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Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 14
Rathfriland
Rathfriland
15º · 0.82 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Strabane Athletic
Strabane Athletic
14º · 0.82 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 20d 5h
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Rathfriland and Strabane Athletic meet in the Championship 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Rathfriland have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Strabane Athletic have won 14% of their 14 matches, with 0.86 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Rathfriland and 1.34 for Strabane Athletic. The models give Rathfriland a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Strabane Athletic win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Rathfriland
—
Strabane Athletic
15º
Position
14º
0.82
PPG
0.82
27%
Win %
18%
1.00
Goals / game
0.91
2.09
Conceded / game
1.82
55%
BTTS %
50%
9%
Clean sheet %
14%
64%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Rathfriland
Home (6)
—
Strabane Athletic
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
2.17
50%
BTTS %
38%
17%
Clean sheet %
13%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

RathfrilandHomeAwayStrabane AthleticHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%67%60%57%67%50%
Over 1.5 Scored27%17%40%21%33%13%
Over 2.5 Scored9%0%20%7%0%13%
Failed To Score36%33%40%43%33%50%

Goals Conceded

RathfrilandHomeAwayStrabane AthleticHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded91%83%100%86%83%88%
Over 1.5 Conceded64%67%60%50%67%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded36%17%60%21%0%38%
Clean Sheets9%17%0%14%17%13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

RathfrilandStrabane Athletic
Over 0.5100%93%
Over 1.582%64%
Over 2.564%57%
Over 3.545%43%
Over 4.59%21%
BTTS55%50%
BTTS & Win18%7%
BTTS & Draw0%21%
BTTS & Over 2.555%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.59%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

RathfrilandStrabane Athletic
Win 1st Half18%8%
Draw 1st Half9%46%
Loss 1st Half73%46%
Scored 1st Half18%38%
Conceded 1st Half82%69%
Win 2nd Half36%31%
Draw 2nd Half27%31%
Loss 2nd Half36%38%
Scored 2nd Half55%38%
Conceded 2nd Half55%46%
Over 0.5 HT91%69%
Over 1.5 HT64%46%

Recent Venue Form

Rathfriland (H)
WArmagh City2–1
LWarrenpoint Town0–2
WQueen's University1–0
LInstitute0–2
LNewry City AFC1–2
LLoughgall1–3
Strabane Athletic (A)
LWarrenpoint Town0–1
WArds1–0
DDundela1–1
LQueen's University0–6
LGlenavon FC1–4
WMoyola Park3–1

Head to Head · 3 matches

1
Rathfriland
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Strabane Athletic
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
28/02/26
Rathfriland
2–5
Strabane Athletic
29/11/25
Strabane Athletic
0–3
Rathfriland
22/11/25
Strabane Athletic
2–1
Rathfriland
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
2Glenavon FC11632+1221
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
5Newry City AFC11533018
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
11Moyola Park11425-914
12Armagh City384727-8219
14Strabane Athletic11236-109
15Rathfriland11308-129

Team Insights

Rathfriland
  • ●Rathfriland have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Strabane Athletic
  • ●Strabane Athletic have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Strabane Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Strabane Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●65% of Strabane Athletic's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●78% of Strabane Athletic's points have been earned away.
  • ●Strabane Athletic have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Strabane Athletic have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
RathfrilandRathfriland
WHArmagh City16º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WAH&W Welders9º3–1
WAH&W Welders3º3–1
WAH&W Welders3º3–1
LHWarrenpoint Town6º0–2
LHWarrenpoint Town9º0–2
LHWarrenpoint Town9º0–2
WHQueen's University4º1–0
Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic
LAWarrenpoint Town6º0–1
LAWarrenpoint Town9º0–1
LAWarrenpoint Town9º0–1
DHArmagh City16º0–0
DHArmagh City12º0–0
DHArmagh City12º0–0
WAArds10º1–0
WAArds8º1–0
WAArds8º1–0
DADundela13º1–1

Season Schedule

Rathfriland
WHArmagh City2–1
WAH&W Welders3–1
LHWarrenpoint Town0–2
WHQueen's University1–0
LAArds0–1
LHInstitute0–2
–ADundela17/10
–HMoyola Park24/10
–HStrabane Athletic30/10
Strabane Athletic
LAWarrenpoint Town0–1
DHArmagh City0–0
WAArds1–0
DADundela1–1
DHNewry City AFC2–2
LAQueen's University0–6
–HLoughgall16/10
–HBallinamallard United23/10
–ARathfriland30/10

Top Scorers

Rathfriland
Strabane Athletic
C. McLoughlin1 ⚽
D. Sharkey1 ⚽