Peterborough vs Burton Albion — League One
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Weston Homes Stadium·Peterborough·England·15,142
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Peterborough and Burton Albion meet in the League One 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Peterborough have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Burton Albion have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Peterborough and 1.22 for Burton Albion. The models give Peterborough a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Burton Albion win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Peterborough—
Burton Albion23º
Position
12º
0.71
PPG
1.29
14%
Win %
29%
0.57
Goals / game
1.71
1.71
Conceded / game
1.71
47%
BTTS %
64%
24%
Clean sheet %
14%
47%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.0
Avg corners
3.8
14.6
Avg shots
11.6
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
10.3
Avg fouls
14.0
56.1%
Avg possession
42.5%
Home vs Away
Peterborough
Home (4)
—
Burton Albion
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
33%
0.75
Goals / game
1.00
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
60%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.0
Avg corners
3.8
14.6
Avg shots
11.6
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
56.1%
Avg possession
42.5%
Goals Scored
| Peterborough | Home | Away | Burton Albion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 50% | 67% | 71% | 78% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 38% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 25% | 22% | 7% | 11% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 50% | 33% | 29% | 22% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Peterborough | Home | Away | Burton Albion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 78% | 86% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 50% | 33% | 43% | 44% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 22% | 14% | 11% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Peterborough | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 7% |
| BTTS | 47% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Peterborough | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 7% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 21% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Peterborough (H)W
Colchester3–1
Colchester3–1L
Doncaster0–2
Doncaster0–2D
Barnsley3–3
Barnsley3–3L
Sheffield Wednesday1–2
Sheffield Wednesday1–2D
Stevenage0–0
Stevenage0–0W
Mansfield Town2–1
Mansfield Town2–1Burton Albion (A)L
Oxford United0–3
Oxford United0–3L
Notts County1–2
Notts County1–2W
Leicester2–1
Leicester2–1D
Solihull Moors1–1
Solihull Moors1–1D
Alfreton Town0–0
Alfreton Town0–0D
Leyton Orient2–2
Leyton Orient2–2Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
10.8
78 games
9.4
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Peterborough | Burton Albion | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 8 | 45% | 50% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 25% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 25% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 13% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 13% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 13% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Peterborough | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 27% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 75% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
8
Peterborough
44%
6
Draws
33%
4
Burton Albion
22%
78%
Over 1.5
14/18
61%
Over 2.5
11/18
39%
Over 3.5
7/18
67%
BTTS
12/18
19/04/26Burton Albion
Peterborough
1–1Burton Albion18/10/25Peterborough
Burton Albion
0–1Peterborough01/01/25Peterborough
Burton Albion
2–2Peterborough04/12/24Burton Albion
Peterborough
0–1Burton Albion09/03/24Peterborough
Burton Albion
1–3Peterborough25/11/23Burton Albion
Peterborough
4–0Burton Albion14/03/23Peterborough
Burton Albion
2–5Peterborough08/10/22Burton Albion
Peterborough
1–1Burton Albion06/03/21Peterborough
Burton Albion
2–1Peterborough27/10/20Burton Albion
Peterborough
2–2Burton Albion08/09/20Burton Albion
Peterborough
3–3Burton Albion29/02/20Peterborough
Burton Albion
1–1Peterborough23/11/19Burton Albion
Peterborough
1–0Burton Albion04/05/19Burton Albion
Peterborough
3–1Burton Albion27/10/18Peterborough
Burton Albion
1–2Peterborough26/01/16Burton Albion
Peterborough
0–1Burton Albion07/11/15Peterborough
Burton Albion
0–3Peterborough22/08/15Peterborough
Burton Albion
2–1Peterborough| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 |  AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 9 |  Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Peterborough- ●Peterborough have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
Burton Albion- ●Burton Albion have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Burton Albion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Burton Albion have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Burton Albion have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Burton Albion have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Burton Albion have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Burton Albion's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Burton Albion have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PeterboroughLHDoncaster0–2
Doncaster0–2DAMilton Keynes Dons1–1
Milton Keynes Dons1–1LHSheffield Wednesday1–2
Sheffield Wednesday1–2DHStevenage0–0
Stevenage0–0LABlackpool0–4
Blackpool0–4WHMansfield Town2–1
Mansfield Town2–1–AStockport County26/09
Stockport County26/09–ALeicester10/10
Leicester10/10–HBurton Albion17/10
Burton Albion17/10Burton AlbionDHMansfield Town2–2
Mansfield Town2–2LAOxford United0–3
Oxford United0–3DHCambridge United2–2
Cambridge United2–2WHAFC Wimbledon4–1
AFC Wimbledon4–1LANotts County1–2
Notts County1–2WALeicester2–1
Leicester2–1–APlymouth26/09
Plymouth26/09–HHuddersfield03/10
Huddersfield03/10–ADoncaster10/10
Doncaster10/10Top Scorers
PeterboroughH. Leonard5 ⚽
D. Ormerod3 ⚽
B. Woods2 ⚽
B. Khela2 ⚽
Chris Conn-Clarke2 ⚽
Harry Ashfield2 ⚽
Burton AlbionF. Delap2 ⚽
Curtis Tilt1 ⚽
E. Adiele1 ⚽
Emeka Adeile1 ⚽
Charlie Webster1 ⚽
Caylon Vickers1 ⚽
Cards Given
PeterboroughDavid Okagbue3 🟨
Harry Leonard2 🟨
Lucca Mendonça2 🟨
C. Johnston1 🟨
Evan Weir1 🟨
Ethan Williams1 🟨
Burton AlbionC. Tilt3 🟨
F. Delap2 🟨
S. Krubally2 🟨
H. Araujo2 🟨
J. Armer2 🟨
2 🟨