H&W Welders vs Loughgall — Championship
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H&W Welders and Loughgall meet in the Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. H&W Welders have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Loughgall have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for H&W Welders and 1.23 for Loughgall. The models give H&W Welders a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Loughgall win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
H&W Welders—
Loughgall5º
Position
13º
1.67
PPG
1.11
56%
Win %
22%
1.89
Goals / game
1.33
1.44
Conceded / game
2.00
59%
BTTS %
69%
29%
Clean sheet %
23%
71%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
H&W Welders
Home (4)
—
Loughgall
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
1.40
75%
Win %
40%
1.75
Goals / game
1.20
0.75
Conceded / game
1.40
40%
BTTS %
63%
40%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| H&W Welders | Home | Away | Loughgall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 80% | 100% | 77% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 30% | 57% | 54% | 40% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 20% | 29% | 31% | 20% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 20% | 0% | 23% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| H&W Welders | Home | Away | Loughgall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 60% | 86% | 77% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 50% | 43% | 38% | 80% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 29% | 31% | 60% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 40% | 14% | 23% | 20% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| H&W Welders | Loughgall | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 38% |
| BTTS | 59% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 69% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| H&W Welders | Loughgall | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
H&W Welders (H)L
Ballinamallard United1–3
Ballinamallard United1–3W
Dundela2–0
Dundela2–0W
Armagh City1–0
Armagh City1–0W
Warrenpoint Town3–0
Warrenpoint Town3–0D
Dungannon Swifts1–1
Dungannon Swifts1–1L
Portadown0–2
Portadown0–2Loughgall (A)L
Glenavon FC1–4
Glenavon FC1–4L
Queen's University0–1
Queen's University0–1W
Ards2–1
Ards2–1D
Institute0–0
Institute0–0W
Rathfriland3–1
Rathfriland3–1W
Dollingstown3–0
Dollingstown3–0Head to Head · 21 matches
9
H&W Welders
43%
2
Draws
10%
10
Loughgall
48%
86%
Over 1.5
18/21
62%
Over 2.5
13/21
29%
Over 3.5
6/21
52%
BTTS
11/21
11/04/26H&W Welders
Loughgall
2–0H&W Welders24/01/26Loughgall
H&W Welders
2–1Loughgall08/11/25Loughgall
H&W Welders
1–1Loughgall13/09/25H&W Welders
Loughgall
1–2H&W Welders27/07/24Loughgall
H&W Welders
4–3Loughgall25/03/23Loughgall
H&W Welders
0–0Loughgall02/01/23Loughgall
H&W Welders
2–1Loughgall17/09/22H&W Welders
Loughgall
4–0H&W Welders09/04/22Loughgall
H&W Welders
1–0Loughgall26/02/22Loughgall
H&W Welders
1–2Loughgall18/12/21H&W Welders
Loughgall
3–0H&W Welders18/09/21H&W Welders
Loughgall
4–0H&W Welders10/03/20H&W Welders
Loughgall
3–1H&W Welders01/02/20Loughgall
H&W Welders
1–2Loughgall05/10/19H&W Welders
Loughgall
4–1H&W Welders17/11/18Loughgall
H&W Welders
0–2Loughgall15/09/18H&W Welders
Loughgall
0–2H&W Welders23/03/18H&W Welders
Loughgall
3–1H&W Welders17/02/18Loughgall
H&W Welders
1–0Loughgall16/12/17Loughgall
H&W Welders
2–0Loughgall| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 |  Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 3 | Glenavon FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 6 |  Newry City AFC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 |  Moyola Park | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 |  Strabane Athletic | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | Rathfriland | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -15 | 3 |
Team Insights
H&W Welders- ●H&W Welders have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●H&W Welders have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●H&W Welders have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●H&W Welders failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●H&W Welders failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●77% of H&W Welders's goals conceded were conceded away.
Loughgall- ●Loughgall have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Loughgall have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Loughgall have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Loughgall failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Loughgall's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
H&W WeldersLANewry City AFC2–3
Newry City AFC2–3LHBallinamallard United1–3
Ballinamallard United1–3LAAnnagh United1–3
Annagh United1–3WAMoyola Park4–1
Moyola Park4–1WHDundela2–0
Dundela2–0WAStrabane Athletic2–1
Strabane Athletic2–1–HRathfriland03/10
Rathfriland03/10–AInstitute10/10
Institute10/10–AGlenavon FC16/10
Glenavon FC16/10LoughgallLAGlenavon FC1–4
Glenavon FC1–4DHArmagh City0–0
Armagh City0–0LAQueen's University0–1
Queen's University0–1LHBallinamallard United1–6
Ballinamallard United1–6DHWarrenpoint Town3–3
Warrenpoint Town3–3WAArds2–1
Ards2–1–HNewry City AFC03/10
Newry City AFC03/10–HMoyola Park10/10
Moyola Park10/10–AStrabane Athletic16/10
Strabane Athletic16/10Top Scorers
H&W Welders4 ⚽
D. Mhondiwa1 ⚽
S. Forbes1 ⚽
LoughgallC. Murphy1 ⚽
D. Stewart1 ⚽
H. Norton1 ⚽
K. McLaughlin1 ⚽