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Ards vs Moyola Park — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 16
Ards
Ards
10º · 1.25 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 24d 1h
vs
–
–
Moyola Park
Moyola Park
12º · 1.17 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 24d 1h
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Ards and Moyola Park meet in the Championship 2026 season on 13 November 2026. Ards have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.93 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Moyola Park have won 33% of their 18 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 22%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Ards and 1.47 for Moyola Park. The models give Ards a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Moyola Park win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Ards
—
Moyola Park
10º
Position
12º
1.25
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
1.17
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
40%
BTTS %
56%
20%
Clean sheet %
22%
40%
Over 2.5 %
72%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Ards
Home (6)
—
Moyola Park
Away (5)
0.67
PPG
1.40
17%
Win %
40%
0.67
Goals / game
1.40
1.67
Conceded / game
2.20
33%
BTTS %
57%
17%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ArdsHomeAwayMoyola ParkHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored53%50%56%72%73%71%
Over 1.5 Scored27%17%33%39%27%57%
Over 2.5 Scored13%0%22%6%0%14%
Failed To Score47%50%44%28%27%29%

Goals Conceded

ArdsHomeAwayMoyola ParkHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded80%83%78%78%73%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded40%67%22%61%64%57%
Over 2.5 Conceded7%17%0%44%55%29%
Clean Sheets20%17%22%22%27%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ArdsMoyola Park
Over 0.593%94%
Over 1.567%83%
Over 2.540%72%
Over 3.520%39%
Over 4.50%22%
BTTS40%56%
BTTS & Win13%17%
BTTS & Draw13%6%
BTTS & Over 2.533%56%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ArdsMoyola Park
Win 1st Half36%6%
Draw 1st Half43%38%
Loss 1st Half21%56%
Scored 1st Half43%31%
Conceded 1st Half29%63%
Win 2nd Half14%38%
Draw 2nd Half36%13%
Loss 2nd Half50%50%
Scored 2nd Half29%50%
Conceded 2nd Half71%69%
Over 0.5 HT64%69%
Over 1.5 HT29%38%

Recent Venue Form

Ards (H)
LInstitute0–2
LStrabane Athletic0–1
WRathfriland1–0
LQueen's University0–3
LLoughgall1–2
DDundela2–2
Moyola Park (A)
WDundela4–1
WLoughgall2–1
WQueen's University1–0
LWarrenpoint Town2–6
LAnnagh United0–2
DDundela2–2

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Ards
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Moyola Park
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
19/09/26
Moyola Park
0–0
Ards
01/02/25
Moyola Park
1–3
Ards
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
2Glenavon FC12732+1624
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
6Loughgall38141410+1256
6Newry City AFC12543019
7Institute3817813+1359
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
12Armagh City384727-8219
12Moyola Park12426-1014
13Rathfriland12408-1112
15Strabane Athletic12246-1010

Team Insights

Ards
  • ●Ards have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Ards have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●71% of Ards's goals have been scored away.
  • ●67% of Ards's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●73% of Ards's points have been earned away.
Moyola Park
  • ●Moyola Park have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Moyola Park have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Moyola Park have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Moyola Park have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Moyola Park failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
ArdsArds
LARathfriland0–1
LHInstitute5º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
WANewington Youth3º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
DABallinamallard United8º1–1
DABallinamallard United10º1–1
DABallinamallard United10º1–1
Moyola ParkMoyola Park
WADundela4–1
LHNewington Youth3º2–3
LHNewington Youth4º2–3
LHNewington Youth4º2–3
WALoughgall11º2–1
WALoughgall6º2–1
WALoughgall5º2–1
LHGlenavon FC2º0–3
WAQueen's University4º1–0
WAQueen's University5º1–0

Season Schedule

Ards
LHInstitute0–2
WANewington Youth2–0
DABallinamallard United1–1
LHStrabane Athletic0–1
DAMoyola Park0–0
WHRathfriland1–0
–AArmagh City24/10
–HNewry City AFC31/10
–AH&W Welders07/11
Moyola Park
LHNewington Youth2–3
WALoughgall2–1
LHGlenavon FC0–3
WAQueen's University1–0
DHArds0–0
LAWarrenpoint Town2–6
–ARathfriland24/10
–AInstitute31/10
–HNewry City AFC06/11

Top Scorers

Ards
Moyola Park
D. Parkhouse3 ⚽
A. Gray1 ⚽
J. Doyle1 ⚽
J. McCready1 ⚽
M. Ruddy1 ⚽