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Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County — League One

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Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
12º · 1.38 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 21h
vs
–
–
Notts County
Notts County
17º · 1.17 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 21h
Stadium MK·Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire·England·30,500
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Milton Keynes Dons and Notts County meet in the League One 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 8 wins from 22 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Notts County have won 30% of their 20 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 20%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.18 for Notts County. The models give Milton Keynes Dons a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Notts County win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Milton Keynes Dons
—
Notts County
12º
Position
17º
1.38
PPG
1.17
31%
Win %
25%
1.69
Goals / game
1.08
1.54
Conceded / game
1.17
64%
BTTS %
55%
23%
Clean sheet %
20%
55%
Over 2.5 %
35%
5.4
Avg corners
4.4
15.4
Avg shots
12.3
4.9
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.6
12.5
Avg fouls
15.1
47.3%
Avg possession
45.6%

Home vs Away

Milton Keynes Dons
Home (7)
—
Notts County
Away (6)
1.71
PPG
1.00
43%
Win %
17%
2.14
Goals / game
1.00
1.43
Conceded / game
1.33
89%
BTTS %
45%
11%
Clean sheet %
27%
67%
Over 2.5 %
27%
5.4
Avg corners
4.4
15.4
Avg shots
12.3
4.9
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.6
47.3%
Avg possession
45.6%

Goals Scored

Milton KeynesHomeAwayNotts CountyHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%89%62%70%78%64%
Over 1.5 Scored41%56%31%35%44%27%
Over 2.5 Scored27%44%15%10%11%9%
Failed To Score27%11%38%30%22%36%

Goals Conceded

Milton KeynesHomeAwayNotts CountyHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded77%89%69%80%89%73%
Over 1.5 Conceded36%11%54%35%22%45%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%11%23%5%0%9%
Clean Sheets23%11%31%20%11%27%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Milton KeynesNotts County
Over 0.586%95%
Over 1.577%90%
Over 2.555%35%
Over 3.545%20%
Over 4.536%10%
BTTS64%55%
BTTS & Win27%15%
BTTS & Draw18%30%
BTTS & Over 2.555%30%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%5%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Milton KeynesNotts County
Win 1st Half32%35%
Draw 1st Half32%35%
Loss 1st Half36%30%
Scored 1st Half36%45%
Conceded 1st Half45%40%
Win 2nd Half41%30%
Draw 2nd Half32%30%
Loss 2nd Half27%40%
Scored 2nd Half64%55%
Conceded 2nd Half64%65%
Over 0.5 HT73%75%
Over 1.5 HT32%15%

Recent Venue Form

Milton Keynes (H)
WDoncaster6–1
WBromley4–1
WLuton2–1
LReading1–5
WBrentford U217–1
WCrawley Town4–1
Notts County (A)
WMansfield Town2–0
LWycombe0–2
LReading0–2
DHuddersfield1–1
DDoncaster1–1
DLuton2–2

Number of Corners

10.9
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
11.4
152 games
9.4
Corners / Match
14 games
Match CornersMilton KeynesNotts CountyLeague Avg
Over 693%79%94%
Over 780%71%88%
Over 880%64%80%
Over 967%50%67%
Over 1047%43%52%
Over 1133%36%43%
Over 1227%21%36%
Over 1320%14%26%

Team Corners

Team CornersMilton KeynesNotts County
Corners Earned / Match5.44.4
Corners Against / Match5.55.1
Over 2.5 Corners For93%86%
Over 3.5 Corners For80%57%
Over 4.5 Corners For53%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against93%86%
Over 3.5 Corners Against93%79%
Over 4.5 Corners Against80%36%

Head to Head · 16 matches

8
Milton Keynes
50%
5
Draws
31%
3
Notts County
19%
94%
Over 1.5
15/16
63%
Over 2.5
10/16
31%
Over 3.5
5/16
75%
BTTS
12/16
29/12/25
Milton Keynes Dons
1–1
Notts County
09/12/25
Notts County
3–2
Milton Keynes Dons
02/04/25
Notts County
3–0
Milton Keynes Dons
26/12/24
Milton Keynes Dons
0–2
Notts County
01/04/24
Notts County
3–3
Milton Keynes Dons
09/09/23
Milton Keynes Dons
1–1
Notts County
19/04/19
Notts County
1–2
Milton Keynes Dons
23/10/18
Milton Keynes Dons
2–1
Notts County
21/03/15
Milton Keynes Dons
4–1
Notts County
26/12/14
Notts County
0–1
Milton Keynes Dons
11/03/14
Notts County
1–3
Milton Keynes Dons
14/09/13
Milton Keynes Dons
3–1
Notts County
01/01/13
Notts County
1–2
Milton Keynes Dons
18/09/12
Milton Keynes Dons
1–1
Notts County
21/01/12
Notts County
1–1
Milton Keynes Dons
01/10/11
Milton Keynes Dons
3–0
Notts County
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Luton14734+624
4Oxford United12651+923
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading13643+1222
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

Team Insights

Milton Keynes
  • ●Milton Keynes Dons have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Milton Keynes Dons have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Milton Keynes Dons failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Milton Keynes Dons have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Milton Keynes Dons failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Milton Keynes Dons have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●68% of Milton Keynes Dons's goals have been scored at home.
Notts County
  • ●Notts County have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Notts County failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Notts County failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
WHDoncaster20º6–1
WHBromley24º4–1
WAStevenage16º1–0
LABlackpool19º0–2
WHLuton3º2–1
LHReading6º1–5
DAAFC Wimbledon18º0–0
DHPeterborough22º1–1
WAMansfield Town11º2–0
LAWycombe13º0–2
LHOxford United4º1–2
WHGrimsby2–1
LAReading6º0–2
LHBradford7º0–1
DAHuddersfield1º1–1

Season Schedule

Milton Keynes
WHDoncaster6–1
WHBromley4–1
WAStevenage1–0
LABlackpool0–2
WHLuton2–1
LHReading1–5
–HBurton Albion14/11
–AMansfield Town21/11
–HNotts County28/11
Notts County
WAMansfield Town2–0
DHStockport County1–1
WHSheffield Wednesday2–0
LAWycombe0–2
LHOxford United1–2
LAReading0–2
–ABromley14/11
–HStevenage21/11
–AMilton Keynes Dons28/11

Top Scorers

Milton Keynes
Aaron Collins14 ⚽
A. Collins3 ⚽
Callum Paterson2 ⚽
Alex Gilbey2 ⚽
Charlie Goode2 ⚽
N. Mendez-Laing2 ⚽
Notts County
Callum Roberts3 ⚽
C. Grant3 ⚽
D. Kanu2 ⚽
C. Roberts2 ⚽
L. Smyth2 ⚽
O. Cooper2 ⚽

Cards Given

Milton Keynes
Alex Gilbey5 🟨
Cohen Bramall2 🟨
C. Goode2 🟨
Callum Paterson2 🟨
Aaron Collins2 🟨
Jack Sanders2 🟨
Notts County
Rod McDonald3 🟨
3 🟨
Lucas Ness3 🟨
Luka Smyth3 🟨
Callum Roberts2 🟨
J. Gibbons2 🟨