Warrenpoint Town vs H&W Welders — Championship
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Warrenpoint Town and H&W Welders meet in the Championship 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Warrenpoint Town have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. H&W Welders have won 36% of their 22 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Warrenpoint Town and 1.39 for H&W Welders. The models give Warrenpoint Town a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an H&W Welders win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Warrenpoint Town—
H&W Welders8º
Position
11º
1.50
PPG
1.23
42%
Win %
38%
1.75
Goals / game
1.46
1.42
Conceded / game
1.69
50%
BTTS %
59%
25%
Clean sheet %
27%
56%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Warrenpoint Town
Home (6)
—
H&W Welders
Away (7)
1.67
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
29%
1.83
Goals / game
1.43
1.17
Conceded / game
2.00
57%
BTTS %
70%
29%
Clean sheet %
20%
43%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Warrenpoint Town | Home | Away | H&W Welders | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 86% | 67% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 43% | 44% | 36% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 29% | 22% | 23% | 17% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 14% | 33% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Warrenpoint Town | Home | Away | H&W Welders | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 78% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 43% | 78% | 50% | 58% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 14% | 33% | 27% | 25% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 22% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Warrenpoint Town | H&W Welders | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 9% |
| BTTS | 50% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Warrenpoint Town | H&W Welders | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Warrenpoint Town (H)W
Crusaders FC5–2
Crusaders FC5–2W
Strabane Athletic1–0
Strabane Athletic1–0D
Annagh United1–1
Annagh United1–1W
Moyola Park6–2
Moyola Park6–2L
Newington Youth0–1
Newington Youth0–1L
Ards1–3
Ards1–3H&W Welders (A)W
Armagh City3–1
Armagh City3–1L
Glenavon FC0–4
Glenavon FC0–4D
Institute0–0
Institute0–0L
Newry City AFC2–3
Newry City AFC2–3LAnnagh United1–3
Annagh United1–3WMoyola Park4–1
Moyola Park4–1Head to Head · 9 matches
2
Warrenpoint Town
22%
3
Draws
33%
4
H&W Welders
44%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
08/08/26Warrenpoint Town
H&W Welders
3–0Warrenpoint Town30/12/25H&W Welders
Warrenpoint Town
0–3H&W Welders18/10/25H&W Welders
Warrenpoint Town
2–2H&W Welders16/09/25Warrenpoint Town
H&W Welders
1–1Warrenpoint Town18/07/23H&W Welders
Warrenpoint Town
0–1H&W Welders14/01/23H&W Welders
Warrenpoint Town
3–1H&W Welders05/11/22H&W Welders
Warrenpoint Town
3–2H&W Welders23/08/22Warrenpoint Town
H&W Welders
1–1Warrenpoint Town27/08/19H&W Welders
Warrenpoint Town
2–4H&W Welders| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 2 | Glenavon FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 |  Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 |  Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 7 | Newry City AFC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 |  Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 |  Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 | Moyola Park | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 |  Rathfriland | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 15 | Strabane Athletic | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
Team Insights
Warrenpoint Town- ●Warrenpoint Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Warrenpoint Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Warrenpoint Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
H&W Welders- ●H&W Welders have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●H&W Welders have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Warrenpoint TownDABallinamallard United2–2
Ballinamallard United2–2WHStrabane Athletic1–0
Strabane Athletic1–0DHAnnagh United1–1
Annagh United1–1WARathfriland2–0
Rathfriland2–0LAInstitute0–2
Institute0–2WHMoyola Park6–2
Moyola Park6–2–HQueen's University07/11
Queen's University07/11–ANewington Youth13/11
Newington Youth13/11–HInstitute21/11
Institute21/11H&W WeldersLHLoughgall1–2
Loughgall1–2LAGlenavon FC0–4
Glenavon FC0–4DAInstitute0–0
Institute0–0LHRathfriland1–3
Rathfriland1–3LANewry City AFC2–3
Newry City AFC2–3LHBallinamallard United1–3
Ballinamallard United1–3–HArds07/11
Ards07/11–ARathfriland13/11
Rathfriland13/11–HAnnagh United22/11
Annagh United22/11Top Scorers
Warrenpoint TownR. Powell3 ⚽
A. Jinadu1 ⚽
D. Trainor1 ⚽
1 ⚽
H&W Welders4 ⚽
D. Mhondiwa1 ⚽
S. Forbes1 ⚽