Rathfriland vs Moyola Park — Championship
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Rathfriland and Moyola Park meet in the Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Rathfriland have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Moyola Park have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Rathfriland and 1.44 for Moyola Park. The models give Rathfriland a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Moyola Park win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Rathfriland | Home | Away | Moyola Park | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 60% | 50% | 71% | 78% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 25% | 29% | 22% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 40% | 50% | 29% | 22% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Rathfriland | Home | Away | Moyola Park | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 71% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 64% | 56% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 20% | 75% | 43% | 44% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rathfriland | Moyola Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 14% |
| BTTS | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rathfriland | Moyola Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 11% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 89% | 54% |
| Scored 1st Half | 0% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 89% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 54% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 6 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 | |
| 2 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 | |
| 3 | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 | |
| 4 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 | |
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 | |
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 | |
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 | |
| 9 | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 | |
| 10 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 | |
| 11 | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 | |
| 12 | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -15 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Rathfriland have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rathfriland have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Moyola Park have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Moyola Park have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.