Burton Albion vs Luton — League One
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Pirelli Stadium·Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire·England·6,912
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Burton Albion and Luton meet in the League One 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Burton Albion have recorded 5 wins from 21 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Luton have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Burton Albion and 1.83 for Luton. The models give Burton Albion a 37% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Luton win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Burton Albion—
Luton11º
Position
10º
1.31
PPG
1.55
31%
Win %
45%
1.38
Goals / game
1.91
1.46
Conceded / game
1.73
57%
BTTS %
58%
24%
Clean sheet %
26%
52%
Over 2.5 %
63%
4.3
Avg corners
6.9
12.1
Avg shots
14.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.6
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.4
12.1
Avg fouls
10.9
45.0%
Avg possession
53.2%
Home vs Away
Burton Albion
Home (7)
—
Luton
Away (5)
1.43
PPG
1.20
29%
Win %
40%
1.71
Goals / game
2.40
1.43
Conceded / game
2.60
67%
BTTS %
70%
17%
Clean sheet %
20%
58%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.3
Avg corners
6.9
12.1
Avg shots
14.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.6
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.4
45.0%
Avg possession
53.2%
Goals Scored
| Burton Albion | Home | Away | Luton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 56% | 84% | 78% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 22% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 8% | 0% | 26% | 11% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 44% | 16% | 22% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Burton Albion | Home | Away | Luton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 83% | 67% | 74% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 42% | 33% | 37% | 11% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 17% | 11% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 17% | 33% | 26% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Burton Albion | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 26% |
| BTTS | 57% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Burton Albion | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Burton Albion (H)W
Leyton Orient2–1
Leyton Orient2–1D
Bradford0–0
Bradford0–0L
Huddersfield1–3
Huddersfield1–3D
Nottingham Forest U211–1
Nottingham Forest U211–1D
Mansfield Town2–2
Mansfield Town2–2D
Cambridge United2–2
Cambridge United2–2Luton (A)L
Milton Keynes Dons1–2
Milton Keynes Dons1–2W
Wycombe4–1
Wycombe4–1D
Colchester1–1
Colchester1–1L
Stevenage1–2
Stevenage1–2LMansfield Town2–5
Mansfield Town2–5L
Chelsea0–2
Chelsea0–2Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
11.3
133 games
11.1
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Burton Albion | Luton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 93% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 87% | 93% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 93% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 86% | 65% |
| Over 10 | 53% | 57% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 47% | 21% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 14% | 37% |
| Over 13 | 27% | 14% | 27% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Burton Albion | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 6.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.8 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 29% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Burton Albion
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Luton
33%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
21/02/26Burton Albion
Luton
1–1Burton Albion30/08/25Luton
Burton Albion
0–3Luton27/04/19Luton
Burton Albion
2–1Luton22/12/18Burton Albion
Luton
2–0Burton Albion11/04/15Burton Albion
Luton
0–1Burton Albion22/11/14Luton
Burton Albion
1–0Luton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 |  Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 5 |  Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Oxford United | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 9 | Mansfield Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 13 |  Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 |  Doncaster | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 |  Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 21 |  Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 22 |  Bromley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -16 | 9 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
Team Insights
Burton Albion- ●Burton Albion have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Burton Albion failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Burton Albion have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Burton Albion failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Burton Albion's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Burton Albion have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Luton- ●Luton have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Luton have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luton have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Luton have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●68% of Luton's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Luton have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Burton AlbionWHLeyton Orient2–1
Leyton Orient2–1DHBradford0–0
Bradford0–0DAPeterborough2–2
Peterborough2–2LADoncaster0–1
Doncaster0–1LHHuddersfield1–3
Huddersfield1–3WAPlymouth1–0
Plymouth1–0–AWycombe31/10
Wycombe31/10–AMilton Keynes Dons14/11
Milton Keynes Dons14/11–HLuton21/11
Luton21/11LutonWHLeicester2–1
Leicester2–1WHBarnsley2–1
Barnsley2–1LAMilton Keynes Dons1–2
Milton Keynes Dons1–2WAWycombe4–1
Wycombe4–1LHBradford0–1
Bradford0–1LAStevenage1–2
Stevenage1–2–HDoncaster27/10
Doncaster27/10–APeterborough31/10
Peterborough31/10–AHuddersfield03/11
Huddersfield03/11Top Scorers
Burton AlbionF. Delap3 ⚽
Zac Scutt2 ⚽
Charlie Webster2 ⚽
Jack Armer2 ⚽
Emeka Adeile2 ⚽
Curtis Tilt1 ⚽
LutonN. Wells5 ⚽
Jordan Clark5 ⚽
Nahki Wells4 ⚽
Devante Cole4 ⚽
Mads Juel Andersen3 ⚽
G. Kodua2 ⚽
Cards Given
Burton AlbionH. Araujo3 🟨
Sulyman Krubally3 🟨
F. Delap3 🟨
C. Tilt3 🟨
Curtis Tilt2 🟨
J. Armer2 🟨
LutonDan Gore3 🟨
Liam Walsh2 🟨
L. Walsh2 🟨
Harrison Ashby2 🟨
G. Kodua2 🟨
Mads Juel Andersen2 🟨