Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 17

Ards

10º · 1.25 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 31d 20h

–

Newington Youth

3º · 1.92 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 31d 20h

🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free Trial Upgrade to Pro →

Ards and Newington Youth meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Ards have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.93 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Newington Youth have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 18%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Ards and 1.46 for Newington Youth. The models give Ards a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Newington Youth win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Ards

—

Newington Youth

10º

Position

3º

1.25

PPG

1.92

33%

Win %

58%

1.17

Goals / game

2.25

1.25

Conceded / game

1.83

40%

BTTS %

59%

20%

Clean sheet %

18%

40%

Over 2.5 %

71%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Ards

Home (6)

—

Newington Youth

Away (6)

0.67

PPG

1.67

17%

Win %

50%

0.67

Goals / game

1.33

1.67

Conceded / game

2.17

33%

BTTS %

60%

17%

Clean sheet %

10%

50%

Over 2.5 %

60%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Ards	Home	Away	Newington Youth	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	53%	50%	56%	76%	86%	70%
Over 1.5 Scored	27%	17%	33%	53%	71%	40%
Over 2.5 Scored	13%	0%	22%	29%	57%	10%
Failed To Score	47%	50%	44%	24%	14%	30%

Goals Conceded

	Ards	Home	Away	Newington Youth	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	80%	83%	78%	82%	71%	90%
Over 1.5 Conceded	40%	67%	22%	41%	43%	40%
Over 2.5 Conceded	7%	17%	0%	18%	29%	10%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	22%	18%	29%	10%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Ards	Newington Youth
Over 0.5	93%	100%
Over 1.5	67%	82%
Over 2.5	40%	71%
Over 3.5	20%	47%
Over 4.5	0%	24%
BTTS	40%	59%
BTTS & Win	13%	29%
BTTS & Draw	13%	18%
BTTS & Over 2.5	33%	53%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	7%	18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Ards	Newington Youth
Win 1st Half	36%	53%
Draw 1st Half	43%	18%
Loss 1st Half	21%	29%
Scored 1st Half	43%	65%
Conceded 1st Half	29%	53%
Win 2nd Half	14%	35%
Draw 2nd Half	36%	24%
Loss 2nd Half	50%	41%
Scored 2nd Half	29%	47%
Conceded 2nd Half	71%	47%
Over 0.5 HT	64%	88%
Over 1.5 HT	29%	65%

Recent Venue Form

Ards (H)

Institute0–2

Strabane Athletic0–1

Rathfriland1–0

Queen's University0–3

Loughgall1–2

Dundela2–2

Newington Youth (A)

Moyola Park3–2

Institute0–7

Glenavon FC0–1

Warrenpoint Town1–0

Strabane Athletic2–1

Loughgall2–2

Head to Head · 15 matches

Ards

40%

Draws

27%

Newington Youth

33%

93%

Over 1.5

14/15

67%

Over 2.5

10/15

40%

Over 3.5

6/15

73%

BTTS

11/15

09/10/26

Newington Youth

0–2

Ards

03/02/26

Ards

2–1

Newington Youth

17/01/26

Newington Youth

2–0

Ards

04/10/25

Newington Youth

0–3

Ards

22/02/25

Ards

1–1

Newington Youth

02/11/24

Newington Youth

2–2

Ards

17/08/24

Ards

3–2

Newington Youth

13/04/24

Ards

1–1

Newington Youth

27/02/24

Newington Youth

1–0

Ards

02/12/23

Newington Youth

4–1

Ards

05/08/23

Ards

1–3

Newington Youth

14/03/23

Newington Youth

2–2

Ards

10/12/22

Ards

2–1

Newington Youth

08/11/22

Ards

1–2

Newington Youth

28/08/18

Ards

3–2

Newington Youth

Championship

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Limavady United	38	24	9	5	+35	81
2	Annagh United	38	22	6	10	+16	72
2	Glenavon FC	12	7	3	2	+16	24
3	H&W Welders	38	19	9	10	+39	66
4	Newington Youth	38	18	6	14	+15	60
5	Queen's University	38	15	12	11	+5	57
6	Loughgall	38	14	14	10	+12	56
6	Newry City AFC	12	5	4	3	0	19
7	Institute	38	17	8	13	+13	59
8	Ards	38	15	7	16	+5	52
9	Warrenpoint Town	38	11	8	19	-8	41
10	Ballinamallard United	38	9	11	18	-16	38
11	Dundela	38	5	13	20	-34	28
12	Armagh City	38	4	7	27	-82	19
12	Moyola Park	12	4	2	6	-10	14
13	Rathfriland	12	4	0	8	-11	12
15	Strabane Athletic	12	2	4	6	-10	10

Team Insights

Ards

●Ards have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
●Ards have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
●Ards have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
●Ards have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
●71% of Ards's goals have been scored away.
●67% of Ards's goals conceded were conceded at home.
●73% of Ards's points have been earned away.

Newington Youth

●Newington Youth have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Newington Youth failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
●Newington Youth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
●Newington Youth have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
●70% of Newington Youth's goals have been scored at home.
●Newington Youth have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
●Newington Youth have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.