Institute vs Armagh City — Championship
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Institute and Armagh City meet in the Championship 2026 season on 13 November 2026. Institute have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Armagh City have won 0% of their 14 matches, with 0.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Institute and 0.89 for Armagh City. The models give Institute a 62% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Armagh City win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Institute—
Armagh City5º
Position
16º
1.67
PPG
0.42
50%
Win %
0%
1.83
Goals / game
0.83
1.42
Conceded / game
1.75
40%
BTTS %
50%
47%
Clean sheet %
14%
60%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Institute
Home (6)
—
Armagh City
Away (7)
1.33
PPG
0.43
33%
Win %
0%
1.83
Goals / game
0.43
0.83
Conceded / game
1.14
29%
BTTS %
29%
57%
Clean sheet %
29%
57%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Institute | Home | Away | Armagh City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 57% | 88% | 50% | 71% | 29% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 29% | 38% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 43% | 13% | 50% | 29% | 71% |
Goals Conceded
| Institute | Home | Away | Armagh City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 43% | 63% | 86% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 43% | 63% | 57% | 71% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 43% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 57% | 38% | 14% | 0% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Institute | Armagh City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 7% |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Institute | Armagh City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 62% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Institute (H)L
Loughgall0–3
Loughgall0–3D
H&W Welders0–0
H&W Welders0–0W
Newington Youth7–0
Newington Youth7–0W
Warrenpoint Town2–0
Warrenpoint Town2–0L
Newry City AFC1–3
Newry City AFC1–3DLoughgall0–0
Loughgall0–0Armagh City (A)L
Rathfriland1–2
Rathfriland1–2D
Strabane Athletic0–0
Strabane Athletic0–0DLoughgall0–0
Loughgall0–0DNewry City AFC2–2
Newry City AFC2–2L
Moyola Park0–1
Moyola Park0–1LH&W Welders0–1
H&W Welders0–1Head to Head · 9 matches
7
Institute
78%
2
Draws
22%
0
Armagh City
0%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
89%
Over 2.5
8/9
67%
Over 3.5
6/9
78%
BTTS
7/9
12/09/26Institute
Armagh City
3–5Institute25/04/26Institute
Armagh City
1–4Institute28/02/26Armagh City
Institute
6–0Armagh City01/11/25Armagh City
Institute
2–1Armagh City23/08/25Institute
Armagh City
1–3Institute19/04/25Armagh City
Institute
4–3Armagh City14/03/25Institute
Armagh City
1–2Institute22/11/24Armagh City
Institute
0–0Armagh City10/08/24Institute
Armagh City
2–2Institute| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 |  Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 |  Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 6 | Newry City AFC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 8 |  Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 |  Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 |  Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 | Moyola Park | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Rathfriland | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 | Strabane Athletic | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Team Insights
Institute- ●Institute have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Institute have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Institute have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Institute have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Institute's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●60% of Institute's points have been earned away.
- ●Institute have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Armagh City- ●Armagh City have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●Armagh City have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Armagh City have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Armagh City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Armagh City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Armagh City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Armagh City's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
InstituteWAArds2–0
Ards2–0DHH&W Welders0–0
H&W Welders0–0WHNewington Youth7–0
Newington Youth7–0LAAnnagh United0–5
Annagh United0–5WHWarrenpoint Town2–0
Warrenpoint Town2–0WAArmagh City5–3
Armagh City5–3–HDundela24/10
Dundela24/10–HMoyola Park31/10
Moyola Park31/10–AGlenavon FC07/11
Glenavon FC07/11Armagh CityLHAnnagh United1–3
Annagh United1–3LARathfriland1–2
Rathfriland1–2DAStrabane Athletic0–0
Strabane Athletic0–0LHDundela0–2
Dundela0–2DALoughgall0–0
Loughgall0–0LHInstitute3–5
Institute3–5–HArds24/10
Ards24/10–ABallinamallard United31/10
Ballinamallard United31/10–HNewington Youth07/11
Newington Youth07/11Top Scorers
Institute1 ⚽
Armagh CityCards Given
Institute2 🟨
Armagh City