43.3%
Avg possession
55.3%
Goals Scored
| Milton Keynes | Home | Away | Luton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 64% | 77% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 0% | 36% | 62% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 18% | 23% | 0% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 33% | 36% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Milton Keynes | Home | Away | Luton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 73% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 0% | 55% | 46% | 17% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 0% | 27% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 27% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Milton Keynes | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 79% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 23% |
| BTTS | 57% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Milton Keynes | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 21% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Milton Keynes (H)D
Peterborough1–1
Peterborough1–1D
Leicester0–0
Leicester0–0D
Huddersfield1–1
Huddersfield1–1W
Tranmere3–0
Tranmere3–0W
Bromley2–1
Bromley2–1D
Barrow0–0
Barrow0–0Luton (A)L
Stevenage1–2
Stevenage1–2L
Mansfield Town2–5
Mansfield Town2–5L
Chelsea0–2
Chelsea0–2W
Reading4–3
Reading4–3W
Gillingham3–0
Gillingham3–0D
Barnet2–2
Barnet2–2Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
10.8
78 games
10.9
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Milton Keynes | Luton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 88% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 8 | 86% | 88% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 86% | 75% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 63% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 25% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 13% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 13% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Milton Keynes | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 6.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 86% | 25% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Milton Keynes
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Luton
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
09/10/18Milton Keynes Dons
Luton
3–0Milton Keynes Dons| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 |  AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 9 |  Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |  Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Milton Keynes- ●Milton Keynes Dons have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Milton Keynes Dons have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●75% of Milton Keynes Dons's goals have been scored away.
- ●80% of Milton Keynes Dons's goals conceded were conceded away.
Luton- ●Luton have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Luton have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Luton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●71% of Luton's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Luton have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Milton KeynesDAAFC Wimbledon0–0
AFC Wimbledon0–0DHPeterborough1–1
Peterborough1–1DAWycombe3–3
Wycombe3–3LAWigan1–3
Wigan1–3DHLeicester0–0
Leicester0–0DHHuddersfield1–1
Huddersfield1–1–ABarnsley03/10
Barnsley03/10–HReading10/10
Reading10/10–HLuton17/10
Luton17/10LutonLHBradford0–1
Bradford0–1LAStevenage1–2
Stevenage1–2DHLeyton Orient1–1
Leyton Orient1–1WHStockport County2–0
Stockport County2–0LAMansfield Town2–5
Mansfield Town2–5DHNotts County2–2
Notts County2–2–AHuddersfield26/09
Huddersfield26/09–AWycombe10/10
Wycombe10/10–AMilton Keynes Dons17/10
Milton Keynes Dons17/10Top Scorers
Milton KeynesAaron Collins3 ⚽
A. Collins3 ⚽
N. Mendez-Laing2 ⚽
R. Hepburn-Murphy2 ⚽
D. Singh-Hurditt1 ⚽
J. Perniskie1 ⚽
LutonN. Wells5 ⚽
K. Palmer2 ⚽
G. Kodua2 ⚽
Callum Marshall1 ⚽
J. Richards1 ⚽
J. Luker1 ⚽
Cards Given
Milton KeynesAlex Gilbey3 🟨
Cohen Bramall2 🟨
C. Goode2 🟨
J. Matete1 🟨
Jack Sanders1 🟨
M. Ekpiteta1 🟨
LutonDan Gore3 🟨
2 🟨
L. Walsh2 🟨
Harrison Ashby2 🟨
G. Kodua2 🟨
I. Jones1 🟨