Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion — League One
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Stadium MK·Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire·England·30,500
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Milton Keynes Dons and Burton Albion meet in the League One 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Burton Albion have won 21% of their 19 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.18 for Burton Albion. The models give Milton Keynes Dons a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Burton Albion win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Milton Keynes Dons—
Burton Albion18º
Position
10º
1.00
PPG
1.18
11%
Win %
27%
1.22
Goals / game
1.45
1.78
Conceded / game
1.64
67%
BTTS %
58%
22%
Clean sheet %
21%
56%
Over 2.5 %
53%
5.2
Avg corners
4.0
14.4
Avg shots
11.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.7
Avg fouls
12.3
46.4%
Avg possession
44.3%
Home vs Away
Milton Keynes Dons
Home (5)
—
Burton Albion
Away (6)
1.20
PPG
1.17
20%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.60
Conceded / game
1.50
86%
BTTS %
44%
14%
Clean sheet %
33%
57%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.2
Avg corners
4.0
14.4
Avg shots
11.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.8
46.4%
Avg possession
44.3%
Goals Scored
| Milton Keynes | Home | Away | Burton Albion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 86% | 64% | 68% | 80% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 43% | 36% | 26% | 30% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 29% | 18% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 14% | 36% | 32% | 20% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Milton Keynes | Home | Away | Burton Albion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 86% | 73% | 79% | 90% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 14% | 55% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 14% | 27% | 16% | 20% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 14% | 27% | 21% | 10% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Milton Keynes | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 5% |
| BTTS | 67% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Milton Keynes | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 26% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Milton Keynes (H)W
Luton2–1
Luton2–1L
Reading1–5
Reading1–5W
Brentford U217–1
Brentford U217–1W
Crawley Town4–1
Crawley Town4–1D
Peterborough1–1
Peterborough1–1D
Leicester0–0
Leicester0–0Burton Albion (A)DPeterborough2–2
Peterborough2–2L
Doncaster0–1
Doncaster0–1D
Grimsby0–0
Grimsby0–0W
Plymouth1–0
Plymouth1–0L
Oxford United0–3
Oxford United0–3L
Notts County1–2
Notts County1–2Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
11.2
109 games
10.5
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Milton Keynes | Burton Albion | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 85% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 82% | 62% | 77% |
| Over 9 | 73% | 46% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 46% | 50% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 23% | 33% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 23% | 25% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Milton Keynes | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 82% | 69% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
4
Milton Keynes
44%
3
Draws
33%
2
Burton Albion
22%
56%
Over 1.5
5/9
33%
Over 2.5
3/9
0%
Over 3.5
0/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
07/05/23Milton Keynes Dons
Burton Albion
0–0Milton Keynes Dons03/12/22Burton Albion
Milton Keynes Dons
1–1Burton Albion25/01/22Milton Keynes Dons
Burton Albion
0–1Milton Keynes Dons20/11/21Burton Albion
Milton Keynes Dons
1–0Burton Albion31/08/21Milton Keynes Dons
Burton Albion
1–2Milton Keynes Dons20/03/21Milton Keynes Dons
Burton Albion
1–2Milton Keynes Dons12/12/20Burton Albion
Milton Keynes Dons
1–1Burton Albion14/01/20Milton Keynes Dons
Burton Albion
1–0Milton Keynes Dons05/10/19Burton Albion
Milton Keynes Dons
0–3Burton Albion| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Huddersfield | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 18 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 |  Leyton Orient | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | Luton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 22 |  Bromley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 7 |
Team Insights
Milton Keynes- ●Milton Keynes Dons failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Burton Albion- ●Burton Albion have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Burton Albion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Burton Albion have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Burton Albion failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Burton Albion failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Burton Albion's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Burton Albion have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Milton KeynesWHLuton2–1
Luton2–1LHReading1–5
Reading1–5DAAFC Wimbledon0–0
AFC Wimbledon0–0DHPeterborough1–1
Peterborough1–1DAWycombe3–3
Wycombe3–3LAWigan1–3
Wigan1–3–ABlackpool20/10
Blackpool20/10–AStevenage24/10
Stevenage24/10–HDoncaster31/10
Doncaster31/10Burton AlbionDAPeterborough2–2
Peterborough2–2LADoncaster0–1
Doncaster0–1LHHuddersfield1–3
Huddersfield1–3WAPlymouth1–0
Plymouth1–0DHMansfield Town2–2
Mansfield Town2–2LAOxford United0–3
Oxford United0–3–HBradford20/10
Bradford20/10–HLeyton Orient24/10
Leyton Orient24/10–AWycombe31/10
Wycombe31/10Top Scorers
Milton KeynesAaron Collins8 ⚽
A. Collins3 ⚽
R. Hepburn-Murphy2 ⚽
N. Mendez-Laing2 ⚽
Callum Paterson1 ⚽
C. Goode1 ⚽
Burton AlbionF. Delap3 ⚽
Zac Scutt2 ⚽
Charlie Webster2 ⚽
Jack Armer2 ⚽
Emeka Adeile2 ⚽
Curtis Tilt1 ⚽
Cards Given
Milton KeynesAlex Gilbey4 🟨
Cohen Bramall2 🟨
C. Goode2 🟨
Marvin Ekpiteta2 🟨
Callum Paterson1 🟨
Aaron Collins1 🟨
Burton AlbionH. Araujo3 🟨
C. Tilt3 🟨
F. Delap3 🟨
Matthew Dennis2 🟨
J. Armer2 🟨
S. Krubally2 🟨