Armagh City vs Rathfriland — Championship
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Armagh City and Rathfriland meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Armagh City have recorded 0 wins from 14 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Rathfriland have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Armagh City and 1.76 for Rathfriland. The models give Armagh City a 31% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Rathfriland win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Armagh City | Home | Away | Rathfriland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 71% | 29% | 69% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 29% | 14% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 14% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 29% | 71% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Armagh City | Home | Away | Rathfriland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 71% | 77% | 71% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 71% | 43% | 54% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 43% | 0% | 31% | 14% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 29% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Armagh City | Rathfriland | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 8% |
| BTTS | 50% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Armagh City | Rathfriland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 8% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 67% |
| Scored 1st Half | 23% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 62% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 77% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 | |
| 2 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 | |
| 3 | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 | |
| 4 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 | |
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | |
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 | |
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 | |
| 9 | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 | |
| 10 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 | |
| 11 | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 | |
| 12 | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -11 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Armagh City have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●Armagh City have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Armagh City have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Armagh City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Armagh City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Armagh City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Armagh City's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Rathfriland have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Rathfriland have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Rathfriland have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.