Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United — Championship
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The Showgrounds·Newry·Northern Ireland·2,822
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Newry City AFC and Ballinamallard United meet in the Championship 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Newry City AFC have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Ballinamallard United have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Newry City AFC and 1.73 for Ballinamallard United. The models give Newry City AFC a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ballinamallard United win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Newry City AFC—
Ballinamallard United7º
Position
4º
1.46
PPG
1.62
38%
Win %
46%
1.54
Goals / game
1.54
1.69
Conceded / game
1.38
67%
BTTS %
59%
13%
Clean sheet %
24%
67%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newry City AFC
Home (7)
—
Ballinamallard United
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
2.14
29%
Win %
71%
1.43
Goals / game
1.86
2.14
Conceded / game
1.29
63%
BTTS %
33%
13%
Clean sheet %
44%
63%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newry City | Home | Away | Ballinamallard United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 75% | 86% | 71% | 88% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 38% | 43% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 14% | 12% | 0% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 25% | 14% | 29% | 13% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Newry City | Home | Away | Ballinamallard United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 88% | 86% | 76% | 100% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 63% | 43% | 29% | 38% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 14% | 24% | 0% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newry City | Ballinamallard United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 6% |
| BTTS | 67% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newry City | Ballinamallard United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 71% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Newry City (H)L
Newington Youth0–2
Newington Youth0–2W
Dundela3–1
Dundela3–1W
H&W Welders3–2
H&W Welders3–2D
Annagh United1–1
Annagh United1–1D
Armagh City2–2
Armagh City2–2L
Warrenpoint Town0–3
Warrenpoint Town0–3Ballinamallard United (A)W
Strabane Athletic1–0
Strabane Athletic1–0W
Queen's University1–0
Queen's University1–0LNewington Youth0–4
Newington Youth0–4WH&W Welders3–1
H&W Welders3–1W
Loughgall6–1
Loughgall6–1L
Moyola Park0–2
Moyola Park0–2Head to Head · 14 matches
9
Newry City
64%
1
Draws
7%
4
Ballinamallard United
29%
57%
Over 1.5
8/14
36%
Over 2.5
5/14
14%
Over 3.5
2/14
29%
BTTS
4/14
08/08/26Newry City AFC
Ballinamallard United
0–1Newry City AFC01/04/25Ballinamallard United
Newry City AFC
3–0Ballinamallard United08/03/25Newry City AFC
Ballinamallard United
1–1Newry City AFC26/12/24Newry City AFC
Ballinamallard United
2–1Newry City AFC27/08/24Ballinamallard United
Newry City AFC
1–0Ballinamallard United06/01/24Ballinamallard United
Newry City AFC
3–2Ballinamallard United25/07/23Ballinamallard United
Newry City AFC
1–0Ballinamallard United23/04/22Newry City AFC
Ballinamallard United
1–0Newry City AFC22/01/22Newry City AFC
Ballinamallard United
0–2Newry City AFC13/11/21Ballinamallard United
Newry City AFC
2–0Ballinamallard United11/09/21Ballinamallard United
Newry City AFC
0–3Ballinamallard United08/02/20Ballinamallard United
Newry City AFC
1–0Ballinamallard United26/10/19Ballinamallard United
Newry City AFC
1–3Ballinamallard United07/09/19Newry City AFC
Ballinamallard United
0–1Newry City AFC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 3 |  Glenavon FC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 7 |  Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 7 | Newry City AFC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |  Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 | Moyola Park | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rathfriland | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 | Strabane Athletic | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 10 |
Team Insights
Newry City- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Newry City AFC's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Newry City AFC have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Ballinamallard United- ●Ballinamallard United have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Ballinamallard United's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Ballinamallard United's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Newry CityLHNewington Youth0–2
Newington Youth0–2DAQueen's University1–1
Queen's University1–1WHDundela3–1
Dundela3–1LALoughgall1–2
Loughgall1–2WHH&W Welders3–2
H&W Welders3–2DHAnnagh United1–1
Annagh United1–1–AArds31/10
Ards31/10–AMoyola Park06/11
Moyola Park06/11–HStrabane Athletic13/11
Strabane Athletic13/11Ballinamallard UnitedWAStrabane Athletic1–0
Strabane Athletic1–0DHWarrenpoint Town2–2
Warrenpoint Town2–2WAQueen's University1–0
Queen's University1–0DHArds1–1
Ards1–1LANewington Youth0–4
Newington Youth0–4WAH&W Welders3–1
H&W Welders3–1–HArmagh City31/10
Armagh City31/10–HRathfriland06/11
Rathfriland06/11–AAnnagh United13/11
Annagh United13/11Top Scorers
Newry City3 ⚽
R. Swan1 ⚽
Ballinamallard United2 ⚽
R. Mayse1 ⚽
Cards Given
Newry City1 🟨
Ballinamallard United