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Ards vs Newry City AFC — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 14
Ards
Ards
10º · 1.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 20h
vs
–
–
Newry City AFC
Newry City AFC
5º · 1.64 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 20h
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Ards and Newry City AFC meet in the Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Ards have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Newry City AFC have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Ards and 1.54 for Newry City AFC. The models give Ards a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Newry City AFC win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Ards
—
Newry City AFC
10º
Position
5º
1.36
PPG
1.64
36%
Win %
45%
1.27
Goals / game
1.73
1.18
Conceded / game
1.73
46%
BTTS %
75%
23%
Clean sheet %
17%
46%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Ards
Home (5)
—
Newry City AFC
Away (5)
0.80
PPG
2.00
20%
Win %
60%
0.80
Goals / game
1.80
1.60
Conceded / game
1.20
40%
BTTS %
80%
20%
Clean sheet %
20%
60%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ArdsHomeAwayNewry CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored62%60%63%92%86%100%
Over 1.5 Scored31%20%38%50%43%60%
Over 2.5 Scored15%0%25%25%29%20%
Failed To Score38%40%38%8%14%0%

Goals Conceded

ArdsHomeAwayNewry CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded77%80%75%83%86%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%60%25%50%57%40%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%20%0%17%29%0%
Clean Sheets23%20%25%17%14%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ArdsNewry City
Over 0.592%100%
Over 1.569%83%
Over 2.546%75%
Over 3.523%50%
Over 4.50%17%
BTTS46%75%
BTTS & Win15%33%
BTTS & Draw15%25%
BTTS & Over 2.538%67%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ArdsNewry City
Win 1st Half38%50%
Draw 1st Half46%25%
Loss 1st Half15%25%
Scored 1st Half46%67%
Conceded 1st Half23%50%
Win 2nd Half15%33%
Draw 2nd Half31%33%
Loss 2nd Half54%33%
Scored 2nd Half31%50%
Conceded 2nd Half77%50%
Over 0.5 HT62%92%
Over 1.5 HT23%42%

Recent Venue Form

Ards (H)
LStrabane Athletic0–1
WRathfriland1–0
LQueen's University0–3
LLoughgall1–2
DDundela2–2
WArmagh City2–1
Newry City (A)
LLoughgall1–2
DStrabane Athletic2–2
WInstitute3–1
WRathfriland2–1
WBallinamallard United1–0
WDollingstown1–0

Head to Head · 12 matches

3
Ards
25%
1
Draws
8%
8
Newry City
67%
92%
Over 1.5
11/12
67%
Over 2.5
8/12
42%
Over 3.5
5/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
04/03/25
Newry City AFC
2–0
Ards
14/12/24
Ards
0–1
Newry City AFC
04/10/24
Newry City AFC
1–4
Ards
12/03/22
Newry City AFC
4–0
Ards
29/10/21
Ards
1–1
Newry City AFC
27/08/21
Newry City AFC
2–1
Ards
12/10/19
Newry City AFC
5–1
Ards
10/08/19
Ards
0–3
Newry City AFC
05/04/19
Newry City AFC
3–0
Ards
23/02/19
Ards
3–1
Newry City AFC
17/11/18
Newry City AFC
2–0
Ards
24/08/18
Ards
4–0
Newry City AFC
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
2Glenavon FC11632+1221
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
5Newry City AFC11533018
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
11Moyola Park11425-914
12Armagh City384727-8219
14Strabane Athletic11236-109
15Rathfriland11308-129

Team Insights

Ards
  • ●Ards have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Ards have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Ards have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●71% of Ards's goals have been scored away.
  • ●73% of Ards's points have been earned away.
Newry City
  • ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●68% of Newry City AFC's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●Newry City AFC have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
ArdsArds
WANewington Youth3º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
DABallinamallard United8º1–1
DABallinamallard United10º1–1
DABallinamallard United10º1–1
LHStrabane Athletic14º0–1
DAMoyola Park11º0–0
WHRathfriland15º1–0
LAAnnagh United1º1–2
Newry City AFCNewry City AFC
WHDundela13º3–1
WHDundela11º3–1
WHDundela11º3–1
LALoughgall12º1–2
LALoughgall6º1–2
LALoughgall5º1–2
WHH&W Welders9º3–2
WHH&W Welders3º3–2
WHH&W Welders3º3–2
DHAnnagh United1º1–1

Season Schedule

Ards
WANewington Youth2–0
DABallinamallard United1–1
LHStrabane Athletic0–1
DAMoyola Park0–0
WHRathfriland1–0
LAAnnagh United1–2
–HInstitute16/10
–AArmagh City24/10
–HNewry City AFC31/10
Newry City
WHDundela3–1
LALoughgall1–2
WHH&W Welders3–2
DHAnnagh United1–1
DAStrabane Athletic2–2
DHArmagh City2–2
–AQueen's University17/10
–HNewington Youth23/10
–AArds31/10

Top Scorers

Ards
Newry City
3 ⚽
R. Swan1 ⚽

Cards Given

Ards
Newry City
1 🟨