Universitatea Craiova vs Oţelul — Liga I
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Universitatea Craiova and Oţelul meet in the Liga I 2026 season on 19 December 2026. Universitatea Craiova have recorded 19 wins from 34 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.97 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Oţelul have won 15% of their 20 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.41 for Universitatea Craiova and 0.90 for Oţelul. The models give Universitatea Craiova a 72% win probability, with a draw at 18% and an Oţelul win at 10%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Universitatea Craiova—
Oţelul1º
Position
14º
2.20
PPG
0.87
67%
Win %
13%
2.27
Goals / game
1.13
0.67
Conceded / game
1.53
53%
BTTS %
65%
38%
Clean sheet %
15%
47%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
17.4
Avg shots
14.0
6.4
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.1
Avg fouls
12.0
52.5%
Avg possession
53.1%
Home vs Away
Universitatea Craiova
Home (8)
—
Oţelul
Away (7)
2.63
PPG
0.43
88%
Win %
0%
3.00
Goals / game
1.14
0.38
Conceded / game
2.00
53%
BTTS %
50%
42%
Clean sheet %
20%
53%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
17.4
Avg shots
14.0
6.4
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
52.5%
Avg possession
53.1%
Goals Scored
| Universitatea Craiova | Home | Away | Oţelul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 95% | 80% | 70% | 90% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 63% | 33% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 32% | 27% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 5% | 20% | 30% | 10% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Universitatea Craiova | Home | Away | Oţelul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 58% | 67% | 85% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 12% | 16% | 7% | 30% | 10% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 11% | 7% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 42% | 33% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Universitatea Craiova | Oţelul | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS | 53% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Universitatea Craiova | Oţelul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Universitatea Craiova (H)W
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–0W
FC Botosani2–1
FC Botosani2–1W
Farul Constanta2–0
Farul Constanta2–0D
Getafe1–1
Getafe1–1W
FCSB5–0
FCSB5–0W
Universitatea Cluj4–0
Universitatea Cluj4–0Oţelul (A)DFC Botosani1–1
FC Botosani1–1LFarul Constanta3–4
Farul Constanta3–4LFCSB0–1
FCSB0–1LUniversitatea Cluj0–3
Universitatea Cluj0–3D
FC Voluntari2–2
FC Voluntari2–2L
Concordia1–5
Concordia1–5Number of Corners
7.9
Corners / Match
22 games
League Avg
9.3
118 games
9.2
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Universitatea Craiova | Oţelul | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 59% | 80% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 55% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 41% | 67% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 40% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 13% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 13% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Universitatea Craiova | Oţelul |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 59% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 41% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 33% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Universitatea Craiova
33%
3
Draws
33%
3
Oţelul
33%
56%
Over 1.5
5/9
33%
Over 2.5
3/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
16/08/26Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
1–1Universitatea Craiova05/02/26Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1–0Oţelul20/09/25Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
1–0Universitatea Craiova14/02/25Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
2–1Oţelul11/01/25Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1–2Oţelul05/10/24Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
1–1Universitatea Craiova04/04/24Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
0–1Oţelul26/11/23Universitatea Craiova
Oţelul
1–3Universitatea Craiova24/07/23Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
0–0Oţelul| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +24 | 33 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Bucuresti | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +21 | 33 |
| 3 |  Rapid | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +10 | 31 |
| 4 |  Petrolul Ploiesti | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 26 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 24 |
| 7 |  Corvinul Hunedoara | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 8 | FCSB | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 |  CFR 1907 Cluj | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 |  Uta Arad | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 |  Arges Pitesti | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 8 |
| 16 |  Csikszereda | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -19 | 6 |
Team Insights
Universitatea Craiova- ●Universitatea Craiova have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Universitatea Craiova have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Universitatea Craiova have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Universitatea Craiova have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Universitatea Craiova have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Universitatea Craiova have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Universitatea Craiova have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Universitatea Craiova have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Universitatea Craiova have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Universitatea Craiova have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Universitatea Craiova's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Universitatea Craiova's goals conceded were conceded away.
Oţelul- ●Oţelul have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Oţelul failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Oţelul have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Oţelul failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Oţelul failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Oţelul have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Oţelul failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●77% of Oţelul's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Universitatea CraiovaDACFR 1907 Cluj0–0
CFR 1907 Cluj0–0WHFC Botosani2–1
FC Botosani2–1WASepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe5–0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe5–0WHFarul Constanta2–0
Farul Constanta2–0WACsikszereda1–0
Csikszereda1–0WHFCSB5–0
FCSB5–0–AUta Arad22/11
Uta Arad22/11–HDinamo Bucuresti28/11
Dinamo Bucuresti28/11–APetrolul Ploiesti05/12
Petrolul Ploiesti05/12OţelulDAFC Botosani1–1
FC Botosani1–1DHSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1–1
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1–1LAFarul Constanta3–4
Farul Constanta3–4DHCsikszereda1–1
Csikszereda1–1LAFCSB0–1
FCSB0–1LHCorvinul Hunedoara2–3
Corvinul Hunedoara2–3–ACFR 1907 Cluj21/11
CFR 1907 Cluj21/11–HUta Arad28/11
Uta Arad28/11–ADinamo Bucuresti05/12
Dinamo Bucuresti05/12Top Scorers
Universitatea CraiovaS. Nsimba10 ⚽
S. Elisor8 ⚽
A. Al Hamlawi8 ⚽
S. Baiaram7 ⚽
Simon Elisor5 ⚽
Assad Al Islam·Al Hamlawi4 ⚽
OţelulPatrick5 ⚽
N. Pedro3 ⚽
Denis Bordun3 ⚽
J. Lameira2 ⚽
M. Frunza1 ⚽
Miguel Silva1 ⚽
Cards Given
Universitatea CraiovaO. Romanchuk6 🟨
A. Rus5 🟨
D. Matei4 🟨
N. Bancu4 🟨
A. Cretu3 🟨
A. Cicaldau2 🟨
OţelulHabib Sylla2 🟨
J. Lameira2 🟨
Andrezinho2 🟨
Giannis Christopoulos2 🟨
Andrei Ciobanu2 🟨
Patrick Fernandes2 🟨