Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — League One
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The Lamex Stadium·Stevenage, Hertfordshire·England·7,100
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Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons meet in the League One 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Stevenage have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Milton Keynes Dons have won 20% of their 15 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Stevenage and 1.58 for Milton Keynes Dons. The models give Stevenage a 42% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Milton Keynes Dons win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Stevenage—
Milton Keynes Dons11º
Position
22º
1.29
PPG
0.86
29%
Win %
0%
1.57
Goals / game
1.14
1.14
Conceded / game
1.43
50%
BTTS %
60%
29%
Clean sheet %
27%
57%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.1
Avg corners
4.5
13.0
Avg shots
12.8
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.1
Avg fouls
12.0
46.1%
Avg possession
44.8%
Home vs Away
Stevenage
Home (3)
—
Milton Keynes Dons
Away (4)
1.33
PPG
0.75
33%
Win %
0%
1.67
Goals / game
1.50
1.67
Conceded / game
2.00
43%
BTTS %
55%
29%
Clean sheet %
27%
71%
Over 2.5 %
55%
5.1
Avg corners
4.5
13.0
Avg shots
12.8
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.6
46.1%
Avg possession
44.8%
Goals Scored
| Stevenage | Home | Away | Milton Keynes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 71% | 57% | 67% | 75% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 29% | 43% | 33% | 25% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 29% | 20% | 25% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 29% | 43% | 33% | 25% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Stevenage | Home | Away | Milton Keynes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 71% | 71% | 73% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 57% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 29% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 29% | 29% | 27% | 25% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stevenage | Milton Keynes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 27% |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stevenage | Milton Keynes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Stevenage (H)W
Luton2–1
Luton2–1D
Doncaster2–2
Doncaster2–2L
Reading0–3
Reading0–3L
Oxford United1–2
Oxford United1–2W
Colchester1–0
Colchester1–0W
Millwall1–0
Millwall1–0Milton Keynes (A)D
AFC Wimbledon0–0
AFC Wimbledon0–0D
Wycombe3–3
Wycombe3–3L
Wigan1–3
Wigan1–3DOxford United2–2
Oxford United2–2L
Norwich1–4
Norwich1–4W
Cheltenham2–0
Cheltenham2–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.8
78 games
10.6
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Stevenage | Milton Keynes | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 88% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 75% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 38% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 25% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 13% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stevenage | Milton Keynes |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 6.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 88% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
6
Stevenage
38%
4
Draws
25%
6
Milton Keynes
38%
81%
Over 1.5
13/16
63%
Over 2.5
10/16
38%
Over 3.5
6/16
69%
BTTS
11/16
26/07/25Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
2–1Milton Keynes Dons16/11/21Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
2–1Milton Keynes Dons06/11/21Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
2–2Stevenage06/10/20Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
2–3Milton Keynes Dons18/08/20Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
1–1Stevenage03/09/19Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
0–3Milton Keynes Dons16/03/19Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
1–1Stevenage24/11/18Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
3–2Milton Keynes Dons03/10/17Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
0–0Stevenage22/03/14Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
2–3Milton Keynes Dons08/10/13Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
2–1Milton Keynes Dons28/09/13Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
4–1Stevenage27/04/13Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
0–2Milton Keynes Dons20/10/12Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
0–1Stevenage24/01/12Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
4–2Milton Keynes Dons27/08/11Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
1–0Stevenage| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 9 |  Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |  Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 |  Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Stevenage—
Milton Keynes- ●Milton Keynes Dons have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Milton Keynes Dons have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●75% of Milton Keynes Dons's goals have been scored away.
- ●80% of Milton Keynes Dons's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
StevenageLALeyton Orient0–1
Leyton Orient0–1WHLuton2–1
Luton2–1WABarnsley5–1
Barnsley5–1DAPeterborough0–0
Peterborough0–0DHDoncaster2–2
Doncaster2–2LHOxford United1–2
Oxford United1–2–HWigan10/10
Wigan10/10–ABradford17/10
Bradford17/10–HPlymouth20/10
Plymouth20/10Milton KeynesDAAFC Wimbledon0–0
AFC Wimbledon0–0DHPeterborough1–1
Peterborough1–1DAWycombe3–3
Wycombe3–3LAWigan1–3
Wigan1–3DHLeicester0–0
Leicester0–0DHHuddersfield1–1
Huddersfield1–1–HReading10/10
Reading10/10–HLuton17/10
Luton17/10–ABlackpool20/10
Blackpool20/10Top Scorers
StevenageMichael Mellon4 ⚽
O. Sanderson3 ⚽
Daniel Kemp3 ⚽
J. Magennis2 ⚽
Jordan Houghton1 ⚽
Josh Magennis1 ⚽
Milton KeynesAaron Collins3 ⚽
A. Collins3 ⚽
R. Hepburn-Murphy2 ⚽
N. Mendez-Laing2 ⚽
Curtis Nelson1 ⚽
Callum Paterson1 ⚽
Cards Given
StevenageLewis Freestone2 🟨
Saxon Earley2 🟨
C. Piergianni2 🟨
L. James-Wildin2 🟨
Daniel Phillips2 🟨
D. Butler1 🟨
Milton KeynesAlex Gilbey3 🟨
C. Goode2 🟨
Cohen Bramall2 🟨
J. Matete1 🟨
Jack Sanders1 🟨
Jay Matete1 🟨