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Armagh City vs Ards — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 13
Armagh City
Armagh City
15º · 0.44 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h
vs
–
–
Ards
Ards
11º · 1.22 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h
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Armagh City and Ards meet in the Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Armagh City have recorded 0 wins from 10 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Ards have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Armagh City and 1.80 for Ards. The models give Armagh City a 26% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Ards win at 51%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Armagh City
—
Ards
15º
Position
11º
0.44
PPG
1.22
0%
Win %
33%
0.89
Goals / game
1.22
1.78
Conceded / game
1.33
40%
BTTS %
45%
10%
Clean sheet %
18%
30%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Armagh City
Home (4)
—
Ards
Away (4)
0.50
PPG
1.75
0%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.75
2.50
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
40%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Armagh CityHomeAwayArdsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored40%60%20%55%60%50%
Over 1.5 Scored30%40%20%27%20%33%
Over 2.5 Scored10%20%0%18%0%33%
Failed To Score60%40%80%45%40%50%

Goals Conceded

Armagh CityHomeAwayArdsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded90%100%80%82%80%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded50%60%40%45%60%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded10%20%0%9%20%0%
Clean Sheets10%0%20%18%20%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Armagh CityArds
Over 0.590%91%
Over 1.560%64%
Over 2.530%55%
Over 3.530%27%
Over 4.510%0%
BTTS40%45%
BTTS & Win0%18%
BTTS & Draw30%9%
BTTS & Over 2.530%45%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%9%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Armagh CityArds
Win 1st Half10%27%
Draw 1st Half60%55%
Loss 1st Half30%18%
Scored 1st Half30%36%
Conceded 1st Half40%27%
Win 2nd Half10%18%
Draw 2nd Half20%27%
Loss 2nd Half70%55%
Scored 2nd Half30%36%
Conceded 2nd Half90%82%
Over 0.5 HT50%55%
Over 1.5 HT20%18%

Recent Venue Form

Armagh City (H)
LDundela0–2
LInstitute3–5
DGlenavon FC2–2
DQueen's University1–1
LCliftonville FC0–1
LInstitute1–4
Ards (A)
DMoyola Park0–0
LAnnagh United1–2
WWarrenpoint Town3–1
WGlenavon FC3–1
LCarrick Rangers0–1
LBangor0–2

Head to Head · 7 matches

2
Armagh City
29%
0
Draws
0%
5
Ards
71%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
86%
Over 2.5
6/7
57%
Over 3.5
4/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
10/04/26
Ards
2–1
Armagh City
30/12/25
Armagh City
0–8
Ards
08/11/25
Armagh City
1–0
Ards
20/09/25
Ards
2–1
Armagh City
18/01/25
Ards
4–2
Armagh City
26/10/24
Ards
3–1
Armagh City
31/08/24
Armagh City
4–1
Ards
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
3Glenavon FC9522+917
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
6Loughgall38141410+1256
6Newry City AFC9432-115
7Institute3817813+1359
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
12Armagh City384727-8219
12Moyola Park9324-711
14Strabane Athletic9225-98
16Rathfriland9108-153

Team Insights

Armagh City
  • ●Armagh City have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
  • ●Armagh City have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Armagh City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●75% of Armagh City's goals have been scored at home.
Ards
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●64% of Ards's goals have been scored away.
  • ●67% of Ards's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●64% of Ards's points have been earned away.
Armagh CityArmagh City
LHDundela11º0–2
LHDundela11º0–2
LHDundela10º0–2
DALoughgall13º0–0
DALoughgall6º0–0
DALoughgall5º0–0
LHInstitute7º3–5
LHInstitute7º3–5
LHInstitute9º3–5
DANewry City AFC6º2–2
ArdsArds
LHStrabane Athletic14º0–1
DAMoyola Park12º0–0
WHRathfriland16º1–0
LAAnnagh United2º1–2
LAAnnagh United2º1–2
LAAnnagh United2º1–2
LHQueen's University6º0–3
LHQueen's University4º0–3
LHQueen's University5º0–3
LHLoughgall6º1–2

Season Schedule

Armagh City
LHDundela0–2
DALoughgall0–0
LHInstitute3–5
DANewry City AFC2–2
LAMoyola Park0–1
DHGlenavon FC2–2
–AStrabane Athletic02/10
–ARathfriland09/10
–HAnnagh United17/10
Ards
LHStrabane Athletic0–1
DAMoyola Park0–0
WHRathfriland1–0
LAAnnagh United1–2
LHQueen's University0–3
LHLoughgall1–2
–ABallinamallard United03/10
–ANewington Youth10/10
–HInstitute16/10