Ukraine · Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Chornomorets

14º · 0.63 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 5h

–

Karpaty

5º · 1.67 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 6d 0h

Stadion Chornomorets·Odesa·Ukraine·34,164

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Chornomorets and Karpaty meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Chornomorets have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 0.79 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Karpaty have won 50% of their 26 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 35%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Chornomorets and 1.18 for Karpaty. The models give Chornomorets a 33% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Karpaty win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.

Season Statistics

Chornomorets

—

Karpaty

14º

Position

5º

0.63

PPG

1.67

13%

Win %

44%

0.63

Goals / game

1.89

1.38

Conceded / game

0.89

50%

BTTS %

54%

21%

Clean sheet %

35%

43%

Over 2.5 %

54%

1.5

Avg corners

7.0

6.5

Avg shots

10.0

2.0

Avg shots on target

2.5

1.0

Avg yellow cards

2.5

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

38.0%

Avg possession

55.5%

Home vs Away

Chornomorets

Home (5)

—

Karpaty

Away (4)

1.00

PPG

1.75

20%

Win %

50%

0.80

Goals / game

1.75

1.00

Conceded / game

0.75

63%

BTTS %

44%

38%

Clean sheet %

33%

50%

Over 2.5 %

33%

1.5

Avg corners

7.0

6.5

Avg shots

10.0

2.0

Avg shots on target

2.5

1.0

Avg yellow cards

2.5

38.0%

Avg possession

55.5%

Goals Scored

	Chornomorets	Home	Away	Karpaty	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	64%	88%	33%	85%	94%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	14%	25%	0%	50%	53%	44%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	31%	29%	33%
Failed To Score	36%	13%	67%	15%	6%	33%

Goals Conceded

	Chornomorets	Home	Away	Karpaty	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	79%	63%	100%	65%	65%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	50%	25%	83%	27%	29%	22%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	4%	6%	0%
Clean Sheets	21%	38%	0%	35%	35%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Chornomorets	Karpaty
Over 0.5	93%	96%
Over 1.5	71%	77%
Over 2.5	43%	54%
Over 3.5	0%	27%
Over 4.5	0%	19%
BTTS	50%	54%
BTTS & Win	14%	19%
BTTS & Draw	7%	19%
BTTS & Over 2.5	43%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	15%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Chornomorets	Karpaty
Win 1st Half	15%	31%
Draw 1st Half	46%	54%
Loss 1st Half	38%	15%
Scored 1st Half	31%	58%
Conceded 1st Half	54%	35%
Win 2nd Half	23%	50%
Draw 2nd Half	38%	23%
Loss 2nd Half	38%	27%
Scored 2nd Half	38%	65%
Conceded 2nd Half	54%	46%
Over 0.5 HT	69%	62%
Over 1.5 HT	31%	42%

Recent Venue Form

Chornomorets (H)

FC Kharkiv1–2

Obolon'-Brovar1–1

Livyi Bereh0–0

Kryvbas KR1–0

Polessya1–2

Nyva Vinnytsya2–1

Karpaty (A)

Dynamo Kyiv0–1

KV Mechelen3–2

Kolos Kovalivka3–2

Kolos Kovalivka2–0

Livyi Bereh1–1

Kryvbas KR4–1

Number of Corners

11.0

Corners / Match

2 games

League Avg

10.1

12 games

8.0

Corners / Match

1 games

Match Corners	Chornomorets	Karpaty	League Avg
Over 6	100%	100%	92%
Over 7	100%	100%	75%
Over 8	100%	0%	67%
Over 9	50%	0%	50%
Over 10	50%	0%	42%
Over 11	50%	0%	42%
Over 12	50%	0%	33%
Over 13	0%	0%	17%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Chornomorets	Karpaty
Corners Earned / Match	1.5	7.0
Corners Against / Match	9.5	1.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	0%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	0%	100%
Over 4.5 Corners For	0%	100%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	100%	0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	100%	0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	100%	0%

Head to Head · 24 matches

Chornomorets

13%

Draws

50%

Karpaty

38%

63%

Over 1.5

15/24

38%

Over 2.5

9/24

25%

Over 3.5

6/24

42%

BTTS

10/24

30/03/25

Karpaty

4–0

Chornomorets

21/09/24

Chornomorets

0–1

Karpaty

21/08/24

Karpaty

3–0

Chornomorets

21/05/19

Chornomorets

3–1

Karpaty

23/04/19

Karpaty

0–0

Chornomorets

28/10/18

Chornomorets

0–5

Karpaty

29/07/18

Karpaty

1–0

Chornomorets

05/05/18

Chornomorets

1–1

Karpaty

31/03/18

Karpaty

3–1

Chornomorets

24/02/18

Chornomorets

0–0

Karpaty

24/09/17

Karpaty

1–1

Chornomorets

26/02/17

Chornomorets

1–0

Karpaty

17/09/16

Karpaty

0–0

Chornomorets

05/03/16

Chornomorets

0–0

Karpaty

08/08/15

Karpaty

4–0

Chornomorets

10/05/15

Karpaty

2–0

Chornomorets

07/12/14

Chornomorets

0–0

Karpaty

18/05/14

Chornomorets

0–0

Karpaty

03/11/13

Karpaty

1–1

Chornomorets

09/03/13

Karpaty

1–2

Chornomorets

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	9	8	0	1	+15	24
2	Polessya	9	7	1	1	+12	22
3	FC Kharkiv	8	6	0	2	+10	18
4	Dynamo Kyiv	8	5	1	2	+3	16
5	Karpaty	9	4	3	2	+9	15
6	LNZ Cherkasy	9	4	2	3	+1	14
7	Zorya Luhansk	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	9	2	3	4	-3	9
9	Veres Rivne	9	2	3	4	-5	9
10	Kolos Kovalivka	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Bukovyna	9	1	5	3	-5	8
12	Livyi Bereh	8	1	4	3	-2	7
13	Obolon'-Brovar	8	1	4	3	-8	7
14	Chornomorets	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Kudrivka	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Kryvbas KR	7	1	2	4	-6	5

Team Insights

Chornomorets

●Chornomorets have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
●Chornomorets have lost their last 3 away matches.
●Chornomorets have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Chornomorets have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.

Karpaty