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Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland — Championship

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Ballinamallard United
Ballinamallard United
8º · 1.55 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 5h
vs
–
–
Rathfriland
Rathfriland
15º · 0.82 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h
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Ballinamallard United and Rathfriland meet in the Championship 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Ballinamallard United have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Rathfriland have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 9%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Ballinamallard United and 1.41 for Rathfriland. The models give Ballinamallard United a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Rathfriland win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

Ballinamallard United
—
Rathfriland
8º
Position
15º
1.55
PPG
0.82
45%
Win %
27%
1.55
Goals / game
1.00
1.45
Conceded / game
2.09
57%
BTTS %
55%
21%
Clean sheet %
9%
50%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Ballinamallard United
Home (5)
—
Rathfriland
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.60
20%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
1.20
1.40
Conceded / game
2.60
83%
BTTS %
60%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Ballinamallard UnitedHomeAwayRathfrilandHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%83%50%64%67%60%
Over 1.5 Scored29%17%38%27%17%40%
Over 2.5 Scored14%0%25%9%0%20%
Failed To Score36%17%50%36%33%40%

Goals Conceded

Ballinamallard UnitedHomeAwayRathfrilandHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded79%100%63%91%83%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%33%25%64%67%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%17%13%36%17%60%
Clean Sheets21%0%38%9%17%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Ballinamallard UnitedRathfriland
Over 0.586%100%
Over 1.571%82%
Over 2.550%64%
Over 3.529%45%
Over 4.57%9%
BTTS57%55%
BTTS & Win29%18%
BTTS & Draw14%0%
BTTS & Over 2.543%55%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%9%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Ballinamallard UnitedRathfriland
Win 1st Half7%18%
Draw 1st Half71%9%
Loss 1st Half21%73%
Scored 1st Half36%18%
Conceded 1st Half50%82%
Win 2nd Half50%36%
Draw 2nd Half21%27%
Loss 2nd Half29%36%
Scored 2nd Half50%55%
Conceded 2nd Half43%55%
Over 0.5 HT57%91%
Over 1.5 HT43%64%

Recent Venue Form

Ballinamallard United (H)
DArds1–1
DGlenavon FC1–1
LAnnagh United1–3
WDundela2–1
LNewry City AFC0–1
LBangor1–2
Rathfriland (A)
WH&W Welders3–1
LArds0–1
LGlenavon FC1–3
LNewington Youth0–4
LAnnagh United2–4
WKnockbreda4–0
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
2Glenavon FC11632+1221
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
5Newry City AFC11533018
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
11Moyola Park11425-914
12Armagh City384727-8219
14Strabane Athletic11236-109
15Rathfriland11308-129

Team Insights

Ballinamallard United
  • ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●71% of Ballinamallard United's goals have been scored away.
  • ●71% of Ballinamallard United's points have been earned away.
Rathfriland
  • ●Rathfriland have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
DHArds10º1–1
DHArds8º1–1
DHArds8º1–1
LANewington Youth3º0–4
LANewington Youth4º0–4
LANewington Youth4º0–4
WAH&W Welders9º3–1
WHArmagh City16º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WAH&W Welders9º3–1
WAH&W Welders3º3–1
WAH&W Welders3º3–1

Season Schedule

Ballinamallard United
WAQueen's University1–0
DHArds1–1
LANewington Youth0–4
WAH&W Welders3–1
DHGlenavon FC1–1
WALoughgall6–1
–HWarrenpoint Town17/10
–AStrabane Athletic23/10
–HArmagh City31/10
Rathfriland
WHArmagh City2–1
WAH&W Welders3–1
LHWarrenpoint Town0–2
WHQueen's University1–0
LAArds0–1
LHInstitute0–2
–ADundela17/10
–HMoyola Park24/10
–HStrabane Athletic30/10

Top Scorers

Ballinamallard United
R. Mayse1 ⚽
Rathfriland