Notts County vs Stevenage — League One
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Meadow Lane·Nottingham, Nottinghamshire·England·19,588
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Notts County and Stevenage meet in the League One 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Notts County have recorded 5 wins from 19 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Stevenage have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Notts County and 1.37 for Stevenage. The models give Notts County a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Stevenage win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Notts County—
Stevenage19º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
1.36
18%
Win %
36%
1.00
Goals / game
1.36
1.27
Conceded / game
1.00
58%
BTTS %
42%
16%
Clean sheet %
32%
37%
Over 2.5 %
53%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
12.0
Avg shots
12.9
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.6
14.8
Avg fouls
11.2
46.1%
Avg possession
47.6%
Home vs Away
Notts County
Home (6)
—
Stevenage
Away (5)
1.33
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
20%
1.17
Goals / game
1.20
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
25%
44%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
12.0
Avg shots
12.9
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.6
46.1%
Avg possession
47.6%
Goals Scored
| Notts County | Home | Away | Stevenage | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 78% | 60% | 63% | 73% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 44% | 20% | 37% | 36% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 22% | 40% | 37% | 27% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Notts County | Home | Away | Stevenage | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 89% | 80% | 68% | 64% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 22% | 50% | 26% | 36% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 18% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 11% | 20% | 32% | 36% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Notts County | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 16% |
| BTTS | 58% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Notts County | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 16% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Notts County (H)D
Stockport County1–1
Stockport County1–1W
Sheffield Wednesday2–0
Sheffield Wednesday2–0W
Nottingham Forest U215–1
Nottingham Forest U215–1L
Oxford United1–2
Oxford United1–2W
Grimsby2–1
Grimsby2–1L
Bradford0–1
Bradford0–1Stevenage (A)LBradford0–2
Bradford0–2W
Walsall6–1
Walsall6–1L
Leyton Orient0–1
Leyton Orient0–1W
Barnsley5–1
Barnsley5–1D
Peterborough0–0
Peterborough0–0D
Burton Albion1–1
Burton Albion1–1Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
11.3
133 games
10.9
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Notts County | Stevenage | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 86% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 79% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 62% | 79% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 64% | 65% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 43% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 43% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 23% | 21% | 37% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 21% | 27% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Notts County | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 54% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 31% | 64% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
7
Notts County
47%
3
Draws
20%
5
Stevenage
33%
67%
Over 1.5
10/15
27%
Over 2.5
4/15
7%
Over 3.5
1/15
27%
BTTS
4/15
30/03/19Notts County
Stevenage
0–3Notts County15/09/18Stevenage
Notts County
3–3Stevenage24/02/18Stevenage
Notts County
2–0Stevenage11/11/17Notts County
Stevenage
1–1Notts County04/03/17Notts County
Stevenage
3–0Notts County13/08/16Stevenage
Notts County
1–1Stevenage09/04/16Stevenage
Notts County
1–0Stevenage08/08/15Notts County
Stevenage
0–2Notts County18/01/14Notts County
Stevenage
0–1Notts County24/08/13Stevenage
Notts County
0–1Stevenage05/02/13Notts County
Stevenage
2–0Notts County02/10/12Stevenage
Notts County
1–2Stevenage22/02/12Stevenage
Notts County
1–0Stevenage28/01/12Notts County
Stevenage
1–0Notts County17/09/11Notts County
Stevenage
0–2Notts County| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 |  Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 5 |  Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Cambridge United | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 | Oxford United | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wednesday | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mansfield Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Luton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 13 |  Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 |  Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 |  Doncaster | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 22 |  Bromley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -16 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
Team Insights
Notts County- ●Notts County have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Notts County failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Notts County failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Notts County failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Notts County's goals have been scored at home.
Stevenage- ●Stevenage have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Stevenage failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stevenage failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Notts CountyDHStockport County1–1
Stockport County1–1WHSheffield Wednesday2–0
Sheffield Wednesday2–0LAWycombe0–2
Wycombe0–2LHOxford United1–2
Oxford United1–2LAReading0–2
Reading0–2LHBradford0–1
Bradford0–1–AMansfield Town31/10
Mansfield Town31/10–ABromley14/11
Bromley14/11–HStevenage21/11
Stevenage21/11StevenageLHMilton Keynes Dons0–1
Milton Keynes Dons0–1WHPlymouth3–0
Plymouth3–0LABradford0–2
Bradford0–2WHWigan1–0
Wigan1–0LALeyton Orient0–1
Leyton Orient0–1WHLuton2–1
Luton2–1–ALeicester31/10
Leicester31/10–HMansfield Town14/11
Mansfield Town14/11–ANotts County21/11
Notts County21/11Top Scorers
Notts CountyC. Grant3 ⚽
O. Cooper2 ⚽
L. Smyth2 ⚽
C. Roberts2 ⚽
Callum Roberts2 ⚽
Oliver Cooper2 ⚽
StevenageMichael Mellon5 ⚽
O. Sanderson4 ⚽
Daniel Kemp3 ⚽
Wanya Marcal3 ⚽
Josh Magennis2 ⚽
J. Magennis2 ⚽
Cards Given
Notts County3 🟨
Rod McDonald3 🟨
Lucas Ness3 🟨
Jacob Bedeau2 🟨
J. Gibbons2 🟨
Conor·Grant2 🟨
StevenageDaniel Phillips3 🟨
Lewis Freestone2 🟨
C. Piergianni2 🟨
L. James-Wildin2 🟨
Carl Piergianni2 🟨
Louis Thompson2 🟨