Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland — Championship
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Ballinamallard United and Rathfriland meet in the Championship 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Ballinamallard United have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Rathfriland have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Ballinamallard United and 1.41 for Rathfriland. The models give Ballinamallard United a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Rathfriland win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ballinamallard United | Home | Away | Rathfriland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 83% | 50% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 17% | 38% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 17% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Ballinamallard United | Home | Away | Rathfriland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 100% | 63% | 91% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 17% | 13% | 36% | 17% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 0% | 38% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ballinamallard United | Rathfriland | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 9% |
| BTTS | 57% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ballinamallard United | Rathfriland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 7% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 71% | 9% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 73% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 82% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 | |
| 2 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 | |
| 3 | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 | |
| 4 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | |
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 | |
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 | |
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 | |
| 9 | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 | |
| 10 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 | |
| 11 | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 14 | |
| 12 | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -12 | 9 |
Team Insights
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Ballinamallard United's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Ballinamallard United's points have been earned away.
- ●Rathfriland have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Rathfriland have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.