Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth — Championship
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The Showgrounds·Newry·Northern Ireland·2,822
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Newry City AFC and Newington Youth meet in the Championship 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Newry City AFC have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Newington Youth have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 2.15 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Newry City AFC and 1.59 for Newington Youth. The models give Newry City AFC a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Newington Youth win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Newry City AFC—
Newington Youth6º
Position
1º
1.67
PPG
2.22
44%
Win %
67%
1.67
Goals / game
2.67
1.78
Conceded / game
1.22
70%
BTTS %
62%
20%
Clean sheet %
23%
70%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newry City AFC
Home (5)
—
Newington Youth
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.75
20%
Win %
50%
1.40
Goals / game
1.25
2.40
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
63%
17%
Clean sheet %
13%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newry City | Home | Away | Newington Youth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 83% | 100% | 85% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 33% | 75% | 62% | 100% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 80% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 17% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Newry City | Home | Away | Newington Youth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 83% | 75% | 77% | 60% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 33% | 0% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 40% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newry City | Newington Youth | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS | 70% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newry City | Newington Youth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 15% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 77% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 62% |
Recent Venue Form
Newry City (H)W
H&W Welders3–2
H&W Welders3–2D
Annagh United1–1
Annagh United1–1D
Armagh City2–2
Armagh City2–2L
Warrenpoint Town0–3
Warrenpoint Town0–3L
Glenavon FC1–4
Glenavon FC1–4W
Bangor1–0
Bangor1–0Newington Youth (A)LGlenavon FC0–1
Glenavon FC0–1WWarrenpoint Town1–0
Warrenpoint Town1–0W
Strabane Athletic2–1
Strabane Athletic2–1D
Loughgall2–2
Loughgall2–2D
Crusaders FC1–1
Crusaders FC1–1L
Cliftonville FC0–1
Cliftonville FC0–1Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Newry City
29%
1
Draws
14%
4
Newington Youth
57%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
19/04/25Newry City AFC
Newington Youth
3–2Newry City AFC07/02/25Newington Youth
Newry City AFC
0–1Newington Youth19/10/24Newington Youth
Newry City AFC
3–1Newington Youth31/08/24Newry City AFC
Newington Youth
3–3Newry City AFC03/02/24Newington Youth
Newry City AFC
1–2Newington Youth08/07/23Newington Youth
Newry City AFC
1–0Newington Youth23/07/22Newington Youth
Newry City AFC
0–1Newington Youth| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 3 | Glenavon FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 |  Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 6 | Newry City AFC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 8 |  Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 |  Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 |  Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 |  Moyola Park | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 |  Rathfriland | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -15 | 3 |
Team Insights
Newry City- ●Newry City AFC have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Newry City AFC's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Newry City AFC's points have been earned away.
Newington Youth- ●Newington Youth have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newington Youth have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●79% of Newington Youth's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Newington Youth have scored 71% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Newington Youth have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Newry CityWHH&W Welders3–2
H&W Welders3–2DHAnnagh United1–1
Annagh United1–1DAStrabane Athletic2–2
Strabane Athletic2–2DHArmagh City2–2
Armagh City2–2WAInstitute3–1
Institute3–1LHWarrenpoint Town0–3
Warrenpoint Town0–3–ALoughgall03/10
Loughgall03/10–HDundela09/10
Dundela09/10–AQueen's University17/10
Queen's University17/10Newington YouthWHBallinamallard United4–0
Ballinamallard United4–0LAGlenavon FC0–1
Glenavon FC0–1DHDundela5–5
Dundela5–5WAWarrenpoint Town1–0
Warrenpoint Town1–0WAStrabane Athletic2–1
Strabane Athletic2–1WHRathfriland4–0
Rathfriland4–0–AInstitute03/10
Institute03/10–HArds10/10
Ards10/10–AMoyola Park16/10
Moyola Park16/10Top Scorers
Newry City3 ⚽
R. Swan1 ⚽
Newington YouthA. Kelly1 ⚽
D. Stuart1 ⚽
R. Donnelly1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Newry City1 🟨
Newington Youth