Strabane Athletic vs Ballinamallard United — Championship
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Strabane Athletic and Ballinamallard United meet in the Championship 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Strabane Athletic have recorded 2 wins from 12 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Ballinamallard United have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Strabane Athletic and 1.67 for Ballinamallard United. The models give Strabane Athletic a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ballinamallard United win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Strabane AthleticBallinamallard UnitedHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Strabane Athletic | Home | Away | Ballinamallard United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 80% | 57% | 58% | 80% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 14% | 33% | 20% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 14% | 17% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 20% | 43% | 42% | 20% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Strabane Athletic | Home | Away | Ballinamallard United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 100% | 86% | 83% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 80% | 43% | 33% | 40% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 43% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 0% | 14% | 17% | 0% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Strabane Athletic | Ballinamallard United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 8% |
| BTTS | 58% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Strabane Athletic | Ballinamallard United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 75% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 82% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Strabane Athletic (H)
Newry City AFC2–2
Newington Youth1–2
H&W Welders1–2
Institute0–1
Dungannon Swifts2–2
Coagh United3–1Ballinamallard United (A)Newington Youth0–4H&W Welders3–1
Loughgall6–1
Moyola Park0–2Institute2–1
Crusaders FC0–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 |  Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 3 |  Glenavon FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 |  Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 6 | Newry City AFC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 8 |  Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 |  Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 |  Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 |  Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 | Moyola Park | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 |  Rathfriland | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -15 | 3 |
Team Insights
Strabane Athletic- ●Strabane Athletic have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Strabane Athletic have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Strabane Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●88% of Strabane Athletic's points have been earned away.
- ●Strabane Athletic have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Strabane Athletic have conceded 68% of their goals in the first half.
Ballinamallard United- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Ballinamallard United's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Ballinamallard United's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Strabane AthleticArds1–0Dundela1–1Newry City AFC2–2Queen's University0–6Newington Youth1–2H&W Welders1–2Armagh City02/10Warrenpoint Town10/10Loughgall16/10Ballinamallard UnitedNewington Youth0–4H&W Welders3–1Glenavon FC1–1Loughgall6–1Annagh United1–3Dundela2–1Ards03/10Queen's University10/10Warrenpoint Town17/10Top Scorers
Strabane AthleticBallinamallard United