Warrenpoint Town vs Institute — Championship
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Warrenpoint Town and Institute meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Warrenpoint Town have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Institute have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Warrenpoint Town and 1.48 for Institute. The models give Warrenpoint Town a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Institute win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Warrenpoint Town—
Institute7º
Position
5º
1.50
PPG
1.67
42%
Win %
50%
1.75
Goals / game
1.83
1.42
Conceded / game
1.42
50%
BTTS %
40%
25%
Clean sheet %
47%
56%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Warrenpoint Town
Home (6)
—
Institute
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
67%
1.83
Goals / game
1.83
1.17
Conceded / game
2.00
57%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
38%
43%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Warrenpoint Town | Home | Away | Institute | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 86% | 67% | 73% | 57% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 43% | 44% | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 29% | 22% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 14% | 33% | 27% | 43% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Warrenpoint Town | Home | Away | Institute | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 78% | 53% | 43% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 43% | 78% | 53% | 43% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 14% | 33% | 40% | 29% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 22% | 47% | 57% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Warrenpoint Town | Institute | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 27% |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Warrenpoint Town | Institute | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Warrenpoint Town (H)W
Crusaders FC5–2
Crusaders FC5–2W
Strabane Athletic1–0
Strabane Athletic1–0D
Annagh United1–1
Annagh United1–1W
Moyola Park6–2
Moyola Park6–2L
Newington Youth0–1
Newington Youth0–1L
Ards1–3
Ards1–3Institute (A)WArds2–0
Ards2–0LAnnagh United0–5
Annagh United0–5W
Armagh City5–3
Armagh City5–3W
Rathfriland2–0
Rathfriland2–0L
Queen's University1–4
Queen's University1–4WStrabane Athletic1–0
Strabane Athletic1–0Head to Head · 15 matches
5
Warrenpoint Town
33%
3
Draws
20%
7
Institute
47%
67%
Over 1.5
10/15
40%
Over 2.5
6/15
20%
Over 3.5
3/15
40%
BTTS
6/15
19/09/26Warrenpoint Town
Institute
2–0Warrenpoint Town04/04/26Warrenpoint Town
Institute
0–0Warrenpoint Town07/03/26Institute
Warrenpoint Town
1–2Institute08/11/25Institute
Warrenpoint Town
1–0Institute06/09/25Warrenpoint Town
Institute
1–0Warrenpoint Town11/03/23Institute
Warrenpoint Town
2–1Institute26/12/22Warrenpoint Town
Institute
1–1Warrenpoint Town08/10/22Institute
Warrenpoint Town
2–0Institute14/02/20Institute
Warrenpoint Town
2–2Institute26/12/19Warrenpoint Town
Institute
0–1Warrenpoint Town28/09/19Institute
Warrenpoint Town
1–3Institute06/04/19Warrenpoint Town
Institute
2–1Warrenpoint Town19/01/19Institute
Warrenpoint Town
4–0Institute27/10/18Institute
Warrenpoint Town
0–1Institute18/08/18Warrenpoint Town
Institute
2–0Warrenpoint Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 |
| 3 |  H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 |  Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 6 |  Newry City AFC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 |  Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 |  Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 | Moyola Park | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Rathfriland | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 | Strabane Athletic | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Team Insights
Warrenpoint Town- ●Warrenpoint Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Warrenpoint Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Warrenpoint Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
Institute- ●Institute have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Institute have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Institute have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Institute have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Institute's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●60% of Institute's points have been earned away.
- ●Institute have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Warrenpoint TownDABallinamallard United2–2
Ballinamallard United2–2WHStrabane Athletic1–0
Strabane Athletic1–0DHAnnagh United1–1
Annagh United1–1WARathfriland2–0
Rathfriland2–0LAInstitute0–2
Institute0–2WHMoyola Park6–2
Moyola Park6–2–HGlenavon FC24/10
Glenavon FC24/10–ADundela31/10
Dundela31/10–HQueen's University07/11
Queen's University07/11InstituteWAArds2–0
Ards2–0DHH&W Welders0–0
H&W Welders0–0WHNewington Youth7–0
Newington Youth7–0LAAnnagh United0–5
Annagh United0–5WHWarrenpoint Town2–0
Warrenpoint Town2–0WAArmagh City5–3
Armagh City5–3–HDundela24/10
Dundela24/10–HMoyola Park31/10
Moyola Park31/10–AGlenavon FC07/11
Glenavon FC07/11Top Scorers
Warrenpoint TownR. Powell3 ⚽
A. Jinadu1 ⚽
D. Trainor1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Institute1 ⚽
Cards Given
Warrenpoint TownInstitute2 🟨