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H&W Welders vs Ards — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 15
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
9º · 1.45 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h
vs
–
–
Ards
Ards
10º · 1.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 20h
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H&W Welders and Ards meet in the Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. H&W Welders have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Ards have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for H&W Welders and 1.42 for Ards. The models give H&W Welders a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ards win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

H&W Welders
—
Ards
9º
Position
10º
1.45
PPG
1.36
45%
Win %
36%
1.64
Goals / game
1.27
1.45
Conceded / game
1.18
58%
BTTS %
46%
32%
Clean sheet %
23%
68%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

H&W Welders
Home (5)
—
Ards
Away (6)
1.80
PPG
1.83
60%
Win %
50%
1.60
Goals / game
1.67
1.20
Conceded / game
0.83
45%
BTTS %
50%
36%
Clean sheet %
25%
64%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

H&W WeldersHomeAwayArdsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored84%82%88%62%60%63%
Over 1.5 Scored37%27%50%31%20%38%
Over 2.5 Scored21%18%25%15%0%25%
Failed To Score16%18%13%38%40%38%

Goals Conceded

H&W WeldersHomeAwayArdsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded68%64%75%77%80%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded47%55%38%38%60%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded26%27%25%8%20%0%
Clean Sheets32%36%25%23%20%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

H&W WeldersArds
Over 0.595%92%
Over 1.589%69%
Over 2.568%46%
Over 3.532%23%
Over 4.511%0%
BTTS58%46%
BTTS & Win11%15%
BTTS & Draw11%15%
BTTS & Over 2.547%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.521%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

H&W WeldersArds
Win 1st Half28%38%
Draw 1st Half33%46%
Loss 1st Half39%15%
Scored 1st Half56%46%
Conceded 1st Half56%23%
Win 2nd Half33%15%
Draw 2nd Half22%31%
Loss 2nd Half44%54%
Scored 2nd Half50%31%
Conceded 2nd Half61%77%
Over 0.5 HT83%62%
Over 1.5 HT33%23%

Recent Venue Form

H&W Welders (H)
LRathfriland1–3
LBallinamallard United1–3
WDundela2–0
WArmagh City1–0
WWarrenpoint Town3–0
DDungannon Swifts1–1
Ards (A)
WNewington Youth2–0
DBallinamallard United1–1
DMoyola Park0–0
LAnnagh United1–2
WWarrenpoint Town3–1
WGlenavon FC3–1

Head to Head · 19 matches

9
H&W Welders
47%
1
Draws
5%
9
Ards
47%
74%
Over 1.5
14/19
63%
Over 2.5
12/19
37%
Over 3.5
7/19
53%
BTTS
10/19
14/02/26
Ards
2–3
H&W Welders
15/11/25
Ards
1–4
H&W Welders
06/09/25
H&W Welders
1–2
Ards
05/04/25
Ards
2–5
H&W Welders
15/03/25
H&W Welders
0–1
Ards
30/11/24
H&W Welders
4–0
Ards
21/09/24
Ards
3–1
H&W Welders
24/02/24
Ards
0–1
H&W Welders
18/11/23
H&W Welders
0–3
Ards
25/08/23
Ards
1–1
H&W Welders
11/02/23
Ards
0–1
H&W Welders
12/11/22
H&W Welders
2–5
Ards
13/08/22
H&W Welders
0–2
Ards
26/03/22
H&W Welders
4–0
Ards
11/12/21
H&W Welders
2–1
Ards
14/08/21
Ards
1–0
H&W Welders
07/03/20
H&W Welders
1–2
Ards
28/01/20
Ards
1–2
H&W Welders
06/08/19
Ards
1–0
H&W Welders
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
2Glenavon FC11632+1221
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
5Newry City AFC11533018
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
11Moyola Park11425-914
12Armagh City384727-8219
14Strabane Athletic11236-109
15Rathfriland11308-129

Team Insights

H&W Welders
  • ●H&W Welders have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●H&W Welders have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●H&W Welders have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●H&W Welders failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●H&W Welders have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Ards
  • ●Ards have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Ards have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Ards have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●71% of Ards's goals have been scored away.
  • ●73% of Ards's points have been earned away.
H&W WeldersH&W Welders
DAInstitute7º0–0
DAInstitute7º0–0
DAInstitute7º0–0
LHRathfriland15º1–3
LANewry City AFC5º2–3
LHBallinamallard United8º1–3
LHBallinamallard United10º1–3
LHBallinamallard United10º1–3
LAAnnagh United1º1–3
LAAnnagh United2º1–3
ArdsArds
WANewington Youth3º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
DABallinamallard United8º1–1
DABallinamallard United10º1–1
DABallinamallard United10º1–1
LHStrabane Athletic14º0–1
DAMoyola Park11º0–0
WHRathfriland15º1–0
LAAnnagh United1º1–2

Season Schedule

H&W Welders
DAInstitute0–0
LHRathfriland1–3
LANewry City AFC2–3
LHBallinamallard United1–3
LAAnnagh United1–3
WAMoyola Park4–1
–AGlenavon FC16/10
–HLoughgall24/10
–ANewington Youth30/10
Ards
WANewington Youth2–0
DABallinamallard United1–1
LHStrabane Athletic0–1
DAMoyola Park0–0
WHRathfriland1–0
LAAnnagh United1–2
–HInstitute16/10
–AArmagh City24/10
–HNewry City AFC31/10

Top Scorers

H&W Welders
4 ⚽
D. Mhondiwa1 ⚽
S. Forbes1 ⚽
Ards