Luton vs Leicester — League One
← Back
vs
–
–
Kenilworth Road·Luton, Bedfordshire·England·11,500
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Luton and Leicester meet in the League One 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Luton have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Leicester have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Luton and 1.49 for Leicester. The models give Luton a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leicester win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Luton—
Leicester16º
Position
13º
1.14
PPG
1.29
29%
Win %
29%
1.71
Goals / game
1.29
2.00
Conceded / game
1.57
43%
BTTS %
50%
36%
Clean sheet %
38%
57%
Over 2.5 %
56%
6.9
Avg corners
7.0
14.0
Avg shots
18.1
5.2
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.1
10.2
Avg fouls
10.6
55.4%
Avg possession
67.3%
Home vs Away
Luton
Home (4)
—
Leicester
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
1.50
25%
Win %
25%
1.25
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.25
29%
BTTS %
67%
43%
Clean sheet %
33%
29%
Over 2.5 %
56%
6.9
Avg corners
7.0
14.0
Avg shots
18.1
5.2
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.1
55.4%
Avg possession
67.3%
Goals Scored
| Luton | Home | Away | Leicester | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 71% | 86% | 81% | 71% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 57% | 71% | 44% | 43% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 14% | 43% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 29% | 14% | 19% | 29% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Luton | Home | Away | Leicester | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 57% | 71% | 63% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 14% | 71% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 43% | 29% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luton | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 19% |
| BTTS | 43% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luton | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 7% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Luton (H)W
Ipswich Town U216–0
Ipswich Town U216–0L
Bradford0–1
Bradford0–1D
Leyton Orient1–1
Leyton Orient1–1W
Stockport County2–0
Stockport County2–0D
Notts County2–2
Notts County2–2L
GO Ahead Eagles0–1
GO Ahead Eagles0–1Leicester (A)D
Barnsley1–1
Barnsley1–1WStockport County4–3
Stockport County4–3D
Milton Keynes Dons0–0
Milton Keynes Dons0–0L
Ipswich1–3
Ipswich1–3DNotts County1–1
Notts County1–1D
Malaga3–3
Malaga3–3Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.8
78 games
12.0
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Luton | Leicester | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 100% | 85% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 78% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 67% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 67% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 67% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 44% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 33% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Luton | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.9 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 56% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 22% | 67% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Luton
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Leicester
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
24/09/19Leicester
Luton
0–4Leicester| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 |  AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 |  Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Luton- ●Luton have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Luton have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Luton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●71% of Luton's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Luton have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Leicester- ●Leicester have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Leicester's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Leicester's points have been earned away.
- ●Leicester have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LutonLHBradford0–1
Bradford0–1LAStevenage1–2
Stevenage1–2DHLeyton Orient1–1
Leyton Orient1–1WHStockport County2–0
Stockport County2–0LAMansfield Town2–5
Mansfield Town2–5DHNotts County2–2
Notts County2–2–AWycombe10/10
Wycombe10/10–AMilton Keynes Dons17/10
Milton Keynes Dons17/10–HBarnsley20/10
Barnsley20/10LeicesterDABarnsley1–1
Barnsley1–1WAStockport County4–3
Stockport County4–3LHOxford United0–4
Oxford United0–4WHPlymouth2–0
Plymouth2–0DAMilton Keynes Dons0–0
Milton Keynes Dons0–0LHBurton Albion1–2
Burton Albion1–2–HPeterborough10/10
Peterborough10/10–HDoncaster17/10
Doncaster17/10–ABromley20/10
Bromley20/10Top Scorers
LutonN. Wells5 ⚽
Jordan Clark3 ⚽
G. Kodua2 ⚽
K. Palmer2 ⚽
Callum Marshall1 ⚽
Devante Cole1 ⚽
LeicesterAdmir Bristric3 ⚽
N. Opoku2 ⚽
Kirsten Otchere2 ⚽
Emil Riis Jakobsen2 ⚽
Liam Cullen2 ⚽
Tom Watson2 ⚽
Cards Given
LutonDan Gore3 🟨
2 🟨
L. Walsh2 🟨
Harrison Ashby2 🟨
G. Kodua2 🟨
I. Jones1 🟨
LeicesterS. Braybrooke2 🟨
2 🟨
B. De Cordova-Reid2 🟨
Louis Page2 🟨
H. Souttar2 🟨
L. Cullen1 🟨