Stevenage vs Plymouth — League One
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The Lamex Stadium·Stevenage, Hertfordshire·England·7,100
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Stevenage and Plymouth meet in the League One 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Stevenage have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Plymouth have won 69% of their 16 matches, with 2.25 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Stevenage and 1.93 for Plymouth. The models give Stevenage a 31% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Plymouth win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Stevenage—
Plymouth11º
Position
3º
1.29
PPG
1.86
29%
Win %
57%
1.57
Goals / game
2.00
1.14
Conceded / game
1.43
50%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
44%
57%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.1
Avg corners
6.0
13.0
Avg shots
15.6
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.9
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.0
12.1
Avg fouls
13.1
46.1%
Avg possession
43.6%
Home vs Away
Stevenage
Home (3)
—
Plymouth
Away (4)
1.33
PPG
1.75
33%
Win %
50%
1.67
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.75
43%
BTTS %
56%
29%
Clean sheet %
33%
71%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.1
Avg corners
6.0
13.0
Avg shots
15.6
4.8
Avg shots on target
5.9
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.0
46.1%
Avg possession
43.6%
Goals Scored
| Stevenage | Home | Away | Plymouth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 71% | 57% | 88% | 86% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 29% | 43% | 63% | 71% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 29% | 44% | 29% | 56% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 29% | 43% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Stevenage | Home | Away | Plymouth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 71% | 71% | 56% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 57% | 0% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 29% | 0% | 13% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 29% | 29% | 44% | 57% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stevenage | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 38% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stevenage | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 69% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Stevenage (H)W
Luton2–1
Luton2–1D
Doncaster2–2
Doncaster2–2L
Reading0–3
Reading0–3L
Oxford United1–2
Oxford United1–2W
Colchester1–0
Colchester1–0W
Millwall1–0
Millwall1–0Plymouth (A)W
Blackpool4–2
Blackpool4–2WDoncaster3–2
Doncaster3–2L
Leicester0–2
Leicester0–2D
Wycombe1–1
Wycombe1–1W
Tavistock4–1
Tavistock4–1W
Truro City1–0
Truro City1–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.8
78 games
10.5
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Stevenage | Plymouth | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 90% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 70% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 70% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 20% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 20% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stevenage | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 50% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Stevenage
18%
2
Draws
18%
7
Plymouth
64%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
18%
Over 3.5
2/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
17/03/26Stevenage
Plymouth
1–0Stevenage01/01/26Plymouth
Stevenage
1–1Plymouth25/01/20Plymouth
Stevenage
1–2Plymouth29/12/19Stevenage
Plymouth
2–1Stevenage10/11/18Stevenage
Plymouth
1–0Stevenage14/01/17Stevenage
Plymouth
4–2Stevenage08/10/16Plymouth
Stevenage
1–2Plymouth16/01/16Stevenage
Plymouth
3–2Stevenage05/09/15Plymouth
Stevenage
2–1Plymouth03/03/15Plymouth
Stevenage
1–0Plymouth19/08/14Stevenage
Plymouth
1–1Stevenage| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 |  AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 9 |  Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |  Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 |  Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Stevenage—
Plymouth- ●Plymouth have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Plymouth have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Plymouth have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Plymouth have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Plymouth have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Plymouth have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Plymouth's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
StevenageLALeyton Orient0–1
Leyton Orient0–1WHLuton2–1
Luton2–1WABarnsley5–1
Barnsley5–1DAPeterborough0–0
Peterborough0–0DHDoncaster2–2
Doncaster2–2LHOxford United1–2
Oxford United1–2–HWigan10/10
Wigan10/10–ABradford17/10
Bradford17/10–HPlymouth20/10
Plymouth20/10PlymouthWABlackpool4–2
Blackpool4–2WHBarnsley3–0
Barnsley3–0WADoncaster3–2
Doncaster3–2LALeicester0–2
Leicester0–2WHBradford2–0
Bradford2–0DAWycombe1–1
Wycombe1–1–HBurton Albion26/09
Burton Albion26/09–ALeyton Orient03/10
Leyton Orient03/10–HAFC Wimbledon10/10
AFC Wimbledon10/10Top Scorers
StevenageMichael Mellon4 ⚽
O. Sanderson3 ⚽
Daniel Kemp3 ⚽
J. Magennis2 ⚽
Jordan Houghton1 ⚽
Josh Magennis1 ⚽
PlymouthAribim Pepple4 ⚽
Caleb Watts3 ⚽
A. Pepple3 ⚽
M. Baidoo3 ⚽
O. Oseni3 ⚽
Oliver Irow3 ⚽
Cards Given
StevenageLewis Freestone2 🟨
Saxon Earley2 🟨
C. Piergianni2 🟨
L. James-Wildin2 🟨
Daniel Phillips2 🟨
D. Butler1 🟨
PlymouthX. Amaechi3 🟨
W. Harding2 🟨
Julio Pleguezuelo1 🟨
Mathias Ross Jensen1 🟨
W. Evans1 🟨
Will Evans1 🟨