Luton vs Barnsley — League One
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Kenilworth Road·Luton, Bedfordshire·England·11,500
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Luton and Barnsley meet in the League One 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Luton have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Barnsley have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Luton and 1.28 for Barnsley. The models give Luton a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Barnsley win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Luton—
Barnsley16º
Position
18º
1.14
PPG
1.14
29%
Win %
29%
1.71
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.71
43%
BTTS %
59%
36%
Clean sheet %
24%
57%
Over 2.5 %
59%
6.9
Avg corners
8.6
14.0
Avg shots
18.9
5.2
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.5
10.2
Avg fouls
12.7
55.4%
Avg possession
55.1%
Home vs Away
Luton
Home (4)
—
Barnsley
Away (3)
1.25
PPG
1.33
25%
Win %
33%
1.25
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
29%
BTTS %
44%
43%
Clean sheet %
33%
29%
Over 2.5 %
56%
6.9
Avg corners
8.6
14.0
Avg shots
18.9
5.2
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.5
55.4%
Avg possession
55.1%
Goals Scored
| Luton | Home | Away | Barnsley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 71% | 86% | 76% | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 57% | 71% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 14% | 43% | 29% | 38% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 29% | 14% | 24% | 13% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Luton | Home | Away | Barnsley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 57% | 71% | 76% | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 14% | 71% | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 43% | 29% | 24% | 13% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luton | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 24% |
| BTTS | 43% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luton | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 7% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Luton (H)W
Ipswich Town U216–0
Ipswich Town U216–0L
Bradford0–1
Bradford0–1D
Leyton Orient1–1
Leyton Orient1–1W
Stockport County2–0
Stockport County2–0D
Notts County2–2
Notts County2–2L
GO Ahead Eagles0–1
GO Ahead Eagles0–1Barnsley (A)D
Peterborough3–3
Peterborough3–3L
Plymouth0–3
Plymouth0–3WLeyton Orient3–1
Leyton Orient3–1D
Doncaster0–0
Doncaster0–0D
Guiseley AFC1–1
Guiseley AFC1–1W
Scarborough Athletic2–0
Scarborough Athletic2–0Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.8
78 games
14.1
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Luton | Barnsley | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 100% | 85% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 82% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 82% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 73% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 73% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 64% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 55% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Luton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.9 | 8.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 56% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 22% | 45% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
5
Luton
50%
2
Draws
20%
3
Barnsley
30%
70%
Over 1.5
7/10
60%
Over 2.5
6/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
60%
BTTS
6/10
25/04/26Barnsley
Luton
2–1Barnsley22/11/25Luton
Barnsley
5–0Luton08/02/22Barnsley
Luton
2–1Barnsley17/08/21Luton
Barnsley
0–1Luton05/04/21Barnsley
Luton
1–2Barnsley12/09/20Luton
Barnsley
0–1Luton07/07/20Barnsley
Luton
1–1Barnsley24/08/19Luton
Barnsley
1–3Luton01/01/19Barnsley
Luton
0–0Barnsley13/10/18Luton
Barnsley
3–2Luton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 |  AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Luton- ●Luton have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Luton have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Luton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●71% of Luton's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Luton have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Barnsley- ●Barnsley have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Barnsley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●67% of Barnsley's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
LutonLHBradford0–1
Bradford0–1LAStevenage1–2
Stevenage1–2DHLeyton Orient1–1
Leyton Orient1–1WHStockport County2–0
Stockport County2–0LAMansfield Town2–5
Mansfield Town2–5DHNotts County2–2
Notts County2–2–AWycombe10/10
Wycombe10/10–AMilton Keynes Dons17/10
Milton Keynes Dons17/10–HBarnsley20/10
Barnsley20/10BarnsleyDHLeicester1–1
Leicester1–1LAPlymouth0–3
Plymouth0–3LHStevenage1–5
Stevenage1–5WHBlackpool2–1
Blackpool2–1WALeyton Orient3–1
Leyton Orient3–1DADoncaster0–0
Doncaster0–0–AStockport County10/10
Stockport County10/10–HCambridge United17/10
Cambridge United17/10–ALuton20/10
Luton20/10Top Scorers
LutonN. Wells5 ⚽
Jordan Clark3 ⚽
G. Kodua2 ⚽
K. Palmer2 ⚽
Callum Marshall1 ⚽
Devante Cole1 ⚽
BarnsleyReyes Cleary4 ⚽
C. McGeehan4 ⚽
R. Cleary4 ⚽
Cameron McGeehan3 ⚽
M. Kirk2 ⚽
A. Richards2 ⚽
Cards Given
LutonDan Gore3 🟨
2 🟨
L. Walsh2 🟨
Harrison Ashby2 🟨
G. Kodua2 🟨
I. Jones1 🟨
Barnsley4 🟨
Patrick Kelly3 🟨
Jonathan Bland2 🟨
Arley Kay2 🟨
J. Earl2 🟨
Cameron McGeehan2 🟨